Tesla Motors -TSLA -Weekly -Modeling Pre-Model S

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I was putting the news releases on the chart for an instructional demonstration when I noticed how the Pre-Model S time frame was mimicking the Pre-Model X time window now. The three highs and consolidations all seem to match up a little and with a little imagination, you could see how investors will wait until the "real deal" is actually out and selling before there is any real buying.

I'll see about adding more fundamental data to this chart, but didn't want to overcrowd it with news items.

In the future, I hope we can all have access to a chart like this so you can see where the news hit the market and how the market responded. It's a great history lesson. But so much history is missing on this chart.

Tim 204.78 last TSLA             April 7, 2015 10:18AM EST
Comment: CLICK ON THE "UPDATE" BUTTON and see what you see.
Comment: https://www.tradingview.com/u/timwest/#search-charts=TSLA

Lagging the projection due to the less popular Model-X and Model-3 about a year away.

Time will tell, but there is quite a spread between how Tesla did with Model-S and with Model-X.
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not as deep as ur chart , but i believe we are headed up here
I see people are wondering on whats your idea on this. It currently still is in a parallel down trending channel, but on breakout one should be in. it may pop out with a bang as well
What's up man...Great analysis as always.
So, what is the bias there now? Are you in buying mode?
Was the Model X released yet?
Tim, will you incorporate the Tesla Energy business into this chart? I am curious about your thoughts on the new line of business, especially now, after the earnings report and lots of information to digest. (Also, I read all your notes and charts on Tesla, am learning very much from your posts!)
+1 Reply
timwest MonicaL
TSLA's conference call questions were very insightful. There are large orders for the low-margin battery business, so I'm not sure how to price the Energy Business just yet. I'm very impressed by Tesla and the results they are generating and the look of the Model 3 looks like a major winner too. Tesla has a long story ahead of it.
+1 Reply
MonicaL timwest
I think the market is finally coming around to accepting that Tesla is more than a car company. The Powerwall is aspirational, everybody wants one first because of what it represents and also because of the increasing practical benefits. Wait for Gigafactory 2 preparations... Paradigm shift. Thanks for answering my question, I always look forward to your analysis!
+1 Reply
timwest MonicaL
Thanks MonicaL - I appreciate your positivity.
+2 Reply
what are your thoughts heading into earnings?
timwest BitcoinShane
I have no position in TSLA and I'm ready to buy on a move down. I'll be listening closely to the earnings call on Wednesday and see what I can hear. Prior to that news, I'd think it was wise to only own what you would be willing to hold if it went down a lot. Long term, I'm very bullish. Short term, take a look at the price of both calls and puts "at the money" and that will show you what option traders think the stock will move on earnings. My sense is that stocks move 80% of the time by the amount of the calls and puts prices added together. I can't tell you which way it will move. The stock also moves in after-hours trading, so unless you have an account that can trade after-hours, it won't matter much. Are you going to trade in after-hours time frames?
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