MoneyChartz

TSLA - Possible Inverse H&S Pattern?

Short
MoneyChartz Updated   
NASDAQ:TSLA   Tesla
Looking at this 4HR chart, we can clearly see an Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern forming. It is currently at the neckline right at around $198.

Interestingly, we see a Bearish divergence right near the neckline (as marked) where price action is going up, but the RSI is going down. This gives us a small bearish signal.

So unless this gets invalidated by a candle breaking and closing above 198.24, we are most likely going down to the $166 - $164 area. That will be the decider area where TSLA can either bounce back and complete the Inverse H&S or it breaks down and goes for lower price support levels. (which I will update later).

Possible trades (options) that can be taken:

Option 1:
Feb 17th $195 PUT at around

Option 2:
Feb 17th $160 PUT (risky)

Option 3 (Put Spread):
Leg 1: Buy Put 2/24 $165
Leg 2: Sell Put 2/17 $165

(Good R:R ratio). Please feel free to message me if you are new to options or are confused.

Option 4 (Butterfly) - Risky but high reward:
Leg 1: Buy Put 2/17 $185 (1 Qty)
Leg 2: Buy Put 2/17 $145 (1 Qty)
Leg 3: Sell Put 2/17 $165 (2 Qty)

Note: This whole will be a single order. Again, please feel free to ask in comments or message me if you are confused.

These are the potential option trades that can be taken next week.

For a stop loss look for 198 area to break. If the price goes above that and closes we must exit the position in a loss. Other ride it till 165. Make sure to exit if you're in a good enough profit (according to you).

Do you own research before taking this trade.

Let me know what you guys think :)

Happy Trading!
Comment:
Just a reminder, if TSLA breaks 198.24 and close we might want to rethink on the above idea. It could possibly be a breakout, and an opportunity to go long. Until then we can hold our positions.
Comment:
TSLA under 190. Let's go!!!!!!!!!

Make sure to scale out from your positions of take profits.
Trade closed manually:
TSLA broke above our resistance line so the trade is now invalidated.
Comment:
I guess the candle is not yet closed above the resistance is it? :P
Comment:
I hope this still plays out. The market is looking choppy. This is the time where scalping is the way to go.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.