Tesla Earnings Run Up
5 reasons
Analysts are revising earnings estimates upwards
Elon Musk and the Deep State’s Great Reset
Musk is to sell call options in Q4 - presumably a payoff
Ascending triangle formation
QQQ to bounce
Fed propping up Big Tech
Earnings
Open interest favors to the short
Short Squeeze
Able to use automation to produce cars more efficiently and with less manpower than competitors
Will result in an earnings bea
“Likes to underreport data such as “deliveries”
Had issues transporting some cars
Will result in increased cash flow – and potentially “adjusted” earnings
Options are cheap with an IV in 15th percentile
Possible risks and mitigants:
Stock market crash & all things go down
Wait for large buying volume and QQQ downward trend to end
Earnings are a dud
Their earnings suck anyways - however, they have been revised up recently
“expensive”
They actually have been able to use technology to cause disinflation
Expected to produce a million more cars
Options strategy:
Long calls at 850 at 10/22
850 is below all time high and earnings are at 10/20
Long calls at 900 at 10/29
IV is cheap now and wil continue to be cheap
Delta and gamma are also cheap
Long calls at Pre 850
Theta is cheap
Exploits moonboy run
5 reasons
Analysts are revising earnings estimates upwards
Elon Musk and the Deep State’s Great Reset
Musk is to sell call options in Q4 - presumably a payoff
Ascending triangle formation
QQQ to bounce
Fed propping up Big Tech
Earnings
Open interest favors to the short
Short Squeeze
Able to use automation to produce cars more efficiently and with less manpower than competitors
Will result in an earnings bea
“Likes to underreport data such as “deliveries”
Had issues transporting some cars
Will result in increased cash flow – and potentially “adjusted” earnings
Options are cheap with an IV in 15th percentile
Possible risks and mitigants:
Stock market crash & all things go down
Wait for large buying volume and QQQ downward trend to end
Earnings are a dud
Their earnings suck anyways - however, they have been revised up recently
“expensive”
They actually have been able to use technology to cause disinflation
Expected to produce a million more cars
Options strategy:
Long calls at 850 at 10/22
850 is below all time high and earnings are at 10/20
Long calls at 900 at 10/29
IV is cheap now and wil continue to be cheap
Delta and gamma are also cheap
Long calls at Pre 850
Theta is cheap
Exploits moonboy run