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Analysing the US 10-Year Treasury Yield

TVC:US10Y   US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield
Analysing the US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Fed Meeting Focus and Key Resistance Levels

Market attention is currently fixated on the upcoming two-day Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday. The expectation is for the Fed to maintain interest rates at their current level, with investors closely monitoring any updates to economic projections and interest rate forecasts by policymakers.

Following a notable rally last week, the US 10-year Treasury yield has returned to a critical juncture, hovering around the key resistance level of 4.35/36. This level marks the highs seen in August 2023 and February 2024, representing a pivotal point on the short-term chart.

In terms of future movement, attention is drawn to potential upward movement beyond 4.36. A longer-term analysis reveals that an established trendline now acts as resistance at 4.60. Just before this level, the 61.8% retracement of the recent downward trend sits at 4.55 (October to December 2023). For further insights, referring to the video posted on February 19th could be beneficial.

Critical near-term support is identified at the March 24 low of 4.04. Additionally, the 200-day moving average provides support at 4.21, while the 55-day moving average is situated at 4.15, further underlining key support levels.

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