QuantumLogicTrading
Short

THE BEAR HAS BEGUN - VOLS UP, VOLU UP, RISKOFF UP = STOCKS DOWN

FX:US30   Index of top 30 shares on Wall Street
114 0 8
6 months ago
and there she goes.

The start of the bear run i believe has begun, vols vxd             have spiked up 4% already, the market is down us30             and volume is on pace to be the highest in a month - all of which are bearish signs INCONJUNCTION with my previous article where we are seeing riskoff assets outperform today with us1! , xauusd             and usdjpy             . Rates also as a result got hammered with TYX             and TNX             selling off as demand/ liquidty floods in for the low risk govts.

All of which were bubbling along and were set off by an outstanding unemployment figure (4.7% vs 4.9%) which is likely to put tailwinds in the feds hiking plane since it is a key measure they target - especially when key fed members (Kaplan) has before insisted the economy is close, if not at, full employment (thus we need a hike). This emp report will likely spur on kaplan and the other hikers to push for an increase in june as furthering employment/ failure to apply the economic breaks (with a hike) could cause an overshoot on their 2% CPI             target. http://www.futuresmag.com/2016/06/02/feds-kaplan-says-us-pretty-darn-close-fully-employed

as discussed in detail in my previous article i am short equities now for the next 4 weeks at least, i expect a 5-10% retracement citing CB             and brexit event uncertainty and in general poor bull drivers as the cause of the bear .

6 months ago
Comment: Also a 6m hike cycle will be preferential as it is a good arbritary interval - 6 month hike cycle could be a long term goal by the fed - June-Dec
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