Shyx92

Long Trade Perspective on USD/CAD

Long
FX:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar
The USDCAD chart indicates a potential long setup, utilizing a confluence of Fibonacci retracement levels and market structure to guide our entries and exits.

Key Points:
Fibonacci Levels: The chart showcases important Fibonacci retracement levels at 75% and 89%, acting as our focal points for entry. These levels are meticulously chosen based on their historical significance where price action showed reversals.

Market Structure: Each Fibonacci level aligns with distinct Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that have previously acted as areas of interest in the market, suggesting strong potential for price reactions.

Entry Zones: The 0.75 (1.36218) retracement level and the 0.89 (1.35799) level serve as strategic entry points for the trade. These zones are marked on the chart as prime areas where the price could potentially make a turnaround.

Take-Profit Strategy: The primary take-profit target is set at the 0 (1.38461) level, which is derived from the upper limit of the most recent fair value gap. This target is selected based on the expectation that price will revisit and fill this gap.

Risk Management: A stop loss is positioned at the 1 (1.35470) level. This level is below our entry points and represents an area where the trade's underlying hypothesis would be considered invalid, thereby minimizing potential losses.

Trading Strategy Rationale:
We anticipate the USD/CAD pair to respect the established Fibonacci retracement levels and the coinciding FVGs, providing a solid foundation for the trade.
Our entries are based on the probability of bounce-backs from these levels, seeking to capitalize on the market's recognition of these zones.
The upper FVG serves as our first TP target, aligning with the idea that the market will seek to fill the gap, thus offering a logical exit point with a profit.

Trade Execution Plan:
Entries: Gradual scale-ins are planned at the 0.75 and 0.89 Fibonacci levels. This approach provides a strategic entry method, balancing the trade exposure as the price reaches our predefined zones.

Profit Targets: The take-profit is set with the expectation that the price will ascend to fill the upper FVG, aligning with our market structure analysis.

Stop Loss: The stop loss at level 1 ensures that we exit the trade if the price action negates our analysis, keeping potential losses in check.

Conclusion:
This USD/CAD trade idea encapsulates a synergy of Fibonacci retracement analysis and fair value gaps, which are anticipated to serve as pivotal points for price action. The strategy is fortified with a clear-cut risk management plan, ensuring that we are prepared for various market scenarios.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.