Look at this chart of the USDJPY
with weekly candles. It would make sense to at least surmise that there is a temporary top in place. Should we be looking to go long? or short? Below 116.00 should confirm the top for now. The price action from Feb 2nd is twice the average daily range. There are many possible Elliott Wave
counts on this. 3 in particular that all seem to fit. 1 suggest a top, 1 suggest a shorter term pull back and renewed upside and another still, suggests a very long term top. With the daily range being so high and rejection of 121.75 to the downside... what do you expect?