JinDao_Tai

Will the BoJ continue to Diverge?

Short
FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen
YES!

The BoJ is expected to release its monetary policy report today, and all signs point to the BoJ maintaining its current stance. Keeping with the negative rates of -0.1%. The BoJ is the last major central bank yet to jump onto the interest rate hike path, diverging from the rest of the world.

Releasing an unchanged monetary policy report at the last BoJ meeting in September saw the USDJPY fluctuate by almost 190 pips at the 144.50 price level before climbing higher by 135 pips to reach 145.90.

If we see a similar price action this time around, the USDJPY could fluctuate significantly along the 146.50 price level before climbing higher beyond 147 to test as high as the 148.50 (50% Fibonacci retracement level).

However, the threat of further intervention from the BoJ still looms. As the USDJPY climbs higher, look for possible action from the BoJ, to take the USDJPY back toward the 145 price level, and beyond that, the 140.70 key support level.

The safest sell-stop order would be below 145, SL: 50pips TP: 350pips (Risk to Reward of 1:6.9).

A slightly more adventurous sell-limit order would be below 147 SL: 40pips TP: 170 pips (Risk to Reward of 1:4)

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