I was not short on those days, I've opened short on Sept, 17 when: 1. I saw the day before a "hagging man" candle with a high volume (unfortunately there's a bug on the tradingview chart and we can't see); 2. on Sept. 17 a "shooting star" candle was formed with a decent volume; 3. the market knew that next day the FED will lower rates; 4. the price had reached a supply zone and June and July POC areas.
Price moves 70% in consolidation/accumulation/distribution areas (which could be big areas, and you can still make money, I agree), and 30% in trend areas, big ups, and downs.
I don't use oscillators, only Volume, Volume Profile, and 2 EMAs. I do Volume Price Analysis.
PS: you and I may control 0.000000000000000000002% of the game they DO CONTROL the whole game! If you could follow every single Stanley Druckenmiller's trade would you?
I'm stuck short on USD/CAD based on my same theory, holding loss after loss...