DavidBelleFX

Orderflow in FX explained

FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen
What is orderflow?
Order flow in any market is the placing of either pending or market orders. Prices may move due to the placement of these orders. What this means is that current value (i.e the spot rate) changes when there is a consumption of liquidity at a particular price level.
Why is this important?
What is occurring with any price movement is that either the longs have exceeded the liquidity of the shorts at the price if there is an increase (in a very simplified world, 10 units bought at 1.000 of X/Y currency when there are only 5 shorts at 1.000 will move price up) and vice versa for if price moves down.
Have you ever asked why you get stopped out?
'Stop hunting' is a legitimate way in which large players move the markets in order to generate liquidity. They do this to place orders with minimal slippage. The big players are not trading with small lots like retail traders. They are moving a huge amount of volume , so if they were to place a large order with limited liquidity, their order would not be able to be filled (remember above, markets move due to an imbalance in liquidity or in simpler terms, demand exceeding supply or vice versa). Therefore, by moving price towards areas of pending orders, they are able to place their large trades with limited slippage and get the best price. They know that they can take out weak longs or weak shorts (which I will explain in the following example) in order to accomplish this.
When you can identify where the bigger players want price to go to be able to place these orders, it is possible to piggyback on the coat tails of these moves.
Example
Note the area identified furthest to the left with the arrow. We see a period of consolidation following quite a bullish move. Sellers have entered here causing the up and down moves (the bulls are fighting the bears). It could be deduced that the sentiment here is bullish due to strong previous up moves and a weak Yen.
Weak longs would have been entered following the bullish candle on the left most side of the box with stops evidently where weak resistance had turned to support from the two candles prior to the bullish move, indicated by the red line. As the big players understand that there will be long positions here, they can identify where many stops and buy orders may be placed (previous resistance turned support - other examples for where stops could be placed may be at a Fib level or Moving Average etc).
Note the green box and more importantly the wick downwards. This is price being driven down to capture pending orders and stops. Once these orders have been captured, there is a liquidity vacuum. The big players now place their long positions now that they have entered a price where there is heightened liquidity. As there are now very few opposing short orders after the stop hunt, price moves very quickly upwards.
If you look at the highlighted areas, you can notice this occurring again and again, however, not necessarily always due to a stop hunt.

This piece is written to provide you with something to think about as opposed to how you can use it. Deduce what you can from it and explore the way in which it can benefit :)

If you have any questions or suggestions, feel free to contact me here or email me at david.belle@admiralmarkets.com
Note: this is the first educational post. We would appreciate feedback on this whether it is good or bad, helpful or absolutely useless.
Form your own opinions.
This is not to be interpreted as investment advice.
Trading leveraged products carries a potentially high level of risk. Losses may exceed deposits.


8 Tips For New Traders: http://bit.ly/2gLXPku

Brokers I use:
ThinkMarkets: http://bit.ly/2guPzVn

GKFX: http://bit.ly/2gyUF0E

London Capital Group: http://bit.ly/2fETttv (also offer Vanilla Options)




rougetrader66
a year ago
nice explanation:)
Reply
DavidBelleFX rougetrader66
a year ago
Thanks!
Reply
krescht PRO
a year ago
Hi David, very helpful and thanks for your help. Question: where to or how to identify these areas of interest ?
Reply
DavidBelleFX krescht
a year ago
Hi Krescht, thanks for your comment. I am glad that you asked. These areas of interest are going to be at areas where it is likely that there will be a cluster of orders. The most obvious places are above swing highs and below swing lows, above or below strong Fibonacci levels depending on price direction, above or below moving averages, above or below round numbers, just to name a few. Now you're probably wondering why? Well, these are the places where people are looking to get out if their trade goes wrong.

Also note periods of consolidation. These are extremely important on the chart as they identify where supply has exceeded demand, if price moves bearish and where demand has exceeded supply if price moves bullish. Areas such as these are very important as you can identify where potential buyers or sellers may be lying with pending orders in the future. Look at the chart above and see if you can notice what I mean, in the areas where I have highlighted (one should be very obvious and may have a slight 'aha' moment :)
Reply
krescht PRO DavidBelleFX
a year ago
Tks :-)
Reply
DavidBelleFX krescht
a year ago
No problems. Any other questions then feel free to ask.
Reply
krescht PRO DavidBelleFX
a year ago
snapshot

Attached my chart,
bids are now seen at 1.1340-50, 1.1325 and 1.1300, meaning somewhere in this zone we should enter again.
Took this info from actionforex, is there another site that you recommend ?
Reply
DavidBelleFX krescht
a year ago
Check out @TarantulaFX on Twitter. He is one of our analysts and provides great content :) Also @AdmiralMarkets on Twitter.
Reply
cashmachine01
a year ago
Thanks
Reply
DavidBelleFX cashmachine01
a year ago
No problems :)
Reply
mosad2
a year ago
Great post
Reply
DavidBelleFX mosad2
a year ago
Thank you :) much appreciated. If you have any ideas for future posts then please let me know.
Reply
Ideas Scripts Chart
United States
United Kingdom
India
España
Italia
Brasil
Россия
Türkiye
日本
한국
Home Stock Screener Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators For the WEB Widgets Stock Charting Library Priority Support Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Private Messages Chat Ideas Published Followers Following Priority Support Public Profile Profile Settings Billing Sign Out