Uncharted-FX

USD/SEK and EUR/SEK Breakout Trades!

Long
FX:USDSEK   U.S. Dollar / Swedish Krona
USDNOK has been one of my favourite Dollar pairs I have kept tabs on ever since the DXY was showing signs of a reversal. This market structure analysis can be used for ANY MARKET since ALL MARKETS move the same three ways.

USDNOK was in a long downtrend with multiple lower highs and lower lows. Price then began to base/range/consolidate. This was a sign that the downtrend was over or was exhausting as no new lower lows were being made. Scrolling back, price did find support at an important support/flip zone of 8.60.

The trigger for an entry is the breakout. We wanted a nice clean and strong breakout. This occurred with today's daily candle. Placing my stop loss just below the daily candle, and targeting the 9.20 zone. A good risk vs reward set up.


EURSEK is very similar. A lot of market structure confluences. We have had the break out too. Notice the large sell off and buyers stepping in on the retest already.

Similar approach: A stop loss below the daily breakout, and targeting the 10.55 zone.

As a bonus, I was watching USDNOK too.


We had a nice long downtrend with multiple swings, which hit a large support/flip zone at 8.70. From here, I was watching for an inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern. Unfortunately, we did not get that. BUT we did get a close above the previous lower high (9.0355) zone meaning the downtrend is officially over.

What I would like to see now is our first HIGHER LOW in this new uptrend, and this will provide us with an opportunity to enter, and we can place our stop loss below this higher low. Ideally, we would like this higher low to be formed with a retest of the breakout zone.

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