CosmicDust

VIX - long term trend up - 2/4/2015

INDEX:VIX   CBOE Volatility Index
341 14 14
10/20 EMA crossed in January 2015. A similar cross happened in June 2007, a couple of months ahead of 2007 market peak.

Also note both 10 and 20 EMA are pointing upward, suggesting VIX             may go even higher from here (so buckle             up!)
10/20 EMA crossed in 1994 twice and again in 1996.
+1 Reply
CosmicDust QuantitativeExhaustion
2 years ago
Cannot explain VIX and SPY correlation before 2002. Totally confused me. I intended to say if this is like 2007, SPY might have topped or close to the top but I just cannot say that. And thus instead I said what I saw on the chart - the VIX long term uptrend may have established.
+1 Reply
QuantitativeExhaustion PRO CosmicDust
2 years ago
Well VIX can go up with a bullish equity market as it it did in the 90's.
+1 Reply
CosmicDust QuantitativeExhaustion
2 years ago
Yes, the chart does not lie.
+1 Reply
QuantitativeExhaustion PRO CosmicDust
2 years ago
Perhaps a parabolic move up ?
+1 Reply
CosmicDust QuantitativeExhaustion
2 years ago
Possible but uncertain. I think odd is good VIX can go higher from current level.
+1 Reply
QuantitativeExhaustion PRO CosmicDust
2 years ago
You might also want to try VXO. This was what traders used before VIX popularity
+1 Reply
CosmicDust QuantitativeExhaustion
2 years ago
Looks similar to me.
+1 Reply
jangseohee
2 years ago
marvelous study
snapshot
+2 Reply
CosmicDust jangseohee
2 years ago
Thanks for the chart. Very nice!
+1 Reply
jangseohee CosmicDust
2 years ago
the only way to confirm the death cross is for the two ema to split up downwards :-)
for the moment 8 & 20 emas just kissed each other
+1 Reply
CosmicDust jangseohee
2 years ago
Understood - no sure thing but odds are good.
+2 Reply
jangseohee
2 years ago
Hi CosmicDust,
using a log chart, DJIA, RUT and NYA have broken their respective 2009 uptrendline ( doesnt mean price cant go higher)
SPX and nasdaq Composite are near 2009 trendline support
DJTA is still the best, not even near 2009 trendline support yet
+1 Reply
CosmicDust jangseohee
2 years ago
Thanks - will check them out!
+2 Reply
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