RyanMartin
Short

Valeant Pharma: Moving back down

NYSE:VRX   VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS INTL I
VRX             may, at first glance, look like the bloodshed is over and is moving to recovery. Not just yet. The daily MACD and StochRSI are inching toward sell indicators (see screenshot) and despite the markets upward movements today (Mon 12/14), VRX's recovery was pretty modest as more shareholders exit as they see the fall incoming.
Bottom line: Put options are a possability for short-term holding if you have the risk appetite. If you don't, then definitely wait to buy (back) in if you have been considering it. If you're holding this in hopes of shaving some of your losses or bought thinking it was recovery time, sell. Sometimes the most profitable thing you can do is take a loss.
VRX's financials aren't bad by any means, but they're product pipeline is pretty weak. Consider Addyi, the "female viagra": in the first month on the market only 224 rx's for it were sold. The market is very narrow since it is only considered safe in post-menopausal women who don't drink and think its pretty dramatic side-effect profile is worth the risk. VRX             has even hired on a crisis-management firm in response to antipicated F.T.C action in regard to their pricing practices.
Valeant should have never reached as high as it did and now the correction is coming. VRX             has been around a while but thier $31bln market cap is absurd. They have a price to earnings of 54(!), an earning per share <$2, and still have a fairly high debt-to-assets ratio. Compare those stats to Shire who is $38bln but have an earning per share of $15, and a price-to-earnings of only $12.21.
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