mantracommodity
Long

Silver with a bull start of 2015

FX:XAGUSD   Silver/U.S. Dollar
Silver             (07.01.2015) remain very quite for more than 2 months & traded in range. However this range bound trading came with some surprising moves which plotting the future movement story most probably.

Fundamental remains very weak for silver             from last few months, gold             with bad performance in 2014 kept pressure on silver             as well as slowdown in leading manufacturing economy china slashes silver             demand as industrial metal. With a positive start of 2015 from gold             & a major expectation of QE             from china , japan & europe together could provide a supportive ambiance for this metal.

Coming to the technical picture, Silver             trading at $16.35 while i am writing this & as we can see on chart in December 2014 silver             made a low around $14 mark & bounce same day with some extra volume . This move almost tested the 261.8% fibonacci retracement level of last upside move. This move also provided a strong positive divergence on charts as well as a falling volume under consolidation period suggest absence of sellers on current level. Thus a combination of bounce from lower trendline of long term descending channel & a most possible inside bullish channel hinting for a recovery ahead. Area around $17.70 & then $18.70 could be targeted in coming trading session.

SILVER             MCX             has same story like comex silver             still on mcx             charts, silver             looks more comfortable , probably due to INR             movement. A strong black cloud cover candle with great volume & follow up by a consolidation period with thin volume . RSI generating a positive divergence . Silver             also broken above a descending trendline & currently following a minor upside channel. This technical setup suggest for a bounce ahead to retest the previous high around 39000 & then may be 41000 in coming trading session.

At the end time will tell us the true story.
Best of luck.

Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation. For recommendations Contact Us
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