goldenBear88

Triple Top rejection on Gold's H4 / Critical sessions ahead

Short
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Gold's general commentary: The Price-action (Xau-Usd spot prices as always on my commentary) was under Buying pressure on yesterday's E.U. session (from Bond Yields on spiral downtrend) and got higher on each Hourly 4 candle (evident Double Bottom formation previously printed) but on a slow pace which may be an indicator that the Short-term Neutral trend is almost over. However, I need to see the Hourly 4 Resistance of #1,758.80 broken (in order to price the Resistance, always move it #3$ point up from the current one and keep that as your breakout point) and close the market above it to confirm a Buying continuation regarding Short-term. As discussed yesterday, with the Daily chart Bearish, I believe Gold current uptrend is well Supported within #1,727.80 - #1,730.80. Still, I won’t take risks (further Buying) above that zone as current and next week is packed with macro-economic reports which may add the Volatility index and pause the Bullish reversal. Do not be surprised if Gold continues the consolidation as there are #3 Supports and Resistances on both sides, as the Price-action can continue the Neutral trend until major move is revealed. I will Buy Gold only if #1,758.80 breaks.


Technical analysis: Gold was Trading on evident gains after it failed to break below it’s Hourly 1 chart Support. This sequence is similar to the September #24 - #28 pattern when a Double Bottom was made before the strong rebound. It is therefore possible to re-test #1,727.80 before rebounding, but not as certain, as the DX touched its Hourly 4 Support and broke it strongly. Also Gold's strength is highly correlated with the mixed values on the Bond Yields (on a spiral downtrend throughout yesterday's session, but now on a mini recovery) and Support break on DX. Gold is still in #1,740.80 - #1,750.80 Neutral zone as #MA50 on Daily chart is still Resisting the uptrend and is untouched since February #3, which Gold would need to break firmly in order to continue the uptrend. Break of #MA50 is turning Gold from Neutral to Bullish on Short-term and from Bearish to Bullish on Medium-term.


My position:
I have engaged my Buy order on #1,753.80 break yesterday, but as Gold was idle in the continuation (Trading within #3 points for more than #2 hours near market closing), Gold priced the Top there as I closed my order on breakeven. I will Sell Gold if #1,742.80 - #1,740.80 zone breaks, calling for #1,722.80, as break of #1,742.80 break can deliver decent push and quick spike towards #1,730.80, where I will be ready to close my order with Profits and wait for a final push if #1,730.80 is broken. I will not Buy unless #MA50 breaks on Daily chart, Trading on #1,758.80.

- My official and only Telegram Channel: t.me/goldenBear88
- Few other un-official channels are not mine, they are copies using my real information (impersonating me and my work / identity) so keep that in mind and beware of those.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.