Xanrox

GOLD - Will double in price in a few years! (cup and handle)

Long
Xanrox Updated   
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
GOLD is at its all-time high levels and will continue in the price discovery action. Why? On the chart, you can see a cap and handle formation that is currently breaking out on the monthly chart. This is a huge event for gold, and therefore the price can double in a few years from now. Does it mean that we will see a multi-year bull market? Definitely yes. This cup and handle formation is fully confirmed. The monthly candle closed above the neckline of this pattern with a bullish engulfing candle. 

How to trade? If you are an investor, simply buy gold and hold, you can expect a pretty good and reliable return in a few years. If you are a swing trader, I recommend trading with the trend and going for buy/long only strategies. Do not short gold on futures, as it will lower the probability of success. And if you are a day trader, also focus on long-only strategies, and you can potentially short GOLD, but only with limit orders that you put above the current price. Avoid trading bearish breakouts, as they tend to take liquidity (stop losses) and reverse. 

What is the profit target for gold in 2026 or 2030? There is no historical price action, so to determine our profit targets, we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool and Elliott Wave theory with simple trendlines. On the chart, you see my Fibonacci projection (wave 1 -> wave 2). Usually, the market tends to react to the 1.0 extension, the 1.618 FIB extension, and the 2.0 extension. These are strong levels, but only for a short-term bounce. As my title says, I am expecting a huge bull market, so do not forget to follow my account to stay updated!

Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Comment:
Please keep in mind that this is the monthly timeframe. Gold is breaking out on the monthly cap and handle formation, which is huge!
Comment:
On the monthly chart, we have a trendline (1980 - 2011). This trendline didn't act as a resistance, which means a parabolic trend is ahead.
Comment:
Adam Rozencwajg of Goehring and Rozencwajg, a fundamental research firm specializing in contrarian natural resource investments, forecasts a sustained bull market for gold, driven by increasing geopolitical tensions, central banks’ efforts to de-dollarize, and escalating inflation risks. He predicts that gold prices could reach $5,000 to $7,000 per ounce, supported by unprecedented central bank purchases, particularly among BRICS nations moving away from the U.S. dollar.

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