Analysis XAU/USD and World War III
In this post, we will analyze the gold chart with the symbol XAU/USD
Gold is highly dependent on the value of the US dollar as well as global political developments.
Possible conflicts between China and Taiwan on the one hand and verbal conflicts between Iran and Azerbaijan and Turkey on the other hand could affect the price of gold.
The US stance against the Taliban's rise to power in Afghanistan, as well as the outcome of the Vienna talks between Iran and the p4+ 1, could also affect the global price of the precious metal.
But apart from the above issues, US fiscal policy also has an immediate impact on this chart. For example, this week there are reports of 10- and 30-year bonds that the Fed's policy could increase the value of the dollar and devalue the xau/usd , or vice versa, with the devaluation of the dollar, gold will gain strength.
CPI and other economic news data should not be underestimated either, as it can cause large uptrends or downtrends.
Another point is that the price of BITCOIN is rising and has attracted the attention of many small and large investors, which can also reduce the value of gold.
But based on technical analysis:
The US dollar index with the symbol DXY has formed a triangular pattern from which the exit is likely to occur this week. If the Fed pursues its current policy and postpones interest rate changes to the future, the dollar will probably hit the bottom of the triangle.
Gold is in the sell range, which is below the stop loss, because we see that this week's data is useful for the dollar, and this will continue the downward trend. That's why tp is around support.
A trend line has also played the role of resistance.
The MACD line was also able to break the SIGNAL line downwards, which is accompanied by a decline in the EMA 20 to 10, which confirms the downtrend.
Gold is highly dependent on the value of the US dollar as well as global political developments.
Possible conflicts between China and Taiwan on the one hand and verbal conflicts between Iran and Azerbaijan and Turkey on the other hand could affect the price of gold.
The US stance against the Taliban's rise to power in Afghanistan, as well as the outcome of the Vienna talks between Iran and the p4+ 1, could also affect the global price of the precious metal.
But apart from the above issues, US fiscal policy also has an immediate impact on this chart. For example, this week there are reports of 10- and 30-year bonds that the Fed's policy could increase the value of the dollar and devalue the xau/usd , or vice versa, with the devaluation of the dollar, gold will gain strength.
CPI and other economic news data should not be underestimated either, as it can cause large uptrends or downtrends.
Another point is that the price of BITCOIN is rising and has attracted the attention of many small and large investors, which can also reduce the value of gold.
But based on technical analysis:
Gold is in the sell range, which is below the stop loss, because we see that this week's data is useful for the dollar, and this will continue the downward trend. That's why tp is around support.
A trend line has also played the role of resistance.
The MACD line was also able to break the SIGNAL line downwards, which is accompanied by a decline in the EMA 20 to 10, which confirms the downtrend.
Trade closed: stop reached