OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
>>> Gold on a monthly basis <<< a little more text than usual >>>
In this current situation there are 3 variants:

1. the blue variant, in which a SHS formation could develop, which would then have the computationally compulsory target @ 2,458,464 $ ... but also 2,719 $ would not be excluded.
Here June should hit $ 1,957,856 and not close below $ 1,874,772.
In that case - with the blue variant - we could label the June high as wave 1 or a) from the final black, rising wave 5.
For the low of wave 2 or b) of wave 5, $ 1,771,945 should be sufficient.

2. The purple variant: which could end wave B) at 2067,665 $ and fall back by mid-22 to close purple C, where the higher-level wave 4 would then be finished and then the rising wave 5 would start.

3. The red variant assumes that:
--- The September 2011 high was a parent 1
--- The December low of 2015 was a superordinate A) of the big wave 2
--- the August high 2020 the B)
--- and consequently the red C) of the superordinate wave 2 would have to fall lower, which could reach $ 1,222.
This would finish the superordinate, big wave 2 and a very bullish, big wave 3 could start.
Duration 5-10 years, minimum target is @ 2,643 $, but anything far beyond that would also be open.
--- In a less positive case, the red C of big wave 2 could even drop to $ 1,060.
--- In a very negative, strong bearish trend, wave 2 could even drop below $ 1,000 i.e. reach $ 954.98 or even $ 756, which the power elite would very much like to see.
The first signal for this would be the moment when the bearish Tenkan-Kijun Cross is visible on a monthly basis and both lines would leave the green cloud after utes.
At the moment we are seeing a large bearish butterfly pattern on a monthly basis.
In this chart I wanted to show all 3 variants but to have more clarity I will post each variant separately.
Comment:
Next target 1853-1859
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.