Gold Slips Below $1,955 Mark Amid Strengthening US Dollar

Gold prices are experiencing a downward trend for the second consecutive day, struggling to overcome the $1,955 hurdle, primarily due to a firmer US Dollar and negative market sentiment. The US Dollar's resurgence is taking a toll on the precious metal, even as it disregards mixed Federal Reserve discussions in anticipation of Thursday's US inflation data. Lingering pessimism related to China's economic situation, coupled with a cautious market mood ahead of significant data and events, is also placing downward pressure on Gold prices.

The US Dollar has managed to regain its footing against major global currencies at the outset of the new trading week, spurred by apprehensions surrounding forthcoming inflation data releases from China and the US. This renewed strength in the US Dollar is further supported by hawkish comments from Michelle Bowman, a Federal Reserve Governor. Speaking in Atlanta, Bowman emphasized the importance of identifying consistent and notable decreases in inflation as a determining factor for any future adjustments in the federal funds rate. Her statements underscored a commitment to maintaining a sufficiently tight monetary policy.

Market sentiment, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, indicates that a substantial 86.5% of participants anticipate the Federal Reserve refraining from raising interest rates in September. Nonetheless, broader sentiment remains cautiously optimistic about a final rate hike later in the year. The upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Thursday is poised to provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve's potential rate decisions. This renewed demand for the US Dollar has dampened Gold prices, driving them closer to recent multi-month lows.

As trading progresses on Tuesday, investors are seeking refuge in the US Dollar amid escalating geopolitical tensions between China and Japan concerning Taiwan. Aso of Japan's Liberal Democratic Party noted a shift from peace to turbulence in the region and emphasized the importance of stability in the Taiwan Strait for regional harmony.

Simultaneously, concerns surrounding China's economic rebound have been amplified by the latest data from China Customs, indicating a 14.5% year-on-year decrease in exports and a 12.4% drop in imports for July. This development has further supported the US Dollar's position and contributed to the downward trajectory of Gold prices. Nevertheless, the downward movement in Gold prices seems to have encountered a level of support due to uninspiring performances in US Treasury bond yields across various maturity periods.

Attention is now turning to the release of Chinese Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data on Wednesday, which will serve as important indicators of deflationary trends in the world's second-largest economy. Additionally, traders will be attuned to Wall Street sentiment and forthcoming comments from Federal Reserve representatives, as no major US economic data releases are scheduled for Tuesday. These factors combined are set to influence market dynamics in the upcoming days.

TurnAround Point : 1945.00

Our preference

Below 1945.00 look for further downside with 1929.00 & 1924.00 as targets.

Trade closed: target reached: