akyong

25th - 29th January Weekly Outlook

FX:XAUUSD   Gold/U.S. Dollar
Going into next week, the key focus will be mainly on 3 central banks - the Fed FOMC Statement, RBNZ Rate Statement, and BoJ Monetary Policy Statement.

We believe that the Fed will not further increase its interest rate this coming week. Instead, our focus will be on the tone of Yellen. Any sign of concern from her in regards to the US economy will potentially send the US dollar             down.

Similarly for RBNZ, the tone of Wheeler is key to this event. Indication that further rate cut in the future will send the NZD further down as well.

Lastly, BoJ might potentially increase its QE             programme. While this risk event will be the highlight for the Japanese Yen             , it is also crucial to focus on risk events happening in the financial market. Further uncertainty in the market can in turn strengthen the Yen.

OUR DIRECTIONAL BIAS FOR THE WEEK

- AUD & NZD neutral (a recent shift in risk sentiment) - watch out for AUD CPI             and RBNZ Rate Statement
- CAD neutral (while Oil             is still bearish , BoC             tone was optimistic in their last statement) - watch out any update in the Oil             market.
- EUR bearish (fundamental of EUR is still weak) - no key risk event next week
- CHF & JPY neutral (a recent shift in risk sentiment) - watch out for BoJ Monetary Policy Statement
- GBP bearish (fundamental data on GBP has been weak) - watch out for Prelim GDP
- USD neutral (while the FED has hike rate, there are still uncertainties in the US economy) - watch out for Fed FOMC meeting

Read our full outlook here: http://www.fxpresearch.com/market-analysis/2016/1/24/24th-january-market-analysis
Chief Currency Strategist
Alpha Play Forex Trading School - www.alphaplay.com.sg
YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/user/akyong9
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biancaclive
10 months ago
many thanks for your views,
+1 Reply
akyong biancaclive
10 months ago
you're welcome :)

hope they give you clearer insights or even different perspectives on the market
Reply
tigerluo
10 months ago
so nice, i agree with you.
Reply
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