Sawcruhteez

Bitcoin Daily Update (Day 296)

Long
BITMEX:XBTUSD.P   Bitcoin
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Consensio: S MA > P > M MA > L MA

Patterns: Phase 7 hyperwave. Symmetrical triangle.
Horizontals: R: $3,879 | S: $3,762
Trendline: Symm triangle
Parabolic SAR: $4,180
BTCUSDSHORTS: Starting to pull back hard, will it be a leading indicator?
Funding Rates: Longs receive 0.0165%
Futures Curve: Backwardation
TD’ Sequential: Price flip
Ichimoku Cloud: The one potentially positive thing about a thick cloud is big opportunity on an edge-to-edge trade.
Average Directional Index: Ready for volatility
Price Action: 1d: -0.7% 2w: -1.5% 30d: +1%
Bollinger Bands: Amazing how quickly it is squeezing and how well we have been finding support at the MA.
Relative Strength Index: Struggling to stay above 50 for long
Stochastic Oscillator: %K is continuing to diverge

Summary: Consensio, BTCUSDSHORTS, Backwardation in the futures curve and the Bollinger Band are the main reasons I am leaning bullish. However the risk:reward feels much better for a short. Even though we have fallen this far, I still believe we have further to go and a bunch of built up resistance above.

With a daily close below $3,650 I will likely be re entering shorts due to the Consensio guidelines. On the other hand ETH:USD looks almost ready to confirm a cup and handle + ascending triangle pattern that carries a target of $190 - $200.


I’ve set a small stop order at $160.

emasar Indicator is available for purchase at alphanalysis.io/product/emasar/
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