Sawcruhteez
Long

Why I believe Bitcoin will retest All Time Highs by July 1, 2020

BITMEX:XBTUSD   Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract
Disclaimer: If you are primarily interested in copying other people’s trades then this is not for you. However, if you are willing to put in the work that it takes to learn how to trade for yourself then you have found the right place! Nevertheless please be advised that you can give 10 people a profitable trading strategy and only 1-2 of them will be able to succeed long term. If you fall into the majority that tries and fails then I assume no responsibility for your losses. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business.

Sawcruhteez Strategies: How to BUY THE DIP | Advanced Dollar Cost Averaging Methods



EMASAR: Buy $8,158

Patterns: Schematic 2 of Wyckoff Accumulation
Bear channel: Horizontals:
Resistance: $8,300 | $8,600 | $9,300
Support: $8,000 | $7,800 | $7,600
Trendline: Also see bear channel above.
Lucid SAR: If looking for SAR based on Welles Wilder’s original calculations then use “Lucid SAR” on Trading View.
Broke weekly Lucid SAR on Monday for the first time since March 2019. First time it’s been bullish since July 2019.
Average Directional Index: Weekly is getting a bullish DI crossover for the first time since March 2019. 4h is rolling over indicating that a short term correction or sideways consolidation is to be expected.
Relative Strength Index: Weekly is getting ready to test 50.
Coppock Curve: Rolling up below 0. Looks quite similar to January 2019.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price inside daily cloud with bullish TK Cross. Watching for bullish kumo twist and kumo breakout.
Futures Curve: Contango with 2.74% spread
Funding Rates: Longs pay shorts 0.01%
TD’ Sequential: Pull back from 4h 9. Daily on a 7 with a reversal candle.
Price Action:

Summary: Hello everyone, long time no see! Hope that you all had a great holiday season and are excited to hit the ground running in 2020. I sure know I am!

This is an important update because it is the first time I have bought BTC since June. There are a number of important indicators which lead me to have a high degree of confidence that the bottom is in.

We recently had a golden cross with the 4h 50 and 200 EMA’s. We brokethrough a bearish Weekly Lucid SAR for the first time since March 2019. We got a bullish DI crossover on the ADX for the first time since March 2019.

We are also back above the 50 EMA on the Daily and Weekly. The Coppock Curve is rolling up below 0 and looks very similar to the first couple months of 2019.

EMASAR signaled it’s first buy since February 2019:
Perhaps most importantly we have rested the logarithmic trendline for the first time since March 2019:
The similarities between now and when Bitcoin was below $4,000 are far too significant to ignore.

Furthermore we are at the final stages of a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. If this current pullback finds support above $7,600 then it would provide the signal of strength and the pattern would be complete. If it consolidates into some sort of bull pennant then that would be ideal.

Also I’m starting to pay close attention to the 6 & 12 month cycles that BTC likes to go on. January 2018 marked the top of the bull run and January 2019 marked the bottom. 6 months later on July 1st 2019 we hit the local top.


I am expecting this pattern to continue and think that January 2020 will mark the bottom of the last 6 month bear market.

With the halving right around the corner I believe that this will be the best time to buy BTC since 2016. Buy the hype, sell the news, buy the dip. If this was accumulation then we should not fall back below $7,300. If that happens then I will be looking to exit.

I will end this post by making a new bold prediction and reaffirming one made previously. I expect Bitcoin to retest all time highs by July of 2020. It will take some time to breakthrough that level but I fully believe we will before the end of the year.

I also a holding onto my longer term target of $150,000 Bitcoin by May 2022.
EMASAR Indicator is available for purchase at http://www.sawcruhteez.com

Comments

to continue rising btc has to break descending channel resistance at first
+2 Reply
Thanks for this update Sawcruhteez! Hope you have a great trading year in 2020.
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Thanks for sharing!
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Sure nailed this one! nice @Sawcruhteez
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I have been watching this chart for a few days and the bars almost match your lines perfectly excellent chart and strategy will definitely be following you for future trading Info
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Hi, welcome back. I get the feeling that the momentum indicators could be lagging and thus are not very useful in predicting bottoms. If we look at the structure of the price lower highs are made. Taking out prior high would thus lead to first bullish indication. Before - pure speculation.
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#Bitcoin Resistance Rejected

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CME Gap filled first around 7680
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Thanks for sharing your knowledge, I'm learning a lot.
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