BITMEX:XBTUSD   Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

Happy Valentines Day to everyone and lets hope BTC won't fuck us all tonight =)
This cycles analysis was made 4 days ago and I published it in Twitter and Telegram. According to it, today or tomorrow Bitcoin should start a new mini cycle. Previously it was a period of growth. What will be now, hard to say, as BTC been forming a rising wedge for some time and the most probable way out if it is down. But since Bitcoin is not a usual currency, it often does the opposite of what people expect it to do. I won't be surprised of any future move.

BTC is still within an uptrend and so I expect price to grow today. Even if there will be a dump, it will need some liquidity from 10300 at least. But if you want to short, take a look at 11th February and think twice (have SL). If it will pump, most probably 10550 won't stop it this time and it will grow higher, just like it did on 11th. If dump, my targets for long entries are 9600 - 9850. Not shorting BTC in uptrend for sure.
Feb 14
Comment: P.S. If you like my analysis and want me to update it regularly, push LIKE =)
Feb 15
Yesterday forecasted BTC will test 10300 and it hit 10400. Cycles analysis expected new stage to start within 14-16 February, and I am still in anticipation of it. So far bulls picked up every dip at lower trendline. Now we can see volume falling again, and price getting close to the same trendline - so either bulls will pick up that dip again and push higher with increasing volume, or trendline will be broken, and lower support zones come into play. Watch the volume - it will support the direction of future move. Sorry, but no certainty here.
Feb 15
Comment: Told you - in the name of love, everyone will be f**ked =)

Feb 16
Comment: New gap forming - it should be closed, so pump back up expected

Feb 17
Comment: Almost got the size of gap =)

Feb 19
Comment: CME gap (from day timeframe) is closed. Told you =)

Feb 19
Comment: New cycle is coming. The way it forms either will be another 5 days of consolidation or price will pump up to my February targets

Feb 20
Comment: That was a nice dump. BTC closed CME futures gap by a wick and that was enough to release support and let price fall under its own weight. Got to believe in cycles theory stronger to be prepared and close all trades on the day it happens - next will be February 24th. So should be prepared to close all deals on Sunday/Monday.

Expect BTC to bounce today. The lower it will be rejected, the further down it will retrace. Something tells me that we may see price below 9k as well.

Feb 22
First bounce after the dump wasn't that big as I expected, as it was rejected from the nearest resistance zone. Now it is under a question, if there will be another attempt. Volume drops towards the next sharp move that should happen on 24-25th of February (according to cycles theory). Now market posses too many risks. The only risk free position can be taken now is wait for the dips. If week candle close below 9600, BTC will become mid term bearish (already is at lower timeframes, but that will finalize the process). Targets for retracement will be BTC 8900 - 8700 - 8300. If another pump will happen, nearest untouched resistance is at 9940 - 10095.
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