BrainRules

Crash Incoming 6?

XLP/SPX  
BrainRules Updated   
XLP/SPX  
Usually Consumer Staples, a risk-off sector, has an inverse correlation with the S&P500 . In this chart, strong uptrends in the XLP / SPX (blue line) coincides with S&P500 (green line) corrections or crashes (circles). There is a possibility that the bottom of the XLP / SPX was the below white line in the chart, while the top one, a historically strong support/resistance , could have a significant role in the following weeks or months. If this white line is broken in the future, it could mean, in the worst case scenario, the confirmation of a bear market or a crash.

Again, lines in the sand, nevertheless, I believe this are times to be extra careful.

(This idea was developed based on a Game of Trades analysis).
Comment:
The same chart with candles instead of the blue line price.
Comment:
Update the chart, going up to resistance again.
Comment:
Comment:
Comment:
Careful, even today, for now a green day, we can barely see a clear rejection of the resistance line. Let's see what is going to happen tomorrow.
Comment:
Well, sooner than I expected... it's breaking:
Comment:
Probably we can confirm the breakout:
Comment:
I hope you have been following this indicator, it's working perfectly (wait for the trend reversal, until then, patience and DCA accordingly):


Good luck!
Comment:
Remember... XLP / SPX is still in a uptrend, until we see a clear change in this trend markets will continue to go down:

Comment:
Comment:

A more precise approach of this chart... After reaching the white line, now support, there is a possibility that XLP/SPX will go, at least, towards the yellow line. But maybe only the red resistance line could be the next strong inflection point for the S&P 500. With these possibilities in mind to manage my short positions I will wait to long any asset, except for TLT; based on my last 'crash' idea, after the consolidation, it could start its way up in the following weeks (nevertheless, as always, it will be a very cautious buy).
Today, BTC (crypto) started a strong pullback and, generally, at least in the last months, this market anticipates the traditional markets moves. Futures are already down, but this means that strong pullbacks of the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq could be a very likely possibility.
Stay well...
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.