JoshMcGruff

$XRP - Massive amount of shorts for Rocket Fuel

Long
BITTREX:XRPBTC   XRP / Bitcoin
$XRP is currently sitting on a support line with Bullish Divergences on the 4HR.
On the 1D we are also way oversold as XRP has just been punished in this Bear Market.


What's more insane to me, is the crazy amount of Shorts that have currently built up on XRP which could provide a massive short squeeze launching the price.

Comment: Shorts on XRP have come down some as I assume traders are closing their positions in fear of a short squeeze. There are still *a lot* of shorts stacked for fuel.


$XRP had a small bounce off the support and bullish pressure appears to be building on the 4 hour CMF.

XRP hit the 10 MA which is currently acting as a small resistance.


Overall, I'm still very bullish on $XRP. It respected its support and bounced, indicators are flipping to bullish and shorts are still stacked high.

If $XRP continues to build volume and price, shorts will start liquidating or traders will rush to close them giving us some explosive results and we may see one of our first altcoins chase up after $BTC
Comment: $XRP is still moving along as planned.

It bounced up roughly 5% before hitting the 20 MA (4 Hour) which lines up with the VPVR Resistance.

It appears to be consolidating into a small Bull Pennant.

CMF and OBV are still trending bullish (4 Hour).


Shorts are still loaded for XRP giving the opportunity for a very volatile run if they start closing or liquidating.

Comment: Some $XRP analysis on the 3D chart.

While the amount per rally has been *vastly* different (lowest 56% highest 2000%) When the Stoch is as oversold as it is, we historically have had a rally each time.

TA wise, it makes sense to hit the top resistance line, roughly 270%

So, as always the trade will be monitored, but I believe this rally has the *potential* (keyword) of about 270%

Comment: $XRP has been pretty stable through the BTC movements and has been accumulating and respecting its support.

Now on the 1D Heikin-Ashi, we're seeing a green Doji forming (needs to close that way today to confirm). If it closes as a Doji, it will be the first sign of a larger trend reversal. First resistance is at about 6125 with the next at roughly 7000.

Comment: After yesterday's Doji on the Heikin-Ashi 1 Day, we're starting to see a trend reversal and strong buying pressure as shown by the green candle with no shadow under it.

If it closes today with the same structure, it will be a nice bullish statement for the overall trend of $XRP.

First major resistance appears to be around 7000 sats.

Comment: On the 1 hour, $XRP has come back down to it's Support cloud.

We're seeing Bullish pressure building on the CMF while price is dropping giving us Bullish Divergence. I would expect to see us bounce here soon


On the 4HR, we've come down to the Kijun which is acting as a support and we can see the candles are consolidating.

We also had a strong 10/20 MA cross and very close to a Bullish TK Cross.


On the 1D Heikin-Ashi, the Daily candles are green with no shadow underneath showing strong buying power. If a shadow starts to appear, that would be the first "warning sign" of the overall trend slowing down.

Comment: $XRP potential play. Would line up with a bounce off the top of the 2HR cloud and form an ascending triangle. Need one more bounce to confirm the trend line though.

Comments

Very nice TA. Thank you
+3 Reply
Thanks a lot for the detailed description.
+1 Reply
Yes, terrific. Thanks for keeping us updated. Really appreciate your clear analysis across many coins. Thank you!
+1 Reply
great analysis, keep it coming!
+1 Reply
Noticed BNB is acting same as XRP with respect to BTC in the past 7 days or so. What do you think?
BNB Q4 burn did not result in a reversal. Woder if BNB will go back up too!
+1 Reply
the xrpusdlong xrpbtclong bagholder dont fit into this narrativ though
+1 Reply
I'm new to this, can you explain the last part please? How would a massive amount of shorts drive up the price? I don't understand the 'short squeeze' bit.
Thanks
+1 Reply
@grinel, Howdy! A short squeeze is when a coin is heavily shorted (as shown in that chart by the massive candle of short contracts). If the price of $XRP rises rapidly, it will cause the short contracts to liquidate and close their short position immediately. This causes more buying pressure which can cause a chain reaction as shorters quickly close their positions to minimize losses or are liquidated. This process is called a "short squeeze" and is very volatile. It works in the opposite direction too with Longs and you can have a long squeeze which causes a massive drop.

I hope this helps! You can also google "Investopedia Short Squeeze" (or Investopedia "term") for anything that you're not familiar with. Investopedia is a great resource to get your feet wet with unfamiliar terms. :)
Reply
grinel JoshMcGruff
@JoshMcGruff thank you, I appreciate you took the time to explain. Makes perfect sense!
+1 Reply
Nice party start soon.
+1 Reply
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