travis18haney

YM Dow Jones In State 4 Pullback to Mean (Bullish Position)

CBOT_MINI:YM1!   E-mini Dow Jones ($5) Futures
The market only moves from narrow to wide states and repeats. Currently, the market is in state 4 out of the 5 states.

State 1: Narrow state before the move higher ( Narrow )

State 2: The trending move higher ( Trending )

State 3: The expanded move away from the mean ( Wide )

State 4: The reversion back down to the mean ( Trending )

State 5: The narrow state again prepping for the next move higher ( Narrow )



The past 6 times the market has been in its pullback state 4 phase, the hourly 21ema has been at a 34-53 degree angle declining

The hourly chart is in positive position due to it being above the 200sma and trending bullish

Comment:
The 5 minute 200sma is one and the same as the hourly 21ema. They are both declining meaning short term bearishness. It is looking for support for another bounce higher.

Comment:
Will it reject at the 200sma or will it pop above it first before falling again?

I don't know where the low will be at and I quite frankly don't care. I will trade in the direction of the 5 minute 21ema day by day.

I will be looking for possible shorts in the short term

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