travis18haney

YM Wednesday Big Sell Off Day? Fill In Gap At 39,150? 600 ticks

Short
CBOT_MINI:YM1!   E-mini Dow Jones ($5) Futures
A couple of pieces of information that I think will cause a sell off down to 39,150

A declining Hourly 21ema

A gap at 39,150

A rising 200sma that has been poked through last two times

Ramped volume from the FOMC


600 ticks seems really excessive for one session. Maybe two sessions.

Do I go for the throat and hold for a massive trade or do I take the base hit 2 to 1?

I don't want to be greedy but I also don't want to leave money on the table.

Maybe I will go in the middle just watch each hourly candle and close it when I see a fat red candle exhausting itself


Comment:
If it gaps down like this tomorrow I will be going for the jugular. 500 ticks at least

Comment:
This analysis was completely off. Price gapped up to 39,880 and the setup for today was a gap and crap. I admit I entered a tad late. Two bars after that engulfing. I couldn't tell if it would bounce back up to hit stops first.

I used a 50 point stop and a 90 point target for a 1.8R trade

My target happened to coincide with the 15' 21ema

Trade closed: target reached:
Today was a successful day in that I recognized the gap and crap, that I entered at a relatively safe spot with little to no heat and that I was patient enough to let the trade hit my target

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.