policydivergence

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, 4 months ago
USDJPY: BOJ: JPY V USD, EUR, GBP - WHAT THE OPTION MARKET IS TELLING US
448 6 11
USDJPY, D
BOJ: JPY V USD, EUR, GBP - WHAT THE OPTION MARKET IS TELLING US
50 Delta ATM Volatilities: USDJPY - - $Yen has an ATM implied volatility curve of 55.95%mrkt 24.08%1wk 18.31%2wk 14.12%1m - Obviously we are aggressively steeper in the front end, with BOJ tomorrow and JPY MOF Fiscal Package details coming next week providing heightened vol for the 1day and 1wk vols - naturally ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 4 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD SHORT: BOE/ FOMC POLICY EXPECTATIONS INCREASINGLY BEARISH
339 2 18
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD SHORT: BOE/ FOMC POLICY EXPECTATIONS INCREASINGLY BEARISH
Following today's Service/ Manufacturing PMI miss (worst contraction in 88 months - since 2009) the Sterling market has come under significant pressure as BOE rate cut expectations increase with OIS rates markets pricing a 94% chance of a 4th Aug cut vs 85% before the PMI's were released. Further, the PMI misses ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Short , 4 months ago
EURUSD: SHORT EURUSD: MISPRICING ECB & FED POLICY/ FUTURE POLICY/ BREXIT
486 2 17
EURUSD, D Short
SHORT EURUSD: MISPRICING ECB & FED POLICY/ FUTURE POLICY/ BREXIT
The Gross underpricing of ECB and FOMC Monetary Policy Changes - A fully-priced medium-term equilibrium Lower coming? EURUSD: *Short EURUSD 3m-12m Duration: 1/2lots @1.11 - 1.07TP1; 1.04-5TP2 1.01TP3 1. On Decemeber 2nd the ECB cut their rate by 10bps to 0.05%, paradoxically this actually caused EURUSD to rally ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 5 months ago
GBPUSD: TRADING CORRELATION PT 2- GBPUSD: SHORT CABLE ON NEG EUR$ CORR X
82 1 8
GBPUSD, D Short
TRADING CORRELATION PT 2- GBPUSD: SHORT CABLE ON NEG EUR$ CORR X
On the 1D time frame, a strong positive correlation relationship emerges - where previously on the 4h time-frame the correlation looked relationship-less and "noisy". However, looking back at the Daily correlation over the last 2-3 years for GU and EU one noticeable and significant trend emerges - A steep fall ...
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