quantguy quantguy SPY, 240, Short , 7 months ago
SPY: Bearish Head and Shoulders forming on SPY
64 0 0
SPY, 240 Short
Bearish Head and Shoulders forming on SPY
A combination of lukewarm earnings for Q1 and talks of an impending Federal Reserve interest rate hike seem to be slowing down the bullish recovery we've seen in the S&P the past several weeks. On the technical side, notice the failure to attain a new high. In fact SPY has consistently been unable to break new ...
quantguy quantguy GILD, 60, Long , 8 months ago
GILD: GILD: The Little Engine that Could
66 1 1
GILD, 60 Long
GILD: The Little Engine that Could
Despite my overall bearish outlook on stocks, Gilead Sciences stands out as the 'Little Engine that Could' in the sense that it keeps chugging along despite being battered by the broader index just after earnings came out late January. On the fundamental side, most analysts think it's way underweight citing that ...
quantguy quantguy SPY, D, Short , 8 months ago
SPY: All Eyes on FOMC for Equities Positions
44 0 0
SPY, D Short
All Eyes on FOMC for Equities Positions
Data from the U.S. has improved by the barest of margins. The New York Fed Consumer Survey finds inflation expectations rising (by less than 1%) above expectations, and the ECB rate cut means lots of free cash to play with. Keep in mind we have the FOMC meeting coming up and their decisions will determine the ...
quantguy quantguy GILD, D, Long , 9 months ago
GILD: Can Gilead Beat the Markets?
26 0 0
GILD, D Long
Can Gilead Beat the Markets?
As of March 3rd, Gilead earned a 'buy' rating from Citigroup as verified by the link. It is true that GILD should have performed better after earnings as has been historically demonstrated, but it took a beating with the overall index but failed to share in the rebound. Personally, I think this is a good thing, ...
quantguy quantguy CL1!, D, Short , 9 months ago
CL1!: Massive Short Covering Rally in Oil: Trade Accordingly
220 0 3
CL1!, D Short
Massive Short Covering Rally in Oil: Trade Accordingly
There's been a massive short covering rally of near historic proportions in oil recently. As the OPEC circus continues to 'cry wolf' regarding freezing production, the market, once overwhelmingly short on the commodity, takes the opportunity to cash out some of its short positions. There is really no fundamental ...
quantguy quantguy SPY, 60, Short , 9 months ago
SPY: S&P Rally Short Lived
159 0 4
SPY, 60 Short
S&P Rally Short Lived
With the tsunami of data this week, it was really hard to sieve out anything stellar. At best, we had employment data that was above expectation on Wednesday, as well as a moderately improved ISM manufacturing index. PMI and Factory Orders left much to be desired. Central Bankers all over the world are ...
quantguy quantguy SP1!, D, Short , 10 months ago
SP1!: No End to Bearish News for the S&P
61 0 2
SP1!, D Short
No End to Bearish News for the S&P
Yesterday, Janet Yellen of the Federal Reserve spoke confirming expectations that the Fed would sit tight on interest rates. She even admitted today that the Fed is considering negative interest rates. Her ominous tone did not bode well for the markets as evinced by the abysmal market opening today here in the ...
quantguy quantguy SPY, D, Short , 10 months ago
SPY: S&P Solidly Bearish
182 1 4
SPY, D Short
S&P Solidly Bearish
Any hopes for a recovery this week were quashed by today's open and marked declines henceforth. There really doesn't seem to be any indication of a turnaround, unless some good data comes out this week, and there is quite a bit to anticipate. As the attached article notes, analysts are cutting their expectations ...
quantguy quantguy EURUSD, W, Short , 10 months ago
EURUSD: Dark times for the Euro
111 0 3
Dark times for the Euro
From political instability to ineffectual QE, bullish news for the Euro is scant. We can look for more confirmation from Draghi to this effect soon to come. As far as the technicals are concerned, we have a very strong bearish head and shoulders pattern forming on the weekly chart. There is massive resistance ...
quantguy quantguy NFLX, D, Short , 10 months ago
NFLX: Bearish Double Top on Netflix
44 0 0
NFLX, D Short
Bearish Double Top on Netflix
Unfortunately for NFLX on the fundamentals side, they were ousted from Indonesia, which was a prime target for their international expansion endeavors, due to a failure to fulfill their censorship standards. Unfortunately for them, this simply adds to the list of bearish technical indicators despite 'buy' ratings ...
quantguy quantguy AAPL, W, Short , 10 months ago
AAPL: Bearish Head and Shoulders and a Gloomy Outlook for AAPL
187 0 3
AAPL, W Short
Bearish Head and Shoulders and a Gloomy Outlook for AAPL
When Apple was using the Power PC line of processors in their computers, I was extremely skeptical of them. Their operating systems prior to OS X were abysmal. They crashed all the time, and the availability of software for anything I wanted to do was scant. Then they started rolling out Intel processors, and ...
quantguy quantguy CL1!, D, Short , 10 months ago
CL1!: The Bears are still in full force on Crude
155 0 1
CL1!, D Short
The Bears are still in full force on Crude
There seems to be no shortage of bearish news on Crude oil lately. In fact, today's 'dark cloud cover' candlestick pattern is a bearish rejection of the level formed by Friday's close proves the little rally we saw on 2015-01-22 was merely just a short covering frenzy. Almost all the technicals indicate we are in ...
quantguy quantguy DTYL, D, Long , 11 months ago
DTYL: Green Light on US Treasuries
4 0 0
DTYL, D Long
Green Light on US Treasuries
The China crisis has the world's markets in panic mode. Stocks had the worst first week in history. Currencies are tumultuous and volatile. Its difficult to endorse the Euro for anything more than short term swing trades at best due to their own problems. Commodity currencies are sure to tank, and stocks are ...
quantguy quantguy CNYEUR, D, Short , 11 months ago
CNYEUR: Remninmi Bottomed?
7 0 0
Remninmi Bottomed?
With the China crash still fresh on everyone's minds its time to ask if the Renminbi has bottomed out or if there is still room to crash. Based on the link attached, there seems to be the potential for a lot more bad debt that China is trying to avoid confronting, and probably couldn't even account for if they ...
quantguy quantguy EURUSD, 15, Long , 11 months ago
EURUSD: China fears bolster the Euro
51 0 3
EURUSD, 15 Long
China fears bolster the Euro
Following logic from my linked post on Commodity Currencies such as the AUD, we can expect attention on the Euro as a safeguard. In fact, EURUSD is picking up as I write this post. At this point, I'd wait for a dip entering a trade, as a brief retracement is inevitable. However the MACD indicates a bullish turn, ...
quantguy quantguy AUDUSD, 15, Short , 11 months ago
AUDUSD: China fears wreck commodity currencies
34 0 2
AUDUSD, 15 Short
China fears wreck commodity currencies
As we all know by now, the Chinese markets were only open 14 minutes before a crushing 7% loss tripped safeguards. Recently, news came out to the effect that we can expect a further devaluation of their currency. This will hurt commodity currencies like AUD. In fact, its slipping as I'm writing this. My short ...
quantguy quantguy SPY, 30, Short , a year ago
SPY: Bearish outlook on the S&P
27 0 0
SPY, 30 Short
Bearish outlook on the S&P
A variety of technical indicators coupled with the Fed's recent rate rise may suggest a bearish outlook on the S&P 500. Note the gap up on 12/15 only to be followed by a gap down two days later, from which SPY was never able to recover. We also see tremendous pressure from above via the Ichimoku Cloud, but lots ...
quantguy quantguy VB, D, Short , a year ago
VB: The Rich Get Richer...
4 0 0
VB, D Short
The Rich Get Richer...
While the Fed is boasting good data supporting rate hikes, they neglect to mention the fact that 51% of Americans make less than $30K a year, or that they work more hours than any country in the world. Something else they focus on are broad market indices for which the top 500 companies carry the slack of the ...
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