riskoff

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO ZN1!, D, Long ,
ZN1!: 10 Year Treasury Note futures - Go long on a new daily high
231 0 24
ZN1!, D Long
10 Year Treasury Note futures - Go long on a new daily high

We have a nice setup here in the bond market, we can look to go long on a break of yesterday's high with stops under the 129 mark ideally. It seems like we can rally forcefully to reach 130'27 in a few days. You can also play this one going long TLT during the US session. If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm ...

SimpleMillennialAverage SimpleMillennialAverage USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY Between 200MAs and a broken channel April 17-21
423 0 17
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY Between 200MAs and a broken channel April 17-21

OANDA:USDJPY just had a breakdown not only breaking the weekly 200MA but also the lower support channel but nothing goes in one direction in the markets so I expect a pullback before another move downwards. The price is currently between the daily and weekly 200MA so I expect sideways action with a slight bullish bias in the short term. It will be Daily ...

kazmarckcapital kazmarckcapital GBPJPY, 60, Short ,
GBPJPY: GBPJPY Update - Short
49 0 4
GBPJPY, 60 Short
GBPJPY Update - Short

3/22 Update: Failed breakout higher led to a reversal as risk-off took control of the markets yesterday. Continuation is very likely in equities today as well as a stronger yen (risk aversion). Entries between 138.60 and 139.00. The trend has been broken so this should lead to some strong selling pressure.

glennmercer glennmercer PRO NZDJPY, 30, Short ,
NZDJPY: NZDJPY Wave Count:  Technical + Fundamental Analysis
286 4 20
NZDJPY, 30 Short
NZDJPY Wave Count: Technical + Fundamental Analysis

After this bearish impulse, it is likely that if the entry level is taken out we may see further downside. The EW count suggests the same. Also, with the inauguration occurring today, there is a possibility for a "risk off" economic environment to take the reigns which would mean a drop in riskier currencies like the kiwi and a rise in the safer yen. Cheers

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO XAGUSD, D, Long ,
XAGUSD: Short term risk off move starting?
419 2 19
XAGUSD, D Long
Short term risk off move starting?

I think we'll see some kind of retracement in the massive trends we had in place accross the board. Overall, I'm looking to buy weakness in the dollar in the long term, and looking for good value stocks, shorting overvalued stocks if needed, but rarely, and navigating the main trends in commodities. Metals look poised to rally with bonds here, at least in the ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold primed for a leg up
62 0 6
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold primed for a leg up

See the chart. Gold is good buy right now. Also check out my other posts to see the context and bigger picture

Kaustubh Kaustubh USDJPY, W, Short ,
USDJPY: USDPY and Risk on in general
124 0 7
USDJPY, W Short
USDPY and Risk on in general

Trump trade has had a beautiful run so far. No complains. Was needed. It looks to be aging now though. Would be smart to book profits if you are already in there. The honeymoon period would be over when the president-elect becomes the president. Or likely before that. If this holds, naturally, all risk on assets should go down. Spx ( See my recent post) would be ...

luiggih luiggih AXTI, 30,
AXTI: AXTI BULLISH RALLY TOMORROW
18 0 2
AXTI, 30
AXTI BULLISH RALLY TOMORROW

After the results we can expect a new years high. gl

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO CHFCAD, D, Long ,
CHFCAD: CHFCAD: Risk off long idea
121 2 20
CHFCAD, D Long
CHFCAD: Risk off long idea

We have a nice setup in this pair (which you can trade shorting CADCHF as well). CHFCAD is at the bottom of the trading range here and is likely to return to the yearly moving average above. I'll be entering longs, after today's daily close, if we break the daily high. Stop loss has to be under today's low plus 1 tick to be safe. Risk 0.5-1% on this position and ...

GV GV USO, 60, Short ,
USO: Short this baby! USO
26 0 4
USO, 60 Short
Short this baby! USO

Risk off move, weak hr trendily support. Call credit spreads trading light though Summer is no time to risk on low liquidity

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, 45, Long ,
USDJPY: RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: TRADING STRATEGY - PART 2
468 1 13
USDJPY, 45 Long
RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: TRADING STRATEGY - PART 2

Trading for this week: 1. My plan for next week focuses on point "3." from the previous post - I am waiting for risk-on or risk-off assets to confirm investor conviction by using USDJPY as a barometer for net risk sentiment. Despite the market uncertainty and high volatility UJ last week traded within a 200pip range for the between 101.3-103.3. Therefore, I ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, 45, Long ,
USDJPY: RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: IS THIS GLOBAL RISK RECOVERY REAL? PART 1
328 0 14
USDJPY, 45 Long
RANGE BOUND - USDJPY: IS THIS GLOBAL RISK RECOVERY REAL? PART 1

Expectations vs Reality: 1. Following the referendum decision on Friday, as expected GBP sold off 10%+, the FTSE plummeted in a similar fashion and global risk assets sold off across the board, but FTSE/ Risk recovered a significant amount of those losses into Fridays close and for the rest of the next week.. So what happened to BREXIT? - Such behaviour would ...

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO USDJPY, 240, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY: 4h view
564 2 26
USDJPY, 240 Short
USDJPY: 4h view

USDJPY has tested the Brexit key level, and is currently fighting the monthly uptrend mode, which if it is broken down, could lead to an extended decline in this pair, a very dramatic one at that. I'm short from yesterday's high give or take, you may enter here if you didn't short at resistance, and use stops at least above yesterday's high, if conservative, over ...

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD: Gold longs firmply planted above resistance
601 2 26
XAUUSD, D Long
XAUUSD: Gold longs firmply planted above resistance

Gold seems to be headed for the two targets on chart, to be reached before September 23rd. This seems to match my outlook for equities, which appear to be heading back down to the yearly lows, as depicted by Tim West's yearly forecast, of a sideways market. We can fade the sentiment extremes once reached, which is the ideal trading strategy for the rest of the ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, 15, Short ,
GBPUSD: BREXIT & GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: SHORT GBPUSD - HOW TO TRADE
634 3 19
GBPUSD, 15 Short
BREXIT & GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: SHORT GBPUSD - HOW TO TRADE

GBPUSD - At the end of last week GU traded to lows of 1.32 on the brexit vote, before retracing substantially to 1.39 by the end of the day. - GU retraced 600-700pips after the brexit event IMO solely as investors took profit from their shorts (which causes buying) - thus there was no structural reason for GU recovering e.g. it was that 1.32 had mispriced GU too ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, 15, Short ,
GBPUSD: BREXIT GBP: USE USDJPY AS A RISK-BAROMETER & WAIT FOR LONDON 8AM
372 3 19
GBPUSD, 15 Short
BREXIT GBP: USE USDJPY AS A RISK-BAROMETER & WAIT FOR LONDON 8AM

Indicators to check BEFORE GBP Shorting for confirmation I also suggest using two other key pieces of information BEFORE shorting GBP. 1. Use USDJPY as a measure of market risk appetite and stability - As you can see below UJ has traded with a tight 38pip range vs GBP$ at 180pips. Therefore we can use UJ as a measure of stability and risk appetite: 1) because ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: TP ON BREXIT VOLATILITY: SELL GBP RALLIES & BUY RISK-OFF DIPS
679 6 18
GBPUSD, D Short
TP ON BREXIT VOLATILITY: SELL GBP RALLIES & BUY RISK-OFF DIPS

Thought id put a piece out as my guide for the week for how to trade the 23rd UK EU Referendum vote. IMO the first rule and most important is - DONT TRADE THE VOTE. Trying to guess the answer is like trying to win the lottery, so instead i advise taking a position on the volatility, as volatility doesnt discriminate, it trades both ways. Trading the ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: LONG USDJPY @105.8: NEUTRAL FOMC; DOVISH & EASE BOJ & RISK-ON
417 8 17
USDJPY, D Long
LONG USDJPY @105.8: NEUTRAL FOMC; DOVISH & EASE BOJ & RISK-ON

We had the best possible outcome for FOMC's Rate decision and Fed Yellens speech which was neutral IMO as expected, with the Economic Projections being dovish, downgrading the projected rate hike cycle. We now look to BOJ. Trading strategy: LONG USDJPY (possibly short also GBPJPY for longer term investors or investors that want to hedge against a hawkish ...

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