If you have access to historical data, you see correlation in commodities macro trends and especially same time cycles. this chart is a small sample (which now affects the whole world) and we see same channel, same time sycle, same macro trends and same target for this trend...
As traders, of course.. We know that when inflation is too high, safe haven prices such as gold will soar. But that only applies before 2009. Before bitcoin was launched for the first time. Not many traders know, that market participants such as banks, big institutions, fund managers, and big companies trust bitcoin as a safe-haven, which actually competes with...
Hey Traders, Massive week this week fundamentally for the Forex market. 3 big interest rate decisions being released so I thought there was no better time than now to have a chat about what it is, what it indicates and finally, how traders profit from it. Fed and BOE almost guaranteed to hike rates, RBA is sitting unsure. Have a watch of the video and I am more...
This post was a request to my Indices and Inflation post. It compares how the FANG stocks fair compared to inflation. Included stocks are: GOOG, MSFT, AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN and TSLA (Not sure if TSLA is truly FANG but I am sure people want to know how it fairs). I have also added QQQ as a baseline comparable. QQQ's three biggest holdings in order from highest to...
The worldwide pandemic gripped the markets two years ago, throwing the global economy into a brief tailspin. In hindsight, the decline in markets across all assets seems like the blink of an eye. At the time, it felt like an eternity. Crude oil explodes and becomes very volatile Natural gas at an unseasonal high Coal reached a new record peak US energy...
Little educational post for you guys! If my analysis is correct & the current uptrend is Wave 5, an effective way to estimate how far this last bullish cycle will go is to go back & look at Wave 1, when Gold first started its uptrend in 2006. Wave 1 & Wave 5 tend to be very similar in how many PIPS they move, with a few hundreds PIPS difference which is very...
The real economy slows down according to Fed chair Jerome Powell since November 2021..! Inflation is at a record high in the past 4 decades and could become double-digit (above 10%) in 2022 if the Federal Reserve keeps pumping liquidity in the system..! If you review my articles about inflation since May 2021, you will see how this pattern was detected before it...
For more detail please refer to the first four pieces in the series (linked below) and the accompanying charts. Markets entered 2022 with well established trends and trading ranges, but I believe that the coming year holds significant potential for change. This is particularly true in the equity and treasury markets. Because much of the outlook hinges on...
For the past few months, we’ve heard a lot in the news about increasing living costs. The cost of our essential goods and services – from our food to our electricity bills, housing, and electronics – is constantly rising. And our salary increases (if any) aren’t enough to cover the increasing cost of our basic expenses. I wanted to write this article for several...
These days everyone talks about inflation, Hyperinflation, Stagflation,..etc. You may want to know how you could protect yourself in the high inflation era? What would be the best assets? What are the measures governments would take to control inflation? What is the definition of Inflation, Hyperinflation, Stagflation? What history tells us about high...
Much of the massive amount of new money the Fed is printing is going into Zombie Companies. How Zombie Companies Survive Zombie Companies are firms that don’t survive by producing value for their customers. Instead, they survive by parasitically draining resources from the overall economy by borrowing at near 0% interest from the Federal Reserve. The Federal...
(see link to Part 1 attached below) Hello,Traders! As we found out in Part 1,the FED and The Treasury added 5.3 Trillion dollars to the money supply, with 3 Trillion Dollars being spent, not invested and all that coming from borrowing, not taxes, which would have created price inflation even without the supply shock. However, the supply side was also...
Hello,Traders! The fears of inflation are now the reality, with the official FED number showing that inflation went from 1.6% in 2020 to 4.2% in April 2021, which means that the situation "on the ground" is even worse. Even just by looking at the charts of lumber, copper , and other commodities , while finding out that all the cars in your local dealership are...
(see link to Part 1 attached below) Hello,Traders! As we found out in Part 1, the FED and The Treasury added 5.3 Trillion dollars to the money supply , with 3 Trillion Dollars being spent, not invested and all that coming from borrowing, not taxes, which would have created price inflation even without the supply shock. However, the supply side was also...
Refer to the chart.
Hello fellow traders and dear padawans. The equities market has been hit very hard the past 3 weeks or so, specially growth stocks. I think it is important to address what is happening behind the scenes that caused the selloff in the equities market so that many of you can better understand what is going on. This is a very basic explanation of macroeconomics and...
Aggravated by Jerome Powell's speech at the Wall Street Journal Jobs Summit, the tech-led sell-off continues, causing the Dow Jones Industrial Average to fall by 1.11%, S&P 500 by 1.34%, and Nasdaq Composite by 2.11%. On that note, the 10-year Treasury yield also popped to 1.541% during Jerome Powell's speech, later closing at that level for the day. But how,...
Hi Tradingviewers, in this article I am going to break down this question into smaller items and try to give a concrete answer to the question: “How Much BTC Do You Need to Create Generational Wealth?” First, we’ll have to define what ‘wealth’ means. Then we need to define how we look at the ‘generational’ part. Lastly, we also need to take into consideration...