i think this is bullish trap and after a quick correction to up we will strike to those level of tp EUR/USD RISK% (0.5-1) PROBABILITY 60% RR FIRST ENTRY 5.34 RR SECOND ENTRY 4.74 TP1 1.08150~1.08130 TP2 1.07875 ~1.07790 DYOR ITS NOT SIGNAL 😉
The SPY and IWM have completely diverged. On the back of rate cut expectations, many investors are piling back into the junk and high beta names. A clear relative strength move has occurred in small caps: IWM Whilst the megacap stocks have been sold off. The SPY sliced through the 50 MA yesterday and cofirmed the break below. Although this is typically...
The Japanese yen continues to gain ground against the US dollar. USD/JPY is trading at 153.68 early in the North American session, down 0.14% on the day. Earlier today, USD/JPY fell as low as 151.93 (1.3%), its lowest level since May 3, before paring most of these losses. The yen has soared, rising 2.4% this week and a staggering 4.5% in the month of July....
ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM Core PCE prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in December of 2023, aligned with market estimates, and picking up slightly from the 0.1% increase in November. From the previous year, Core PCE prices edged 2.9% higher, undershooting market estimates of 3% to mark the lowest reading since...
The Japanese yen has hit the brakes on this week’s impressive rally. USD/JPY is trading at 154.34 in the European session, up 0.30% on the day. On Thursday, the yen climbed as much as 1.3% but gave up all of those gains after the strong US GDP report. Still, the yen is up 1.9% this week. Tokyo Core CPI rose to 2.2% y/y in July, a notch higher than the 2.1% gain...
The Canadian dollar is almost unchanged on Wednesday, after the Bank of Canada cut rates at today’s meeting. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3778, up 0.05% on the day at the time of writing. The Bank of Canada lowered rates by 25 basis points, bringing the key interest rate to 4.50%. The markets had priced in a rate cut at close to 90%, so...
Kraft Heinz NASDAQ:KHC currently has a 4.88% dividend and anticipated earnings growth (though modest) through 2027. Inflation benefits the food industry and Kraft Heinz may do well moving forward. From a technical analysis standpoint, the chart is in the accumulation zone around my selected simple moving average and may be preparing for a larger move up....
The yield curve invesrion remains in place for the longest historical inversion run. This cant be good right? History shows once the spread between the 10 & 2 corrects back to normal / un-inverts you usually get a sell signal in the market. We are observing a massive bullish wedge pattern unfolding and looks poised at any moment to breakout. The un-...
UK100 has pulled back following its May record peak and has entered consolidation mode, as uncertainty around BoE’s policy path has taken hold. Although policymakers have pointed to a less restrictive stance ahead, there is no clarity around the timing of a pivot. The last inflation print did not help, as market pared back bets for a cut in August, since CPI...
Alcoa is dropping fast but may find support at the bottom of the parallel channel, completing wave 4. An A = C price target is 34.10. Upper channel moves to better than 55 by end of the year. I'll be watching the Std indicator for a buy signal.
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Spooz has once again demonstrated resilience in this week's trading session by banging on Key Res 5635 and completed Inner Index Rally 5642. This week's achievement was also the completion of Inner Index Rally 5668. The prevailing price action suggests a continuous primary decline toward the Mean Support at 5449 and a...
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY (March/2024) The annual inflation rate in Japan ticked lower to 2.7% in March 2024 from February's 3-month peak of 2.8%, matching market consensus. There were slowdowns in prices of transport (2.9% vs 3.0% in February), clothes (2.0% vs 2.6%), furniture & household utensils (3.2% vs 5.1%), healthcare (1.5% vs 1.8%), communication (0.2% vs 1.4%),...
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 2.3% (April/2024) source: Office for National Statistics The annual inflation rate in the UK eased to 2.3% in April 2024, the lowest since July 2021, compared to 3.2% in March and market forecasts of 2.1%. The largest downward pressure came from falling gas (-37.5% vs -26.5% in March) and electricity (-21% vs -13%) cost, due to the lowering of...
Trade Alerts: SA Rates and BoC Decision South African Inflation South Africa is expected to maintain its key interest rates at 8.25% and 27.25% on Thursday, citing persistent inflationary pressures. Central bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago has emphasized that rate reductions are unlikely until inflation sustainably returns to the 4.5% midpoint of the target...
The euro has edged lower on Thursday. Early in the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0919, down 0.18% on the day. The euro hasn’t posted a losing day since July 9, gaining 1% during that period. The European Central Bank maintained its key lending rate at 3.75% at today’s meeting, after cutting rates by a quarter-point in June. The decision to hold...
The British pound continues to roll and is up for a sixth straight day. GBP/USD is trading at 1.3038 in the European session, up 0.51% on the day. The pound has sparkled in July, climbing 3% and hitting its highest level since July 2023. UK consumer inflation remained at 2% y/y in July, unchanged from June. This was higher than the market estimate of 1.9% but...
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept rates at 5.5% last week, but adopted a softer tone compared to the hawkish messaging of the previous meeting, raising chances of a rate cut this year. Today’s soft inflation data help towards such action, since CPI eased to 3.3% in Q2 and the lowest in three years. Despite these prospects, NZD/USD contains its fall and...
Trump, Fed Speculation Drive Gold to New Heights Gold price cleared the May 20 high of $2450 on Tuesday, as expectations intensify that the U.S. Federal Reserve will commence an easing cycle in September. Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed the Economic Club of Washington this week, noting the economy's solid performance and signaling potential rate cuts once...