inflation

Great profits made this morning after last nights spike. This came after the NZ data showed inflation. I will start posting more as soon as I place these trades, last nights NZD was just a quick trade with proper risk management.

What is the trade here? We are outguessing the end of a pullback within a pullback ... there is another leg down within this 4th wave in the sequence, with heavy resistance coming into play at 1325 the downside is wide open. We have a window of opportunity with inflation softening and risk fading via Mueller to complete a pullback as far as 1255/1260..Tracking...

In the past couple of moths the euro was breaking to the south. However USD is getting dovish tones from Fed and the economy. This current situation is way too 50-50% for me to take part. Risk event: Wed, EU CPI data -> if softer, euro will suffer Trade plan - wait for the direction of the breakout - if clear fake out signal appears -> trade it - otherwise, wait...

We have some important updates here on Gold after the previous chart (see attached: "Large triangle forming...?"). It is now clear we are in the final leg of an ABC sequence. It is time to start paying attention to the Gold chart over the coming weeks, there is a very strong argument to be made for a top being formed here. This can retrace as much as 1255 here...

Short-term strength, long-term weakness

US President Trump’s nominee for Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Stephen Moore, was on Bloomberg this morning touting his unconventional ideas on monetary policy. During the interview, he suggested the Philip’s Curve was broken (it somewhat is) and that instead the Federal Reserve should focus on the relationship between inflation expectations and commodities,...

Inflation coming up again from beginning of this year... what will happen next?

TODAY IN THE UK THE INFLATION DATA WILL BE RELEASED AND I SEE REASON TO BELIEVE IT HAS DECLINED. ALONG WITH THE BREXIT INFORMATION I EXPECT THE INFLATION NUMBER TO BE AT AN EXTREME LOW. IF THAT TO HOLD TRUE THEN WE WILL SEE THE UK PAIRS SUCH AS EURUSD AND GBPUSD SHOOT TO NEW HEIGHTS

DXY and inflation expectations are diverging once again, just like early 2017 and mid-2018. Divergence is not extreme yet but I fear we might be walking into another trap. DXY is once again showing the path imho, so oil and inflation expectations are once to high and should come down unless dollar reverses quickly.

Fundamentally we have had a very fast leg down right on time for the Yen repatriation fiscal year end flows to begin. There is a lot more upside in the dollar move to come as investors are running to cash. Silver will naturally benefit from the risk-off nature of these flows, here we have a great buying opportunity for those wanting to invest in more coins....

Those who have been following our commentary on Gold will have known 1180-1220 was our initial entry for longs when the position was anti-consensus. Once it started working we released the idea of longs towards 1345 and finally we are here after 14 weeks. Expecting a large retrace here as bulls unwind their positions and book profits, we have an opportunity to...

For those who have been following our previous idea (see related posts) you will already know we have been tracking this leg to the upside since 1200. We are finally starting to run out of steam for this initial leg and it is time to start looking for positions on the retrace. Initially we attempted shorting this before the market ran away without us. So in this...

Gold/Silver spread is still strong with a Gold/Silver ratio around 83, indicating strong bias to gold. With incoming panic in the markets, debasement of the dollar, or both, we can expect the bullish move in gold and silver to continue in the long-term despite all attempts at suppression within the futures exchange. Silver has some serious catching up to do post...

For those who have been following our previous idea (see related posts) you will already know we have been tracking this leg to the upside since 1200. We are finally starting to run out of steam for this initial leg and it is time to start looking for positions on the retrace. => Inflation will begin to return in parts of the world later in the year (homemade)...

Oil and DXY got in line in last several weeks. Inflation expectations are still high despite some decline lately. Slow Stochastic is oversold, so it may bounce a little here but it should keep declining unless oil and USD move significantly.

Trade coming 4 hours late it is based on the lower than expected inflation data that came today, as Norway seems to be dragged by Europe. This will lower expectations of interest rate hike in Norway, some of which had been priced in NOK. That pricing is going for some loss. Remember that this is a late trade, SL is poisitioned below February month's low (and...

All long-looking indicators point to silver being undervalued vs gold . Top chart shows silver candlesticks vs gold red line as percentage returns since 2006 in the case of these investment trusts. Middle indicator is the Trader's Dynamic Index ( TDI ) which holds a combination of moving average, volatility and momentum trends. Bottom indicator is the infamous...

Inverse H&S Pattern complete on USO, I believe this will be catalyst for rising oil prices, of course their are many more. 1. Falling DXY- The US dollar has just started a downtrend that I believe will be a trend for not just months, but years. Fed Chair Jerome Powell just put interest rates on hold until further notice. On top of that, the unwinding of bonds...