My analysis are based mostly in H4. This week I'll be looking to take a sell on AUDCAD, let me explain why: Monthly: Here we have a triangle. We have two days left to close monthly but is closing with a high rejection from the 1.02400 zone, still staying above the large trendline maybe going to the 0.97300, but we can't really say much more. Weekly: The...
Please see annotated chart for details.
With all the NIRP's and ZIRP's flying around in an economy based off fraud and debt, this was expected, and now we have the start of the technical indicators to back it up :) My target area Short Term is 25-28: - We have the 23% fib retracement from our move down from our All Time Highs in 2011. - Weekly 200 ma - Solid price action (horizontal black lines) -...
Overall analysis. The current movement of this pair would suggestion a continuation in the downward direction, coming extremely close to the pairs historical bottom (1.35000). If this level breaks i'm not too sure as to where it will stop. At this point I believe the fundamentals will play a bigger part in predicting or suggesting a new bottom. Britain's decision...
Based on Fibonacci extension target is around 110.200. May be 110.100 before it starts retracement upwards. I would think this should happen within couple of weeks or earlier.
A breakout followed by pullback. Add to that, a symmetrical triangle breakout.
Honestly, this setup can or cannot happen this week. But none-the-less its very good setup to keep an eye on this. There are three harmonic patterns namely Bearish Bat & Bearish Butterfly & AB=CD is in making. And just above the termination of this patterns, we can find supply zone. With my beliefs from what I see in USD index, I m speculating idea that USD will...
Perfect harmonic AB=CD completion @ 0.7150 handle which also coincides with bearish harmonic Shark pattern completion. All pattern completion is supported by structure.
In my opinion bears are trapped in momentum breakout. But the big boys are looking to take it higher. This bear trap is valid till the low @ 1833 is taken out completely. Expected price movements are blue (80% probable) & red (60% probable).
As per Supply & Demand analysis, this pair is yet some way to go to south. The bias on this pair remains bearish & keeping that in mind I will search for short entries only (in long time frames). Any pull back towards the current supply zone should be shorted. The price I have selected in supply zone for shorting is 1.70000 since its a BRN.
Price has broken the rising trend line & structural support @ 1.55XX level. The pair looks super bearish , any pull back towards the @ 1.55XX handle need to be sold off. The plan for entry is retest of level # 1.5500 (ROUND NO.) with stops 50 pips above it. It should be sufficient if the price need to be resisted at this level. If price breaks above it, its safe...
Another Gartley in formation, this time the bearish one. The termination of this pattern also takes place at structural resistance @ 123.XX.
Bullish Gartley complete at around structural support @ 0.66XX level. Keep in mind that if you are looking to trade the currency on relative strength, then AUD is going to be stronger than NZD IMO. I m trading Nzd instead of Aud simply because I have reason to get involved in market & termination of the same reason I can get out. =)
Price is inside bearish channel & break above this channel will provide upside attack of structures @ 1.08XX & 1.12XX. Also alternate scenario is price breaking down again to re-test lower TL of channel. To know why I m looking for bullish move, click link with title AudNzd - Long term trade . Chart is self explanatory, ask more if you need help to understand the...