Amazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time HighAmazon (AMZN) Shares Retreat from All-Time High After Earnings Report
As shown in the Amazon (AMZN) stock chart, the price reached an all-time high of around $242 per share on 4 February. However, following the earnings report on 6 December, AMZN shares declined despite the company exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $1.86, Forecast = $1.48
→ Revenue: Actual = $187.8bn, Forecast = $187.3bn
Investor disappointment may have stemmed from:
→ Signs of slowing cloud business growth. Amazon, a pioneer in public cloud services with Amazon Web Services (AWS), now reports annual cloud revenue growth of around 20%, down from over 50% five years ago.
→ Soaring capital expenditure on AI data centres with uncertain profitability prospects. Amazon has projected approximately $105bn in capital spending for 2025, up 27% from 2024 and 57% from 2023.
Technical Analysis of Amazon (AMZN) Stock
AMZN remains within an upward trend, indicated by the blue channel on the chart. However, bullish momentum appears vulnerable as:
→ The price struggles to reach the upper boundary of the channel.
→ A bearish "head and shoulders" (SHS) pattern is visible on the chart.
→ A bearish gap (marked with an arrow) has formed post-earnings, suggesting a potential resistance area ahead.
This points to a possible pullback. If it occurs, AMZN stock could correct, potentially towards the parallel orange line, drawn based on the blue channel’s width. A test of the $217 support level is also possible.
Should You Buy AMZN Shares Now?
Following the earnings report, AMZN has underperformed the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). However, analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ 45 out of 46 analysts recommend buying AMZN stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for AMZN is $267.
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Amazon
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Amazon Stock Plummets After Earnings ReportDuring the last trading session, Amazon's stock dropped by more than 3.5% , bringing its price below $230 per share. This sharp decline followed the company's quarterly earnings release yesterday, where it reported earnings of $1.86 per share , surpassing the expected $1.49 , and revenue of $187.79 billion , slightly above the $187.30 billion projected.
However, investors were disappointed by the company’s sales growth forecast of only 5% for the first quarter of this year, along with a warning about a negative foreign exchange impact exceeding $2 billion. This has led to a decline in confidence, reinforcing a persistent bearish bias in Amazon’s stock price.
Bearish Trend Strengthens
Currently, a significant downward trendline has been in place since the last months of 2024. But the recent sell-off has raised doubts about the buying strength seen in previous sessions. If bearish pressure continues to increase, it could pose a considerable risk to the current market structure in the short term.
Neutrality Begins to Take Over
Both the RSI and CCI indicators have quickly dropped to their respective neutral levels— 50 for RSI and 0 for CCI. This suggests that recent price movements have turned neutral, making it unclear which force is currently dominating the market. If these indicators continue to hold within neutral territory, a potential sideways consolidation could emerge on the daily chart.
Key Levels to Watch:
$240 – The most important resistance level, representing the latest highs recorded by the stock. A breakout above this zone could reignite the long-term uptrend from last year and trigger sustained buying pressure.
$228 – A critical support zone that aligns with previous lows, as well as the uptrend line. If sellers push the price below this level, the bearish bias could strengthen, leading to a deeper downside correction in the short term.
$216 – Final support level, corresponding to the January lows and the Ichimoku cloud barrier in the short term. If selling pressure drags the price to this level, it could invalidate the current bullish structure on the chart.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
AMAZON -- Results of Buying before the SplitSharing some insights of when I bought Amazon before the split, It was a great decision as it has given my portfolio a great boost. It has been very bullish trending higher, and February started off on a good note so far. Ideally I would love to see it take the Previous months highs and keep pumping.
I would not be surprised if it reached MIL:1K per stock again. BUT NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, and I also have no real data to support this theory yet. It is just my biased beliefs.
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Amazon (NASDAQ:$AMZN) Slides 4% Amidst Cloud Growth SlowdownAmazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) shares slid nearly 4% in pre-market trading on Friday, as investors reacted to a slowdown in the company's cloud growth and a subdued sales forecast for the current quarter. The dip comes despite strong performance in Amazon's retail segment and a broader technical breakout that suggests the stock may be poised for a significant upward move in the coming months. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental factors driving Amazon’s current market dynamics and why this dip could be a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Cloud Growth Slowdown Weighs on Sentiment
Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s cloud computing division and a key profit driver, reported a 19% year-over-year revenue increase to $28.79 billion for the quarter. While this growth is impressive, it fell slightly short of analyst expectations of $28.87 billion, according to LSEG data. This miss has raised concerns about the competitive pressures AWS faces from rivals like Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud, as well as emerging low-cost competitors such as China’s DeepSeek.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, Amazon’s stock chart tells an intriguing story. As of Friday’s pre-market trading, AMZN was down 2.78%, but the stock recently broke out of a falling trend channel, signaling a potential reversal of its previous downtrend. While the stock has yet to capitalize on this breakout, the current dip could be interpreted as a "shakeout" before a significant upward move.
Key technical indicators support this bullish thesis:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI remains strong at 60, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold and has room to climb.
- Moving Averages: AMZN is trading well above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, a sign of strong underlying momentum and bullish sentiment.
This technical setup suggests that the pre-market dip may be a temporary pullback rather than the start of a sustained downtrend. For traders and investors, this could present an attractive entry point.
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Amazon’s financial performance in 2024 has been impressive, with revenue reaching $637.96 billion, a 10.99% increase compared to the previous year’s $574.79 billion. Earnings surged by 94.73% to $59.25 billion, reflecting the company’s ability to scale profitability even as it invests heavily in growth areas like AI and cloud infrastructure.
The company’s 12-month forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.3 is higher than peers like Alphabet (22.7) and Microsoft (30.1), but this premium is justified given Amazon’s diversified business model, dominant market position, and long-term growth potential.
Analyst Sentiment: Strong Buy Rating
Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish on Amazon. According to 43 analysts, the average rating for AMZN stock is a "Strong Buy," with a 12-month price target of $254.3, representing a 6.48% upside from the latest price. At least seven brokerages raised their price targets following the earnings report, bringing the median target to $260.
Analysts are optimistic about Amazon’s ability to navigate near-term challenges and capitalize on long-term growth opportunities in AI, cloud computing, and e-commerce. The company’s heavy investments in AI infrastructure, while weighing on margins in the short term, are expected to pay off handsomely in the coming years.
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previos earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-7,
for a premium of approximately $6.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$AMZN is at risky area going into the earningsAmazon's last six earnings moves:
🟢 +7.5%
🔴 -12.7%
🟢 +3.4%
🟢 +8.2%
🟢 +8.7%
🟢 +11.4%
Options market expecting a 6.6% swing for NASDAQ:AMZN
Cloud drives 70% of profits
Retail? Barely profitable.
Amazon's market cap: $2.5T
For that price, you could own:
The entire Bitcoin market 5 times over
Every billionaire in the world’s top 500 list
UPDATE Amazon Sling shot to $276.41 thanks to being different!Amazon’s stock is booming while others face AI turbulence. AWS growth (19% expected) and smart AI use boost their lead.
Instead of fearing DeepSeek, Amazon partnered through AWS. Plus, their diverse streams—e-commerce, cloud, ads, and entertainment—keep them stable when rivals like Nvidia stumble.
So it's one of the bullish tech stocks but once again it is also highly diversified in other sectors which is actually helping maintain the share price.
Price>20 and 200MA
Broken above Rounding Bottom
Target $276.41
Amazon’s Short-Term Outlook: Navigating Key Support LevelsAmazon remains a market powerhouse, yet its stock is no stranger to short-term fluctuations.
Support levels are indicated on chart. A move below these levels could trigger deeper short-term weakness, whereas a bounce off these supports would underscore Amazon’s robust fundamentals. As always, such volatility is typical in dynamic, high-growth stocks, and traders should watch these key levels closely when planning their next move.
Amazon: Volatile!The Amazon stock has shown significant volatility recently but managed to recover its temporary losses of over 7% just as quickly. We still position the stock within the turquoise wave 3, which should have additional upside potential. Once this high is established—something that may have already occurred—we anticipate a wave 4 pullback before wave 5 completes the larger magenta wave (3) further to the upside. As you can see in the daily chart, this magenta wave (3) acts as a subwave of the green wave , which in turn should lead to the peak of the even larger beige wave III. Following this, we expect a more pronounced wave IV correction before another round of impulsive rallies drives the stock to new highs.
AMAZON - preparation for the Christmas Rally?Hi , dear traders we are watching how Amazon has formulated a very strong assending channel, currently their financials have been doing amazing and we are approaching the Christmas Rally and the finalization of the Q4 earnings. Their recent announcment that they would do heavy investing in AI would be extremely beneficial for the company and sould conclude the continuation of their bullrun.
Entry at 201$
Target 235$
Amazon Reaches New All-Time High: Should You Buy Now...?AMAZON has successfully surpassed its previous all-time high and has maintained a position above this critical level. This upward momentum presents an opportunity for traders to consider entering a long position on a pullback. A strategic entry point for this trade could be set at $235.50, where we can potentially capitalize on a rebound as the stock stabilizes. It's essential to monitor volume and market sentiment during this pullback to ensure a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for the trade.
AMAZON going for a DIP on the 4HCrystal ball has spoken, AMZN is due for a small DIP.
Trend Analysis:
• The price is trading in an overall uptrend, respecting the 50 EMA (yellow) and 20 EMA (gold), indicating strong bullish momentum.
• Recent price action has formed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining bullish structure.
JP StochDemark Indicator Insights:
• The indicator is approaching overbought levels, currently crossing above the 80 threshold, which signals potential exhaustion in the short term.
• Bearish divergence is forming as price makes new highs while the indicator fails to confirm.
• Previous occurrences of such setups led to short-term pullbacks before continuation.
Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate resistance at $236-$238, aligning with recent highs.
• Short-term support at $ 225 , where moving averages align.
• Strong demand zone around $210-$215, coinciding with prior consolidation.
Trade Signal & Probability:
Bullish Bias : Continuation likely if price sustains above $ 230 with momentum confirmation.
Bearish Pullback : A corrective dip to the $225 zone is probable if momentum weakens.
Target Levels : Upside targets at $240 (psychological resistance) and $250 if momentum persists.
Risk Levels : Watch for breakdown below $225, which could trigger further downside to $215.
Conclusion :
Momentum remains bullish but overbought signals suggest caution.
Monitor for a healthy retracement before continuation. A break above $238 could confirm further bullish momentum.
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Interesting Simetry in $AMZNStarting from the 5th of August 2024 every time NASDAQ:AMZN reaches an important Fibonacci level retraces around 7%, then moves higher.
Once it reached 0.618, the Fibonacci level corrected by 6.86% in 5 days and then moved higher.
We have another wave up followed by another correction this time 7.62% in 9 days.
And again another wave up followed by a correction of 7.51% in 10 days to Fibonacci level 1
Once it reached 1.618 Fib level retraced to 1.382 Fib level Correcting 7.24% in 18 days this time.
Nancy Pelosi bought Amazon Calls! 📈 Bullish Opportunity: Amazon (AMZN)
1️⃣ Bullish Flag Pattern with Premarket Breakout:
Amazon has formed a classic bullish flag pattern, which is a reliable continuation signal in an uptrend. The price has already broken out of the flag channel in the premarket session, signaling strong bullish momentum and potential for significant upside.
2️⃣ Amazon’s Cloud Leadership is Poised to Strengthen:
AWS (Amazon Web Services) continues to lead the cloud infrastructure market, controlling 33% of the market—more than Azure and Google Cloud combined, according to Canalys.
CEO Andy Jassy noted four consecutive quarters of reaccelerating AWS growth, with an annualized revenue run rate of $110 billion.
3️⃣ AI Advancements Reasserting Dominance:
While Microsoft is seen as the leader in the AI revolution, Amazon is catching up fast. Over the past 18 months, AWS released nearly twice as many machine learning and generative AI features as competitors combined.
These advancements are expected to make Amazon a leader in AI throughout 2025, further enhancing its cloud and technology business.
4️⃣ E-commerce Profitability Soaring:
CEO Andy Jassy’s focus on cost-cutting and logistics efficiency is delivering results:
Operating income in Amazon’s North American e-commerce segment grew by 87% in the first nine months of 2024.
Automation advancements, like robotics in fulfillment centers, have reduced processing times and improved cost efficiency by 25% during peak times.
These measures are driving higher profitability in its flagship e-commerce business, helping Amazon increase margins and drive long-term growth.
5️⃣ Undervalued and Strong Growth Potential:
Simply Wall Street estimates Amazon is trading at 40.5% below fair value, offering an attractive entry point for investors.
6️⃣ Smart Money Confidence:
Nancy Pelosi recently purchased Amazon calls 3 days ago!
7️⃣ Analyst Ratings:
Consensus: Strong Buy from top analysts.
Average Price Target: $245 (near-term expectations).
High Price Target: $280 (bullish scenario).
🎯 Strategy:
Enter now : $225.94 - $228.50
First Target : $240 (First resistance after breakout).
Second Target : $260 (Measured move from the flagpole).
Third Target : $280 (High-end analyst expectations).
Stop Loss: Based on the risk management.
Amazon’s Stock Stuck in a Downhill Slope or Ready to Escape ?Amazon's stock price movement on a 4-hour timeframe, presenting a descending channel pattern. This pattern is often associated with bearish sentiment, as it reflects a market structure characterized by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a consistent effort by sellers to dominate price action.
Currently, the price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as a dynamic resistance level. Historically, such resistance zones within descending channels tend to attract selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. If the price fails to break above this resistance and shows rejection signs (e.g., long wicks or bearish candlesticks), it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend, targeting the lower boundary of the channel as the next support level.
It is crucial to monitor this resistance area closely, as a breakout above the channel could shift the sentiment from bearish to bullish. For such a breakout to be credible, it must be accompanied by strong volume and decisive candlestick patterns, such as a bullish engulfing or a breakout gap. In that scenario, the price could invalidate the descending channel and initiate a reversal, targeting higher resistance levels.
Additionally, the broader market context and fundamental factors should be considered. If the stock is supported by positive catalysts or market sentiment, it could strengthen the likelihood of a breakout. Conversely, weak sentiment or negative news could intensify the bearish momentum, leading to further downside.
The chart currently reflects a bearish bias due to the descending channel structure. However, the key to determining the next move lies in the price action and volume near the upper resistance line, which will decide whether the pattern continues or reverses.
AMAZON WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅AMAZON is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support line and we are
Already seeing a bullish rebound
And a move up from the support
Just as I predicted so we are
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish continuation
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
AMAZON: Neutral on 1D signals a buy opportunity.AMAZON is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.618, MACD = 1.360, ADX = 32.455) and is trading under its 4H MA50. With the long term pattern being a Channel Up and the price already hitting its bottom, this emerges as a medium term buy opportunity. The Channel's pullback has already met the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement condition, which is the level all three prior pullbacks hit before rebounding on a new bullish wave. Those waves hit at least the -0.382 Fibonacci extension on their way up, so that is our target (TP = 247.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce
Amazon Stock Analysis: Navigating the Path Between E-Commerce Strength and Market Volatility
Introduction
Hello, traders and investors! It’s Denis Mikheev from TheWaved™, here to deliver an in-depth analysis of Amazon’s stock (NASDAQ: AMZN). With the help of our premium tools and techniques, we’re diving deep into technical, VSA, and fundamental analysis to uncover the best strategies for the upcoming market movements. Let’s break down what’s happening with AMZN and set clear targets for trading this powerhouse of e-commerce.
Recent Performance and Market Context
Amazon’s current price sits at $219.27, with a noticeable decline from its 2024 absolute high of $233. This 5.89% drop aligns with recent sell-offs driven by macroeconomic headwinds and profit-taking from the December highs.
The stock is trading in a consolidation phase, sitting between strong support zones at $214.99 and $209.11 and resistance levels at $223 and $228. With the broader NASDAQ index displaying mixed momentum, Amazon remains a critical stock to watch.
Support Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 214.99
2. 209.11
3. 198.78
4. 182.62
5. 177.95
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 180.095
2. 151.49
3. 116.04
4. 87.57
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trends
Support Levels: 214.99, 209.11, 198.78
Resistance Levels: 223.00, 228.00, 233.00
Key Moving Averages:
- MA50 (Hourly): 220.01
- MA200 (Hourly): 223.16
RSI Insights: The RSI-14 currently reads 52.91, indicating a neutral market condition but leaning towards bullish potential on strong volume signals.
These technical indicators suggest price consolidation, but with bullish potential as the RSI edges upward and MA200 looms as a key dynamic resistance level.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Detecting Market Intentions
Analyzing VSA patterns from recent trading sessions reveals mixed signals. A notable “Buy Volumes Take Over” pattern on January 10 suggested short-term buying strength, but was quickly followed by a reversal due to increased sell volumes. This signals that smart money may be accumulating positions before a larger move.
Price Action and Patterns
On January 6, a strong “Buy Volumes Max” pattern indicated bullish intentions, but resistance at $228.23 capped further growth.
On January 7, a “VSA Sell Pattern 3rd” hinted at a bearish reversal, driving prices back to support levels.
Key takeaway: The interaction between support at $214.99 and resistance at $223 will be pivotal in determining the next directional breakout.
Fundamental Factors to Watch
Amazon’s fundamentals remain strong, with steady revenue growth driven by AWS (cloud services) and robust e-commerce performance during the holiday season. However, rising interest rates and inflationary pressures continue to dampen consumer spending and could act as a headwind.
Trading Plan: Targets and Stop-Loss Levels
Based on the current setup, here’s a practical trading roadmap:
Short-Term Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $223 after confirmation of a breakout.
Targets: $228, $233.
Stop-Loss: $220.
Bearish Alternative:
Entry: Below $214 with strong bearish candles.
Targets: $209, $198.78.
Stop-Loss: $217.
Forecast: Where Are We Headed?
In the short term, Amazon is poised for a potential bullish breakout if it clears resistance at $223. However, caution is warranted if macroeconomic conditions shift. Our long-term view remains cautiously optimistic, with a forecast targeting $240+ by Q2 2025 as the broader market stabilizes.
Conclusion and Call to Action
This analysis is powered by TheWaved™, utilizing advanced tools and methodologies. If you have any questions or want a deeper dive into our methods, feel free to reach out via direct messages. Remember, all the professional indicators and insights are available in the profile header. Follow for more ideas, and let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Stay sharp, trade safe, and may the markets favor your strategy!