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Beyond Technical Analysis

Gold / USD – 15M | New York Push & P1D High Retest Gold is reacting around New York open levels after breaking into new highs. Price sits above daily high and may retest before next leg. **Bullish Scenario:** * Hold above 3540 (P1D High retest) * Continue higher toward 3560 → 3570 zone * Breakout above HH extends toward 3580+ **Bearish Scenario:** * Fail to hold 3540 P1D High * Slip back under 3530 swing low * Opens path to 3520 → 3505 support **Key Levels:** * Resistance: 3560 / 3570 / 3580 * Support: 3540 / 3530 / 3520 / 3505 💬 Will gold hold above P1D High for new highs, or reject back to lower support?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CoreliquidityLab
1
EUR / USD – 15M | Testing Equal Highs & London Open Reaction Euro is pushing higher from the Asian–London overlap sweep. Price is now approaching equal highs with rejection zones above. **Bullish Scenario:** * Hold above 1.1640–1.1650 support * Break equal highs at 1.1665–1.1670 * Target 1.1710 strong high → 1.1720 rejection block **Bearish Scenario:** * Fail to clear 1.1665–1.1670 * Drop back below 1.1640 * Next downside: 1.1610 rejection block → 1.1580 OB **Key Levels:** * Resistance: 1.1665 / 1.1670 / 1.1710 / 1.1720 * Support: 1.1640 / 1.1610 / 1.1580 💬 Will EURUSD break equal highs or reject into deeper lows?
Short
by CoreliquidityLab
1
GBP / USD – 15M | Watching London Open Reaction Price just bounced from strong lows into London Open, showing signs of structure shift. Market is now testing swing highs and equal highs, with upside room into higher rejection zones. **Bullish Scenario:** * Hold above 1.3380–1.3400 * Break equal highs at 1.3425 * Target 1.3450 → 1.3550 rejection block (P1D high) **Bearish Scenario:** * Fail to clear 1.3400–1.3425 * Drop back below 1.3380 * Retest swing low & P1D low near 1.3340 **Key Levels:** * Resistance: 1.3400 / 1.3425 / 1.3450 / 1.3550 * Support: 1.3380 / 1.3340 💬 Will Cable push through equal highs or reject and revisit the lows first?
by CoreliquidityLab
1
Break of Structure (BoS): When the Trend Announces Itself“Structure is the language of the market. Learn it, and price speaks to you.” Every trader looks at charts hoping for clues — and structure is the clearest one. A Break of Structure (BoS) is a simple but powerful concept: it shows when the market confirms a continuation of the trend. What is BoS? When price breaks a previous high in an uptrend → confirms bullish continuation. When price breaks a previous low in a downtrend → confirms bearish continuation. BoS is different from ChoCH: ChoCH signals potential reversal . BoS signals trend continuation . How to Spot BoS Identify the key swing highs and lows. Wait for price to decisively break them. Confirm the break on the timeframe aligned with your bias (e.g., H4 for trend, M15 for setups). Practical Tip A BoS on M15 aligned with H4 bias is often where setups start forming. Never assume a break is real without observing structure alignment and volume/confirmation. Price doesn’t lie. Structure doesn’t cheat. Once you see the break, the market has announced its intentions. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror If this resonated, comment below — which part of structure analysis should I break down next?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ChartIsMirror
Ethereum / USD – 15M | Testing Swing Highs into NY Session ETH pushed higher into New York session, breaking structure and tapping swing highs. Now market is eyeing a possible retest before another leg. **Bullish Scenario:** * Hold above 4425 (P1D High) * Retest 4400–4420 strong low zone and bounce * Next upside targets: 4480 → 4550 → 4640 rejection block **Bearish Scenario:** * Fail to hold 4425 * Break below 4400 swing low * Opens path toward 4320–4300 rejection block **Key Levels:** * Resistance: 4480 / 4550 / 4640 * Support: 4425 / 4400 / 4320–4300 💬 Will ETH bounce from strong lows for new highs, or slip back into deeper discount?
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by CoreliquidityLab
1
Buy opportunity - ADA weekly update Sep 3 - 9thCardano is currently still in a corrective phase, forming Primary Wave 2. Within this structure, ADA is building Wave Y of a Double Three formation, before eventually transitioning into an impulsive Primary Wave 3. These targets are supported by liquidity clusters highlighted on the heatmap: significant liquidity can be seen both at the upper boundary of the Fibonacci retracement zone and at the lower boundary. Once these clusters are cleared, I expect the path toward Wave 3 to open up. The order book reveals heavy concentrations of orders around the high of Primary Wave 1, though I believe this is not sufficient momentum on its own to launch the next impulsive phase. Derivative data is mostly stable, with slightly below-average readings but a modest increase in open interest, reflecting the potential buildup for an upward move. The completion of Wave Y could extend into late September or early October, particularly as seasonality has historically shown Ethereum (the leader among altcoins) tends to underperform in September. On the other hand, one could argue that capital may rotate into other altcoins during this period, potentially sparking moves outside ETH. For now, I prefer to remain on the sidelines until clearer signals emerge.
BINANCE:ADAUSDLong
by Phillipklh
5
Bitcoin – Between Equilibrium and Transcendence.⊣ ⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1M) – (Sep 03, 2025). ◇ Analysis Price: $111,148.95. ⊣ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1M): ▦ EMA90 – $44,745.16: ∴ Deep-cycle moving average, historically preserved through bull markets; ∴ Distance buffer ≈ +$66.40K (+59.7%) above EMA90; ∴ No tests since the 2020 breakout -> macro trend intact. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA90 = deep structural anchor (bullish fortress intact). ⊢ ▦ SMA50 – $53,419.17: ∴ Primary macro floor for post-halving cycles; ∴ Price stands +$57.73K (+51.9%) above this line; ∴ First high-timeframe defense in a major correction. ✴️ Conclusion: SMA50 = medium-term guardian support. ⊢ ▦ SMA100 – $33,457.05: ∴ Extreme long-term anchor, rarely approached outside bear capitulations; ∴ Cushion +$77.69K (+69.9%) above; ∴ “Black-swan” only in current cycle context. ✴️ Conclusion: SMA100 = last-resort macro base. ⊢ ▦ BB (21 ,2) - (Midline $84,111.14 / Upper $125,959.23 / Lower $42,263.04): ∴ Price rides the upper regime, sitting ~13.3% below the upper band (headroom ≈ $14.81K); ∴ Distance to midline (equilibrium) ≈ $27.04K (+24.3%) -> strong cushion; ∴ Bands are widened -> volatility expansion phase of the macro trend. ✴️ Conclusion: BB = mature expansion; (midline $84.1K) is the balance axis. ⊢ ▦ MACD (50, 90) - (Line 947.03 / Signal 17,045.04 / Histogram 16,098.01): ∴ Long-cycle configuration filters noise and tracks halving waves; ∴ Histogram magnitude strong -> impulse still alive at the macro scale; ∴ No imminent bearish crossover on this slow setting; trend health preserved. ✴️ Conclusion: MACD = bullish regime with durable momentum. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ Structure: Price is well above all macro bases (SMA50 $53.4K, EMA90 $44.7K, SMA100 $33.5K) and operating in the upper Bollinger regime; (midline $84.1K) marks the structural equilibrium; ∴ Momentum - (single pillar): MACD (50, 90) remains decisively positive, consistent with a continuing bull cycle; ∴ Risk rails: Upside trigger = sustained push toward/through ($125.96K - BB-upper); downside mean-reversion rails = ($99–$84K - prior clusters/BB mid). ✴️ Conclusion: The monthly chart remains Bullish-Structural and in mature expansion. As long as Bitcoin holds above the (BB midline ~$84.1K), the macro up-cycle stays intact; clearance toward ($126K) would reopen upside discovery. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation: ✦ Structure of Trend: ∴ The price hovers far above the macro fortresses (SMA50 $53.4K, EMA90 $44.7K, SMA100 $33.5K). These remain untouched, signaling the structure’s resilience; ∴ Bollinger (midline at $84.1K) is the true axis of equilibrium: as long as it holds, the market breathes in the upper realm of expansion; ∴ The upper Bollinger bound ($125.9K) is not yet pierced, leaving the cycle suspended between present strength and future compression. ✦ Momentum of Will: ∴ The MACD (50, 90), slow and deliberate, projects a force aligned with the long halving waves: histogram positive, crossover intact, momentum unfaltering; ∴ The market’s will remains bent toward continuation, though each candle at this altitude tests the resolve of buyers; ∴ Stoic principle: strength endures until proven otherwise; momentum persists until equilibrium demands balance. ✦ Flow of Capital: ∴ Wide Bollinger bands whisper volatility unchained, inviting both euphoria and caution; liquidity expands but seeks its balance at the ($84.1K mid); ∴ Capital rotates but does not abandon the structure; the exodus of liquidity is absent from the long frame; ∴ The inflow of discipline dominates - patience governs capital flows. ✦ Interpretation of Fate: ∴ Above ($125.9K) = release into new discovery, fate embraces uncharted peaks; ∴ Between ($99K and $84K) = mean-reversion crucible, where structure is tested but not destroyed; ∴ Below ($84K) = stoic descent, a return toward (SMA50 / EMA90) bastions. ✴️ Conclusion: The monthly essence is Bullish-Structural, with fate aligned to the continuation of expansion. Yet, Stoicism reminds: no trend ascends without pause; ($84.1K) is the sacred balance, ($125.9K) the gate to transcendence. ⊢ · Cryptorvm Dominvs · MAGISTER ARCANVM · Vox Primordialis · · Dominivm Cardo Gyratio Omnivm · Silence precedes the next force. Structure is sacred · ⊢
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Magister_Arcanvm
Zoom out - DOT weekly analysis Sep 3 - 9thAfter a period of very active trading, where I made profits but ultimately lost much more, I have decided to return to swing trading, as you can likely tell from the timeframe of this analysis. Accordingly, my analyses will now be structured with a broader outlook. Polkadot is currently in an Intermediate 1–2 setup, which itself forms part of Primary Wave 3. My primary expectation is for an impulsive move toward the $5 level. However, this may prove challenging given seasonality effects, as September has historically tended to produce losses rather than gains. From the order book perspective, we see several clusters of orders positioned above the current price, which is initially bullish. The liquidity heatmap, however, shows significant liquidity both above and below us, raising the possibility that the current move upward could merely be a liquidity grab before another downward leg. Derivative data does not currently suggest an over-leveraged market or excessive greed or fear. Funding rates are holding steady at normal levels, and open interest is stagnant to slightly rising. In summary, I remain long on DOT and expect an impulsive rally to follow soon.
BINANCE:DOTUSDLong
by Phillipklh
OPUSDT | Long Setup | Unlock Overhang | Sep 3, 2025📌OPUSDT | Long Setup | Ascending-Channel Reclaim vs. Unlock Overhang | Sep 3, 2025 🔹 Thesis Summary OP is basing after a deep drawdown while price grinds higher inside a rising channel. With >50% of supply already unlocked and TVL near $500M supporting 97 protocols (UNI, SNX, VELO), the risk/reward favors a defined-risk long into resistance reclaim. 🔹 Trade Setup Bias: Long Entry Zone: $0.68 – $0.75 (pullbacks into channel support/VWAP cluster) Stop Loss (invalidation): $0.5728 (loss of channel + “hedge from here” level) Hard Backstop (catastrophic): $0.4468 Take-Profits: TP1: $0.9153 TP2: $1.1956 TP3 / Max: $1.9525 – $2.00 Indicative R:R from $0.715 midpoint → $0.5728 stop: TP1 ≈ 1.41x, TP2 ≈ 3.38x, TP3 ≈ 8.70x. 🔹 Narrative & Context Structure: OP reclaimed a higher-low structure inside a clean ascending channel. Volume profile shows acceptance in the $0.60–$0.75 band; above $0.80–$0.92 sits a low-resistance pocket into $1.20, then the prior breakdown shelf near $1.95–$2.00. Sector positioning: As an Ethereum L2 using optimistic rollups, Optimism inherits L1 security while offering cheaper throughput—key into any ETH-led rotation. Seasonality/performance context: 2023 delivered a late-year impulse (~+301%), while 2024–2025 have been distribution years (~-56% / -61% YTD). Mean path favors relief rallies when flows return; average path sits near ~4%. Tokenomics & unlocks (supply map): ~50.33% of OP is unlocked; Core Contributors ~33.35%, Future Airdrops ~24.57%, Ecosystem funds ~25%. Unlocks continue toward 2026—supply overhang is known and increasingly priced. Where this fits technically: The chart’s labeled targets ($0.915 / $1.196 / $1.953) line up with prior HVNs/inefficiencies. Keeping risk below $0.5728 respects the current value area. 🔹 Valuation & Context MC/TVL ≈ 3.1x (Unlocked Mkt Cap ~$1.55B ÷ TVL ~$0.50B) → Market pays ~$3 for each $1 secured on OP → Reasonable if TVL and sequencer revenues expand with an ETH up-cycle → Supports a re-rating toward prior shelves. Inflation ≈ 2% / yr → Predictable dilution vs. many higher-emission assets → Puts focus on unlock schedule rather than ongoing issuance → Aligns with staged take-profits. Unlock Progress ~50% → Overhang persists but more than half is circulating → Weakens marginal unlock impact over time → Favors buying liquidity sweeps into support rather than chasing breakouts. 🔹 Contrarian Angle (Your Edge) Consensus fixates on unlock supply and the 2024–2025 drawdown. The structure + acceptance above $0.68 argues the overhang is largely priced. If ETH volatility compresses then expands upward, OP can revisit $0.92 / $1.20 quickly and test $1.95–$2.00 on a broader L2 rotation. 🔹 Risks Unlock overhang / treasury distribution timing compresses rallies. Sector rotation away from L2s toward alt-L1s or BTC dominance. ETH beta risk: ETH weakness or elevated gas stagnates activity/revenues. 🔹 Macro Considerations Track BTC/ETH trend, ETH volatility regime, and risk-on breadth. Flows & incentives: Any L2 incentive programs or airdrop cycles can accelerate TVL/usage. Calendar: Monitor OP unlock dates and major ETH events; fade into those if positioning is crowded. 🔹 Bottom Line This is a defined-risk long into a constructive channel with clearly mapped targets. Supply risks are known; structural reclaim plus sector beta argues for measured exposure and staged exits. Above $0.92, momentum can extend toward $1.20 and potentially $1.95–$2.00. 🔹 Forward Path If this post gains traction, I’ll follow up with: weekly structure map, confirmation triggers above $0.92, and updates around unlock windows. Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research. Charts may include AI-assisted visuals. 🔹 Footnote Forward P/E: Price divided by expected earnings over the next 12 months. Lower = cheaper relative to profits. P/FCF (Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow): Price vs. the cash left after investments. A measure of efficiency. FCF Yield: Free cash flow per share ÷ price per share. Higher = more cash returned for each dollar invested. ROE (Return on Equity): Net income ÷ shareholder equity. Shows management efficiency with investor capital. ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Net income ÷ all invested capital (equity + debt). A purer profitability gauge. Debt/Equity: Debt divided by equity. <1 usually means balance sheet is conservative. R:R (Risk-to-Reward): Ratio of expected upside vs. downside. 3:1 = you risk $1 to make $3.
Long
by Risk_Adj_Return
XAGUSD – Approaching Key Higher Timeframe Resistance at $41.50Silver (XAGUSD) has been in a strong and aggressive uptrend, showing virtually no significant pullbacks—a classic case of a “screaming” rally. The bullish momentum has been relentless, but price is now approaching a major higher timeframe resistance zone around the $41.50 area. This level marks a critical zone, and could present a medium- to longer-term short opportunity. Given the nature of this rally, a reaction from this level is expected—potentially providing a decent corrective move or even a trend reversal setup. Resistance: $41.50 SL: Above $45.00 (to allow room for volatility and false breakouts) Type: Medium- to long-term short setup Entry Zone: Around $41.50 Stop Loss: Above $45.00 Target(s): To be defined based on price action confirmation, structure, and momentum shift
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by BlueSec
Ready for the POL RallyAfter 180 days of being in a range and below the resistance line, the BINANCE:POLUSDT has finally broken the resistance area and given us the confirmation we need to ascend to higher prices. However, before the move starts, I would like it to return to the box marked in green on the chart and then begin its upward movement. For the long-term targets, I have marked two red lines, which could be the long-term goals. There is also a possibility that it could reach these targets quickly with sharp moves. ⛔ This is not financial advice; do your own research.
Long
by Madoir
From First Trade To Endless Cycle Of Loss (Trading Addiction)Most traders step into the market with a simple thought: “ Just one trade. ” But when that first small position turns green, the brain celebrates with a rush of dopamine. That sweet moment tricks you into believing you have figured the market out. What feels like confidence is often the first step into a dangerous spiral : the trading addiction cycle. Hello✌️ Spend 2 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Cardano: BINANCE:ADAUSDT has lost all key Fibonacci support levels 📉 and is approaching a major daily resistance. If the primary support, clearly marked on the chart, breaks, a drop of at least 15% could follow, targeting around $0.70 ⚠️. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🎯 Where It All Begins It usually starts with harmless intentions like learning, experimenting, or just testing luck. The first quick win feels powerful. The brain records this victory as proof of skill, when in reality it’s often pure randomness. Instead of analyzing why the trade worked, traders rush to repeat the sensation of winning. That’s the invisible first hook. 💡 The Illusion of Small Success Cognitive bias magnifies those early wins. Traders convince themselves they’ve cracked the code while the truth is they’ve only tasted noise. They stop focusing on analysis and instead chase the feeling. This is how harmless wins plant the seed of reckless entries, random positions, and overconfidence. 🌀 From Wins to Losses After a few quick wins, overconfidence expands. Position sizes grow. That’s when the market turns. A simple correction wipes out days of profits, triggering the revenge-trading loop. The trader is no longer trading the chart; they’re trading their emotions. ⚠️ The Danger Zone At this point, discipline disappears. The trader acts like a gambler chasing losses. Risk management is ignored, leverage climbs, and desperation sets in. The spiral accelerates until the account balance is drained. 🧩 The Role of Greed Greed fuels this engine. After every gain, the brain whispers “more.” After every loss, it screams “get it back now.” That voice is why traders hold too long, re-enter too quickly, and burn capital faster than they ever expect. 🛡 The Real Meaning of Security Many assume capital security is about wallets or exchanges. In reality, the biggest threat to your money is your own undisciplined mind. Safe investing means protecting yourself from yourself first. Without risk control, even the safest assets vanish. 🔄 The Endless Loop Every loss tempts another entry. Every failed entry creates the belief “the next one will fix it.” This cycle is how most beginners and even many experienced traders lose their accounts long before they learn discipline. 🧭 The Way Out Breaking free isn’t about finding a magic indicator or signal. The only way is a structured system, hard rules, and loyalty to them. Discipline is the seatbelt that keeps you alive when the market crashes. Without it, no strategy can save you. 🕹 TradingView Tools Against the Addiction Cycle This is where TradingView tools can step in like a safeguard. Alerts: Instead of staring at charts and forcing trades, let alerts call you only when your setups trigger. Position Size Calculators and custom scripts: They prevent oversized entries that come from emotional overconfidence. Volume Profile: Reveals zones where serious money moves, giving logic to your trades instead of raw impulse. Trading Journal on charts: Annotating your own trades makes behavioral mistakes visible, showing you how emotions repeat. These tools don’t just provide technical data. They create practical boundaries that break emotional patterns before they become addiction. 📌 Three Pieces of Advice to Escape the Trading Addiction Cycle No profit is worth an undisciplined entry: If your only reason is “it feels right,” that trade is already lost. Capital is sacred: Protect your principal above all. Profits come and go, but once the core is gone, the game ends. Discipline beats strategy: The strongest traders are not the smartest, but the most consistent. ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
Education
by MadWhale
10