BTC 4H Analysis | Day 8🥳 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On Bitcoin’s 4-hour time frame, as shown in the chart, we can see that after a series of declines, Bitcoin has consolidated inside a large 4H range (box). This box has been classified by traders and is currently being “priced in” for the market’s next move. For now, price is still some distance from the top of the box, but the mid-range area, where price is currently hovering, could be a good zone for a potential long setup.
⛏ Multi time frame levels (1H and 15M) have already triggered signals for traders, and price is now moving toward $111,144. A breakout above this level could confirm a long entry. However, breaking this resistance may be challenging and could have a lower win rate, so we’ll use a more conservative risk approach for this move.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it’s forming a short-term oscillating resistance near the overbought zone. The 65 level aligns beautifully with the $111,144 price resistance, meaning if RSI breaks above this threshold, that resistance could be taken out, allowing momentum to push further into the overbought region.
🕯 Bitcoin’s volume over the past few days has been strong enough to support powerful moves, but the activity has been mostly indecisive, aimed at liquidity collection within the range. If you pay close attention, you’ll notice extremely precise triggers forming at the box’s highs and lows. In short, large amounts of capital that are expected to exit gold are still in a phase of indecision, and Bitcoin hasn’t yet absorbed that risk capital.
🧠 I’m considering two main scenarios for Bitcoin’s position:
🟢 Scenario 1
Breakout above the $111,144 resistance, accompanied by RSI crossing above 65 and a noticeable increase in buy volume, signaling intent for a Bitcoin pump.
🟢 Scenario 2
Set a buy stop with a larger stop size, staying positioned for a gradual breakout. As Bitcoin breaks higher levels, we can scale in with additional volume.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Candlestick Analysis
Gold – Has the Positioning Cleanout Ended?In our update on Monday, we discussed the possible involvement of speculators in recent Gold moves and the potential for higher volatility that this could generate because they tend to liquidate positions quickly when a particular move turns stale.
It seems this may have had an impact on Gold prices this week, with a push to record highs of 4381 on Monday followed by a sharp reversal and drop down to lows at 4004 on Wednesday morning, a straight line move that may have more similarities with Bitcoin price action than the potential number 1 safe haven asset of choice for investors.
Now, with traders still reeling from the speed of changes in Gold prices, the emphasis may shift to short term drivers with the US and EU announcing further sanctions on Russian energy in an attempt to end the war in Ukraine, while uncertainty is growing around trade discussions between the US and China after the White House yesterday announced it is considering applying new broad software export restrictions against China, bringing into doubt the ability of the 2 sides to reach an agreement in time for President Trump and Chinese President Xi to potentially still meet at some stage next week.
Also, with the on-going US government shutdown starving traders of some key economic data readings ahead of a crucial Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision next week (Wednesday October 29th), the delayed US CPI reading on Friday, due at 1330 BST may take on increased significance. Any CPI reading above market expectations could lead to a stronger dollar with potential negative implications for Gold, while an in-line or below print could help to stabilise prices around current levels.
Looking forward, with so much uncertainty surrounding the current direction of Gold, it can be helpful to adapt your approach from a technical aspect to initiating trades. This may mean assessing the wider perspective through a daily chart, before moving to a more near-term approach, using a 4 hourly chart to monitor prices ahead of the key risk events into the weekend.
This may help you to adjust your time horizons to potentially take advantage of any short term over extension of moves that could be followed by a quick snap back/reversal as investors consider the wider macro backdrop.
Technical Update: Gold - The Daily Perspective
During periods of high volatility, prices often become stretched away from the 20-period Bollinger mid-average, driven by momentum or sentiment extremes. However, when sentiment shifts direction, price tends to snap back sharply to the average, highlighting the market’s tendency to revert after an overextension.
As shown on the daily chart above, Gold’s latest price weakness could possibly be seen as a similar snap-back move. However, the rising daily Bollinger mid-average, currently at 4037, has so far held the decline on a closing basis, suggesting reversion might be at play following recent volatility.
Traders could now be focusing on this 4037 Bollinger mid-average as a daily support focus, with closing defence of this level watched over the coming key risk events.
However, by also monitoring the 4-hourly chart, it may offer earlier clues to shorter term directional risks, helping traders to anticipate whether longer term momentum is building again or may stall.
Potential Shorter Term Support Levels:
With the 4037 daily Bollinger mid-average already acting as support, the 4-hourly chart perhaps adds another layer of interest. It suggests 4004 as also a potential support level. This is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the September 18th to October 20th rally, and current price action suggests attempts at recovery may well be developing from here.
While not a guarantee of further weakness, 4-hourly closing breaks below the 4004/4037 range, a combination of both the daily and 4 hourly supports, could signal further price weakness. Such breaks may open the way for tests of 3944, the October 9th low, and potentially 3915, the deeper 62% Fibonacci retracement.
Potential Shorter Term Resistance Levels:
Following the recent recovery from the 4004/4037 support zone, the 4-hourly chart suggests 4141 could now be the first resistance focus. This level marks the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the October 20th to 21st decline and has already capped earlier attempts at price strength on Wednesday, perhaps further increasing traders attention on this level.
A confirmed 4-hour closing break above 4141 in Gold could lead to further attempts to move higher with 4184, the 50% retracement of the recent decline potentially then the next resistance.
If this level gives way, the rally could have potential to extend towards 4227, which is the higher 62% retracement.
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What is Equilibrium in SMC. Balance and Imbalance in Forex Gold
Equilibrium is one of the core elements for understanding market liquidity.
In this article, we will go through the essential basics of liquidity in Forex trading with Smart Money Concepts SMC.
You will learn the interconnections between supply and demand and I will explain how to easily identify balance and imbalance on any market.
Let's start our discussion with understanding how forex pairs move.
The price of an asset goes up if the market demand is stronger than the market supply. The excess of buying activity make the markets update the highs. In smart money concepts, such an event will also be called a buying imbalance.
Look at a strong bullish rally on Gold.
The price is going up because of a buying imbalance.
A strong buying activity creates a massive amount of buyers with unfilled orders.
To entice sellers to start selling, they must offer a higher-better price.
At the same time, if the price of an asset goes down , it means that the market supply is stronger than a demand. The excess of supply will make the markets update the lows. In smc, it will be called a selling imbalance.
That is exactly what is happening with GBPUSD forex pair.
A strong selling activity and the shortage of demand makes the price go down.
The excess of supply or demand on the market can not be eternal.
The lower the price becomes, the more buyers will start buying, and the more sellers will start closing their positions.
At some moment, the surplus of supply will be absorbed by the buyers.
That will be a moment when the market will find equilibrium , the balance between supply and demand.
A strong bearish imbalance on USDJPY made the price drop significantly.
The falling price made 3 things:
It attracted more buyers, because the lower the price the more profitable is buying USDJPY.
It discouraged some buyers from buying, considering that the price is already "too low".
It encouraged some buyers to close their positions in profit.
Because of that, USDJPY stopped falling and found a balance in supply and demand. That is what we call Equilibrium .
In a bull run, the higher the price will go, the more sellers will start selling.
At some moment, buying imbalance will be absorbed by the bears and supply & demand will eventually balance.
Such an event will be called the equilibrium .
EURGBP was rallying strongly.
The higher the price went, the more sellers started to sell, considering selling the pair more and more profitable.
And the same time, fewer buyers were buying and the more started to close their buy positions in profits.
At some moment, the entire excess of the market demand was absorbed by a supply. The market stopped growing and equilibrium was found.
One of the main characteristics of a market equilibrium is sideways price movement and a termination of a formation of new highs or new lows.
Usually, such a sideways price action will form a horizontal range.
That's a real example how a CAD JPY pair found an equilibrium after an extended bearish movement. A formation of a horizontal range confirmed a balance between a supply and a demand.
Please, note that these ranges will form on any time frame that you analyse.
The rule is that the higher is the time frame of the range, the stronger is the market equilibrium.
Above, I have 3 different charts:
USDJPY on a daily time frame, EURJPY on a 4H and GBPUSD on 15 minutes.
All the pairs found an equilibrium in horizontal ranges.
An equilibrium on USDJPY will signify intra week or even intra month balance,
while on EURJPY it will mean intraday/intra week balance.
On GBPUSD, it will signify intraday equilibrium.
Market equilibrium can not last forever.
Fundamentals news and changing market conditions, make the market participants constantly reassess a fair value of an asset.
A violation of the range and a breakout of one of its boundaries will be a trigger of an occurrence of an imbalance .
A bullish violation of the upper boundary of the range will signify a buying imbalance and a highly probable rise to the new highs.
While a bearish violation of the lower boundary of the range will mean a selling imbalance and a highly probable fall to the new lows.
Please, study how GBPCHF was moving for a week on an hourly time frame.
The periods of balance were changed by the periods of bullish or bearish imbalances, that found a new equilibrium on higher/lower price levels.
Understanding of basic principles of supply and demand in trading is essential for profitable trading smart money concepts.
Learn to recognize the periods of imbalance and equilibrium.
It will provide you the edge in understanding and trading any forex pair.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Move After the Trap
I see a confirmed liquidity grab below a key horizontal support
on an hourly time frame.
A formation of a cup & handle pattern and a breakout of its neckline
afterward suggest a strong buygin interest.
The market will rise more and reach at least 25023 level.
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Gold finally has a supply range! Time for bullish correction?I talked about everything but the obvious inverse head and shoulders/Quasimodo forming the right shoulder now. If everything goes right can we expect an arm to extend upwards here during the stochastic buy cycle?
Let me know what you think and be sure to share and care for others if you found this helpful.
Also talked about the "REAPER WARNING" as we have a reaper inversion range actively terrorizing price 🧩
USD/JPY(20251023)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The shutdown continues, and the US Senate has rejected the temporary funding bill for the 12th time.
Technical Analysis:
Today's buy/sell levels:
151.83
Support and resistance levels:
152.38
152.17
152.04
151.61
151.48
151.27
Trading Strategy:
If the stock breaks above 152.04, consider buying, with the first target price being 152.17.
If the stock breaks below 151.83, consider selling, with the first target price being 151.61.
AUDUSD: Monitoring Downside MomentumDaily Timeframe:
Yesterday's session closed with a doji (inside bar). There's a lot of indecision going on. Price is maintaining below the HTL, however, the ranging bars may indicate that there's a lack of selling pressure.
If momentum does not pickup, we might see a fakeout. For the time being, I still maintain a bearish stance on the daily timeframe.
H1 Timeframe:
Price is breaking below the ATL, which is the first indication that momentum may be picking up throughout the Asian session.
Price remains choppy around the EMAs, which is a less reliable momentum signal.
However, I do think this pair has potential if price does not close back above the ATL.
GBPJPY: Trend ContinuationOver on the daily timeframe, price is respecting the EMAs. This is indicating a clear uptrend. In addition, the HTL is a resistance turned support level so overall bullish sentiment unless price crosses back below this level.
The H1 timeframe is also supporting the notion that there's momentum to the upside. Structurally, there's momentum to the upside. This is first indicated by price breaking above the DTL.
In this case, price's acceleration away from the EMA is not clear signal. This was quite choppy since October 12th.
There's potential to the upside, but I'd approach this pair a bit more cautiously.
Ethereum Uptrend Under Pressure, Setup in PlayETH/USD is clinging to uptrend support, providing a level that can be used to build setups around. The first thing that stands out is the inability for the price to bounce meaningfully, differentiating it from last week, at least so far. Secondly, prior to Wednesday’s bearish candle, there was a string of dojis, indicating that while the recent price action has been bearish, there’s still plenty of indecision out there as to whether the move will extend.
As things stand, momentum signals favour downside with RSI (14) and MACD shifting from neutral to bearish territory. However, marginal bullish divergence between RSI (14) and price provides an early warning signal that downside pressure may be in the process of bottoming. As such, while selling rallies and downside breaks is preferred, until one of those eventuates, there’s still opportunity to look for short-term countertrend trades.
If we see a definitive break of the April uptrend and push below the October 17 low beneath $3700, shorts could be established with a stop above either level to protect against reversal. $3500 and $2930 screen as two potential targets.
However, if the trendline continues to be defended successfully, longs could be established with a stop beneath either today’s or the October 17 low for protection. $4100 or the 50-day moving average loom as possible targets.
Good luck!
DS
EURJPY: Trend ContinuationThe daily structure is indicating that price is trading in the direction of the overall uptrend. Price is held supported and it bounced off of the EMA20.
Over on the H1 timeframe, there's quite a few confluences. There's a chance that momentum really picks up in this session.
Price is breaking above DTL, indicating momentum has a chance to pick up going into this Sydney/Tokyo session.
Price is also showing confluence with the higher TF, trading in the direction of the uptrend.
Price is also exiting away from the EMA band. However, there's a lot of overlap with the EMAs so it's a rather weak signal.
EUR/USD Hints At Swing LowA small doji formed on Wednesday, snapping a three-day losing streak for EUR/USD. The session low respected the 100-day EMA as support, while the brief dip below the monthly S1 pivot proved to be a false break.
The bias remains bullish while prices hold above the 1.1544 swing low. Bulls could look to buy dips towards the monthly S1 pivot in anticipation of a move up towards the 1.17 handle and monthly pivot point (1.1754).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUDCHF: Breaks Below ATLPrice is breaking below the ascending trendline (ATL), which is a signal that the counter-trend move is coming to an end.
The H1 timeframe also demonstrates confluence across price's crossover below the ATL and price's acceleration away from the EMAs.
This is further supported by the fact that price is holding below the horizontal trendline (HTL) on the daily timeframe. We can overall maintain a bearish bias for the time being.
Given that this trade signal is close to the 5 PM rollover, it may result in a closure and then re-entry to avoid a spread spike.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Move From Support Confirmed?!
There is a high probability, that Bitcoin will bounce from
a key intraday horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I see a valid bullish CHoCH and a breakout
of a resistance line of a falling parallel channel.
I expect growth at least to 110.800 level.
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ZCash Wave Analysis – 21 October 2025
- ZCash reversed from round resistance level 300.00
- Likely to fall to support level 240.00
ZCash cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance area surrounding the round resistance level 300.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave 1 at the start of October).
The downward reversal from this resistance area formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern long-legged Doji.
Given the strength of the resistance level 300.00 and the bearish divergence on the dally Stochastic, ZCash cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 240.00.
BTC 1H Analysis | Day 7🥳 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the one-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after last night’s pump, Bitcoin failed to break through the resistance zone at $113,400 and was rejected downward from this area. It’s currently sitting at its support floor around $107,537, and losing this level could lead to a further decline.
🧮 The RSI oscillator has now formed two important zones — 50 and 38 — and when the fluctuation limit crosses these zones, Bitcoin may start its next move with increased volatility.
🕯 Last night, Bitcoin had good buying volume while approaching its resistance, but the key point was that it was then pushed down sharply by heavy selling pressure, losing even its multi–timeframe support floors. Keep in mind that Bitcoin needs an increase in buying or selling volume to break through these identified levels.
🧠 I’ve explained the upcoming Bitcoin scenarios in the following paragraph.
🟢 Long Position Scenario: A breakout of the nearest resistance zone at $109,383, along with the RSI crossing above the 50 level and buying pressure strong enough to absorb all the sell orders in this area.
🔴 Short Position Scenario: The current level Bitcoin is sitting at is a very critical support. Losing this support at $107,537, combined with the RSI dropping below 38 and increased selling pressure, could trigger a continued downward move, pushing Bitcoin toward its lower support zones.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Look for a volatile upward correction of 4200-4220Good morning, bros. Although the market did not provide us with suitable trading opportunities last night, this did not prevent the market from confirming Allen's advanced trading vision. Even if the long orders at 4060-4050 were stopped out, the gold price still fell back to around 4000 as expected. Continuing to go long can not only turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, but also ensure substantial profits. how is it? Although we were unable to participate in this transaction, the final trend and results always prove the high accuracy of Allen's advanced trading vision and strategic analysis.
As the candle chart closed with a long lower shadow that was nearly twice the length of the body, the short-term bottom was found near 4000. Therefore, I believe that gold may be in a state of volatile upward repair today. After a rapid decline and rebound this morning, the current price is once again around 4120-4130. Judging from the hourly chart, there is a rudimentary form of a head and shoulders bottom pattern in the short term. If the gold price retreats again, thus prompting the formation of a head and shoulders bottom pattern, then when the gold price falls back to around 4105-4095, we can also try to go long on gold with a light position. If gold continues to rise, we will pay attention to the performance of 4160-4170 above, which is both a short-term resistance and the daily MA10 moving average. If the bulls want to return to the market, they must first stand firm on the MA10 moving average to have greater hope. Therefore, this resistance range is also the focus of our short-term attention. Once it stabilizes above the MA10 moving average, gold will be expected to rebound to 4200-4220.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Perfect prediction of BTC trend, today's retracement continuesWith the emergence of the double top structure, gold and silver investors have been taking profits, and market funds have continued to flow into crypto assets led by BTC and ETH.
Historically, BTC and the broader cryptocurrency market have risen after gold peaks, driven by capital rotation.
In his opening remarks at the Federal Reserve's first Payment Innovation Conference held today, Federal Reserve Governor Waller spoke highly of cryptocurrencies and the "DeFi industry." Waller noted that the conference aims to explore how blockchain and cryptocurrency can be integrated into mainstream finance.
At the same time, the Federal Reserve also indicated that it would create a new era in the payment field, and the DeFi industry would not be doubted or despised.
Waller also revealed that he has proposed setting up a new type of account at the central bank, which he called a "payment account." Waller said he has asked the Fed to consider this new type of account, which would make it easier for businesses to access the central bank's payment channels without having to have a full master account. This move has clearly increased market attention for cryptocurrencies.
In the subsequent BTC trading market, we can once again use 109500-108500 as short-term support, and go long on pullbacks to see rebounds. Pay attention to the 113000-115000 resistance zone above. If the momentum is maintained, it may move towards 120000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
SILVER (XAGUSD): Correction is Over?!
Silver shows some strength after a test of a key intraday support.
A formation of a rejection candle followed by a buying imbalance
suggests a highly probable rise.
Goal - 50.15
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GOLD (XAU/USD): Bullish Move After Liquidity GrabIt appears that a significant bearish trap may have formed following a test of a strong horizontal support on an intraday chart.
Furthermore, a strong bullish confirmation, a bullish change of character, is evident on the hourly chart.
I anticipate that the price may potentially increase to the 4200 level.
Gold Volatility Surges Above $4000Gold's selloff on Tuesday was its fifth most bearish day's trade since 1970 - according to spot prices from LSEG. Clearly this is a significant event, especially when we consider it occurred at its record high. Let's take a closer look at technical levels.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
EURJPY: Trend ContinuationI've made several key annotations on this chart. There are several things that I like.
The first is the clean daily structure as price is respecting the EMAs and is making clear breaks above the HTLs.
Over on the H1 timeframe, price crossed above the DTL Although it stalled a bit, it did not successfully make any new lows. Overall, selling pressure does not seem to be present.
My entry signal is based on the bullish bar exiting the EMA band, which is a sign that momentum to the upside will likely pick up.






















