PURCHASES??It seems that the market has just started to drop some contracts, that normal. here, we are expecting a potential pullback to persuade the mases to sell so they can buy again cheap. Anyway, we just have to wait till the market completes what we are expecting
Head and shoulders remeber that the pattern has a meaning, in not the pattern per se, it what it means.
what i mean is that first the intention happens and then the pattern appears. If you want to understand it better, just ask chat gpt what is the meaning of this pattern when taking into account wyckoff.
To sum up i expect higher prices but i will only be able to participate once phase C has been confirm, specially when we are on new territory such as price discovery
Candlestick Analysis
Fed Funds Rate Drop By 0.25% Might Not Be Enough....US10Y
Yields on the US 10-year Treasury rose close to 3bps to 4.06% on Friday, holding just above the 5-month lows hit in the prior session, as markets grew increasingly confident the Fed will resume rate cuts next week.
Market participants are currently anticipating the equivalent of two to three quarter-point cuts by year-end, while some participants are wagering on a larger half-point move next week.
What Can We Expect Going Forward:
- Unusually High Volatility
- High Probability Liquidity Sweep
- Yields Catch Retail Offside
Areas Of Interest:
- Short-Term Draw To Weekly Buyside @ 4.103%
- Potential To Reach Up Into 4.151% Equilibrium Before or 30 Mins After Announcement
- Long-Term Sellside Draw Through 3.996%, Targeting 3.987% - 3.822% HTF Discount Inefficiency
(Assuming Rates Drop .25 - .50 Basis Points)
10-Year T-Note:
What To Expect Going Forward:
- High Probability For BISI Inefficiencies To Fill
- High Volatility Throughout The Week
- Potential For A Stop Raid
Areas Of Interest:
- 31st Mar 25, NWOG Discount @ 113'00'0
- 112'30'0 BISI Low
- 112'29'5 - 112'26'0 Weekly Volume Imbalance
Long Trade
15min TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: USD/JPY
Date: Tue 16th Sept 25
Time: 3.45 pm
Session: New York PM
Timeframe: 15m
🔹 Trade Details
Direction: Buyside Trade
Entry: 1.67497
Profit Target: 146.971 (+0.34%)
Stop Loss: 146.404 (–0.03%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.99
🔹 Technical Context
Liquidity sweep: Trade initiated after price swept lows around 146.40 into a demand zone.
Confluence:
FVG (Fair Value Gap) in NY PM provided an imbalance target.
Demand block underlined by multiple rejections at the session low.
Volume build-up showed absorption of sell pressure before the bounce.
Stop placement: Just below 146.40 liquidity sweep, minimising downside.
Targeting: Prior intraday imbalance around 146.97, aligning with the short-term liquidity pool.
🔹 Trade Narrative
USD/JPY presented a classic NY PM reversal setup. After an aggressive downside, the price found support at a demand block and swept liquidity under session lows. The entry aligned with FVG imbalance recovery, with stop tightly protecting under the liquidity wick. Profit target sits at the first imbalance fill, giving almost 7R efficiency.
Short trade
Pair: GBP/USD
Direction: Sellside trade
Date: Monday, 15th September 2025
Session: London to New York AM (9:10 am entry)
Timeframe: 5M
Trade Details
Entry: 1.36068
Stop Loss: 1.36116 (0.04%)
Take Profit: 1.35789 (0.21%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 3.85
Trade Narrative
The short was executed at the London–New York session crossover (9:00 am), a key volatility window where liquidity transitions.
Trade aligned with sellside bias confirmed by EUR/USD correlation, strengthening conviction for downside continuation.
XAUUSD SELL OPPORTUNITY Price provided us a sell opportunity. We’re hopping in from the current market price. Technically, we can see how price traded all time high of 3700 and quickly rejected to the downside. There could be an underlying reason for the rejection which we believed could be the start of a sell off.
AUDSGD: H1 DTL BreakI've been alerted by my trend-following signal. Here are the key observations across the two timeframes I've been monitoring.
Daily Timeframe:
Price is above EMA20 > indicating an uptrend
EMA20 above EMA60 > indicating an uptrend
H1 Timeframe:
Price crosses above DTL > indicates upside potential and confluence with daily trend
Price is also crossing above EMA20 > indicates upside momentum should be picking up
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 16, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 16, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Powerful Breakout to New Highs – Bulls Taking Control
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty began the day with a 15-point gap up, then climbed steadily and strongly upward from the first tick. Every key level respected the price movement, with pauses followed by decisive breakthroughs:
Crossed 25115 (PDH), 25140, and 25160 levels smoothly.
Marked a day high of 25181.85 within just 45 minutes.
After a ~2-hour consolidation in a narrow ~25-point range, Nifty broke the Current Day High (CDH) and marked a new high at 25,203. Though crossing 25200 was tough for a while, 25150 support came to the rescue. From there, a fresh rally pushed the index to our expected target level of 25,240.
As noted earlier, 25240 acted as strong resistance, visible in multiple 5-minute candle shadows. The day ended near the high, signaling strong bullish conviction.
📊 The total range today was 190 points, compared to the 172-point average range of the Gladiator Indicator → indicating expansion after recent contraction.
✅ Today’s close is the highest closing since July 11, 2025, and above the previous swing high (July 23, 2025 close).
👉 For tomorrow:
If Nifty gaps up above the 25240 ~ 25260 resistance zone and sustains, it could aim for 25300 ~ 25340 and 25385.
If it opens within today’s range, expect a possible retest of 25165 ~ 25140, with 25115 as strong support — a possible zone for long reversal trades.
Initial Balance (IB) will be key to plan trades and view tomorrow.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,073.60
High: 25,261.40
Low: 25,070.45
Close: 25,239.10
Change: +169.90 (+0.68%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Green candle (Close > Open)
Body: ~165.50 points (strong, wide body)
Upper wick: ~22.30 points
Lower wick: ~3.15 points (almost no tail)
Strong close near day high → clear sign of intraday momentum.
📚 Interpretation
Buyers fully controlled the session from the start, defending 25,070.
Broke above 25,140 resistance (last week’s ceiling) with confidence.
Closing near the high shows high conviction buying and likely short-covering.
🕯Candle Type
Bullish Marubozu type → Signals decisive breakout with strong buying pressure.
📉📈 Short-Term View – September 17, 2025
Support: 25,140–25,150 (key floor now)
Resistance: 25,260–25,290 (today’s high zone)
👉 Key Insight:
The multi-day sideways consolidation (24,940–25,140) has ended.
Today’s strong green Marubozu confirms bullish breakout.
Bulls are now clearly in charge, aiming next for 25,340–25,385, provided they sustain above 25,140.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 172.09
IB Range: 87.4 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
9:20 AM – Long Trigger → Target Hit (R:R - 1:2.68)
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25240
25290 ~ 25307
25340 ~ 25385
Support Zones:
25165 ~ 25140
25115
25085 ~ 25070
💡 Final Thoughts
Today’s textbook inside bar breakout shows that bulls have the upper hand now. The next few sessions will decide if momentum will carry toward 25,300+ or if profit-taking sets in.
📖 “Momentum favors the brave. Keep an eye on the key levels and trade with discipline.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
False Break at 3700:Retreating Toward 3680-3670Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3699, and it is only one step away from the 3700 mark! I have to say that against the backdrop of significantly increased market expectations for interest rate cuts, the resonance of technical and news factors has pushed up gold prices. The current bullish momentum is strong, and there has been almost no obvious pullback during the rise. At this stage, most of these are tricks played by big funds, and it is actually difficult for retail investors to participate in long transactions. Therefore, at this stage, I will not rush to chase the rise in gold prices.
From an intraday perspective, gold still has the potential to hit the 3700-3710 area, so my latest trading plan is to continue shorting gold near this area. With gold bulls so strong, why I am still optimistic about a gold pullback. The main reason is that the current market is facing a critical time window. The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision tomorrow, but I think the Federal Reserve may announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut in a step-by-step manner, rather than the 50 basis points expected by the market. If the rate falls far short of market expectations, gold could experience a significant pullback or even a crash. However, the sharp rise in gold prices near the Fed's rate decision suggests it may be an attempt to reserve room for further declines. In addition, based on the current trading volume, the small trading volume may not be able to support the continued upward trend of gold. It is for this reason that while I avoid chasing high gold prices, I also always remain optimistic about gold shorts.
Therefore, at this stage, I would consider shorting gold in batches based on market price performance. By effectively raising the average entry price, we can reap the first bite of the pie after gold prices fall.
However, we must note that short-term support for gold currently lies in the 3680-3670 area, with strong structural support below that at 3660-3650. Therefore, in order to lock in profits in time, these two support areas will be our primary target areas for short trading.
GCT - POTENTIAL 52-WEEK HIGHGCT - Current Price 31.10 - 31.20
GCT is in a healthy UPTREND because :
Price is above 50- and 200-days EMA.
A Golden Cross was formed recently, where the 50 EMA crossed above the 200 EMA (look at the blue circle).
RSI (45-period) has remained above 50 level since May 2025, showing consistent momentum buildup and buyers’ dominance.
Price is now approaching the 52-week high resistance at 34.50. A breakout above this level could trigger momentum toward the next target of 38.00 based on Fibonacci extension.
ENTRY PRICE : 30.00 - 31.20
TARGET : 34.00 and 38.00
SUPPORT : 27.50 (The low of 09 SEPTEMBER 2025 bullish white candlestick)
Notes : 1st target at 34.00 is slightly below the actual 52-week high resistance level of 34.50.
Long trade
Pair: AUDUSDT
Direction: Buyside Trade
Date: Tuesday, 16th September 2025
Time: 8:30 AM
Session: New York Session AM
Entry Timeframe: 15 sec TF
Narrative & Rationale
Buyside entry aligned with NY session volatility window (8:30 AM economic release hour).
Execution on the 15-second timeframe highlights precise order flow and liquidity capture.
15sec TF
NZDJPY: Move UP is Expected! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
One of the setups that we discussed on the today's live stream
is on NZDJPY.
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern
and violated its neckline after London session opening
on an hourly time frame.
With a high probability, the price will continue rising
and reach 87.95 level soon.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Intraday short position is dominant, beware of big drop#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
As I analyzed with you over the weekend, although gold prices largely fluctuated at high levels last week, the overall structure remained within an upward trend. Yesterday's daily line closed with a big positive line, breaking the box-shaped oscillation in one fell swoop. This morning, gold continued its bullish trend, reaching a high of around 3689. Judging from the market trends, the overall short-term bullish trend remains unchanged, but this does not mean the end of the short position.
First, the risk of chasing high prices is far greater than shorting, and the technical analysis suggests a potential correction.
As the price of gold rises, the previous resistance gradually turns into short-term support. If gold wants to continue to rise, it must at least fall back to 3665-3655.
Secondly, regarding the news, first, although the fourth China-US talks have not yet released any signals about tariffs, the news released by China is conducive to positive developments. Second, the court dismissed Trump's charges against Cook. Although the White House has stated that it will continue to do so, this move has effectively reduced market concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve. From the news perspective, it is conducive to the decline of gold.
Therefore, I remain optimistic about a short-term pullback in gold prices. Those without existing orders can consider continuing to short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term target of 3665-3655. It can not only effectively raise the average price, but also occupy an advantageous position when gold experiences a sharp correction. However, it should be noted that in short trading, the number of trading lots must be strictly controlled to reduce trading risks and not let the account collapse on the eve of profit.
GBPJPY: Bullish Trend Continues 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY broke and closed above a major daily resistance cluster,
setting a new higher high higher close.
I think that uptrend is going to continue and the price will reach 201.0 level soon.
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Gold – After the BreakoutIt has been hard to ignore the September move higher in the Gold price, which has seen this popular asset amongst traders rise around 6%, from its breakout above 2 month range high resistance at 3450 on September 1st (more on this below in technical update) to a peak of 3690 this morning.
Now, understandably after such a big move, Gold prices are attempting to consolidate at higher levels as traders adjust positioning and prepare for a crucial interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve tomorrow evening at 1900 BST, which is then followed by the press conference, led by Chairman Jerome Powell at 1930 BST.
Patience, preparation and trading discipline when trading any market ahead of such a binary event like this Fed rate decision may be a sensible option to consider, despite what the price action may look like. While markets fully expect the Fed to cut interest rates tomorrow, there is still uncertainty surrounding whether they will cut 25bps (0.25%) or 50bps (0.25%), as well as the outlook of policymakers towards further cuts across the remainder of 2025.
Will they just cut once and wait for more data inputs, or could Chairman Powell signal more cuts are incoming at future meetings? The answers to these questions could lead to an increase in volatility but could also set up the next directional move for Gold prices. This is where preparation can be important.
Check your capital allocation, look at the charts to identify key entry, exit and stop loss levels to monitor and formulate a trading action plan to implement at the time you consider to be the most optimal.
To help you in this regard, below is our technical assessment of the current environment with 36 hours to go before the Fed.
Technical Update: After the Breakout
The latest significant development within Gold price activity has been the successful closing break above 3451, a level equal to the June 16th session high. This also represented the upper extremes of the recent sideways range, with the closing break higher triggering a phase of price acceleration to post a new all-time high at 3690 this morning.
As the chart above shows, the recent setback in price, a move that saw a low posted on September 11th at 3613, appears a limited period of consolidation, especially as this week has seen another all-time high posted at 3690. However, some traders may now be wondering if this 3690 level marks the extent of Gold price strength or if there is a more extended upside phase on the cards.
As a result, it may be important to identify and then monitor key support and resistance levels in case an increased spell of volatility emerges in the coming days.
Potential Resistance Levels:
Having seen a pause in the price advance following the posting of the 3690 all-time high, this level may now represent the first resistance focus. Closing breaks above 3690 may be required to increase the potential of further price strength.
If closes above the record high at 3690 are seen, it could point to potential tests of 3748, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension resistance. If this level was to give way, it could open the possibility of a more extended advance towards 3876, which is the higher 100% extension level.
Potential Support Levels:
It has already been a sharp acceleration higher for Gold prices, and this may open suggestions of a deeper decline to unwind over-extended upside price conditions. However, if such a move is to materialise, closing breaks below the support at 3613 may be required. This level is equal to the September 11th low.
While a closing break below 3613 wouldn’t necessarily signal a negative sentiment shift, it could expose tests of 3546, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the August 20th to September 9th phase of price strength, and possibly further if this level were to also give way.
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EURNZD: Time For PullbackThe EURNZD pair has recently tested a significant daily/intraday support level.
Following a test of the identified support structure, the market formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour timeframe.
A bullish breakout above the neckline of this pattern suggests a strong bullish signal.
This could suggest a potential retracement from the support level, with a possible target of 1.9815.
Trade cautiously and wait for a pullback to go longGood morning, my friends.
At present, gold continues to rise, and blindly chasing more will definitely lead to huge risks. We originally planned to wait for gold to pull back before going long, but the market did not give us this opportunity.
I didn't let you blindly chase the short positions yesterday. Now, are you glad that you followed my advice and didn't enter the market rashly? I know that after it hit 3675 yesterday, there must have been a lot of people shorting the market. Many brothers even held their positions until today, but found that the market did not give a good retracement point. At this time, it's even more important to avoid being manipulated by emotions and engaging in revenge trading.
In the short term, the prudent approach is still to wait for gold to pull back before going long. In the short term, focus on 3675-3665. If it does not break through the pullback, you can try to go long on gold.
Bulls Eye Fresh Gains in SilverSilver may be about to embark on another leg higher, bouncing strongly in Asia to move back towards resistance above $42.73.
Having tested the level multiple times earlier in the session only to be knocked back lower, a close above it on the hourly—or a definitive push to fresh highs—may be enough to draw in additional longs looking for an extension of the prevailing bullish trend.
Longs could be set above $42.73 with a stop below, targeting $43 initially given silver’s tendency to gravitate towards big and half-big figures. Beyond that, those chasing more from the move should be on the lookout for reversal patterns.
Momentum indicators are cautiously bullish, with RSI (14) and MACD showing signs of building topside pressure. That favours continuing to play silver from the long side
Good luck.
DS
USDCHF: Trend ContinuationGoing to make a trend continuation play on the USDCHF pair. I think there's a few levels to look at on both the daily and hourly levels.
Daily Timeframe:
Price crossed the daily HTL at the beginning of September
Price pulled back three days level but still held below it
H1 Timeframe:
This is the second ATL that price is crossing; based on the first ATL cross, movement is clean
Price did not exit from the EMA20/60 band so should reduce side






















