Short tradeSell-Side Trade
Pair: GBPAUD
Mon 2nd Dec 2025 — 8:30 AM
NY Session AM
🟥 Trade Details
Direction: Sell-side
Entry: 2.01331
Take Profit: 2.00827 (+0.25%)
Stop Loss: 2.01436 (0.52%)
Risk-to-Reward: 4.8R
🟧 Execution Context
NY AM open delivered premium distribution pricing
Clear liquidity grab (highlighted blue Fib zone 0.618 -0.328 & FVG)
above micro-swing before displacement
Bearish orderflow confirmed by:
Break of Structure (BOS) to downside
Displacement candle
Retest into bearish FVG + Order Block
Entry taken at optimal 0.75 (PDArray) retracement inside imbalance
🟦 Market Structure
M15 + M5 structure already bearish on the day
Lower highs across London into NY
Price broke: London low, Asia low & Internal liquidity taken →
for a continuation setup, HTF (H1) aligned with bearish flow
Compression pattern preceding the drop confirmed exhaustiveness
🟪 Liquidity Story
Pre-NY sweep of the liquidity low marked on chart
Price engineered buy-side liquidity for distribution
Orderflow transitioned to:
Sell-side targeting:
2.01131 (−0.618 level)
2.00827 (TP, external liquidity pocket)
Multiple FVGs stack above mark → clear rejection zones
🟩 Model Confirmation
SMC + ICT Model Alignment:
Liquidity grab → displacement → FVG → confirmation entry:
All PD arrays aligned:
Premium pricing
FVG
Bearish OB
Retracement into imbalance
RR 4.8
🟫 Narrative & Psychology
Market offered a counter-trend bounce trap
Retail longs positioned after the wick sweep
Smart money distributed into premium
We assume we are in the NY AM expansion phase
Strong conviction supported by consistent session behaviour
🟩 Outcome / Trade Status
Currently in progression / tracking toward sell-side targets
Strong follow-through momentum observed
Clean trend delivery expected into NY PM continuation
Candlestick Analysis
FireHoseReel | BNB Daily Analysis #13🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel !
Let’s dive into the Binance Coin ( BNB ) analysis.
👀 BNB – 1H Overview
After the recent decline, BNB has entered a new short-term structure and is now moving toward the $871 resistance with strong momentum and rising volume.
One or two clear reactions to this resistance, followed by a confirmed breakout, could activate our long trigger.
📊 Volume Analysis
Volume is the key factor to monitor here. During BNB’s corrective move after the bearish leg, buy volume was decreasing.
However, once the multi-timeframe resistance at $833 broke, buy volume expanded sharply, marking a sentiment shift that traders needed to react to.
✍️ BNB Trading Scenarios
Below are the active scenarios you can use alongside your own trading strategy:
🟢 Long Scenario
A break above $871 with rising buy volume can activate a long setup.
The second touch and breakout usually offers a better risk-to-reward with a tighter stop.
🔴 Short Scenario
The formation of bearish patterns such as failure swing, non-failure swing, or double top, confirmed by volume, can provide a valid short setup.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading is no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades—and enjoy the process with control and discipline.
Nifty Analysis EOD – December 1, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – December 1, 2025 – Monday 🔴
Upper Rejection at 26,150; Bulls Lose Ground But Hold 26K.
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty opened with a significant 78-point Gap Down and slipped further by 20 points, eventually finding initial support at the 26075 level. The ensuing 77-point recovery attempted to fill the gap, but the 26150 resistance zone proved too strong, aggressively pushing the index back down toward the day’s low.
Subsequently, the market stayed range-bound within the 26050 ~ 26100 zone. The continuous pressure from sellers, who seized every rise as a selling opportunity, ultimately pushed the Nifty below 26K, marking the day low at 25,997.85.
After a late 62-point recovery, Nifty closed at 26,032.20, marginally above the psychological 26K level, but with a loss of -143.55 points (-0.55%).
The weak candle close, following the failure to hold the PDL in the first half, reflects significant buyer weakness at important levels.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day’s price action began below the previous day’s low (PDL), showing immediate seller dominance. The early bounce back toward the gap area was a clear failure (False Breakout) at 26150, confirming supply was active.
The subsequent consolidation around 26050 was eventually broken down, testing the 26K round number. This persistent downward drift—where every rise was sold into—indicates a controlled distribution phase. The late recovery, while closing Nifty above 26K, is still precarious. I am cautiously viewing today’s move as potential
manipulation ahead of the weekly expiry, contingent on tomorrow’s open. For the bullish scenario to resume, a tomorrow’s open above 26100 is crucial.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 26,087.95
High: 26,154.60
Low: 25,997.85
Close: 26,032.20
Change: −143.55 (−0.55%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bearish candle with a long upper wick.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 157 points — moderately high volatility.
Body: ≈ 56 points — reflecting controlled yet persistent downside pressure.
Upper Wick: ≈ 66 points — a clear signal that buyers attempted to push higher but faced strong rejection near the highs.
Lower Wick: ≈ 34 points — buyers provided some support near 26,000 but lacked the strength to reverse the trend fully.
📚 Interpretation
The long upper wick is the most important feature, demonstrating strong supply overwhelming early buying enthusiasm.
The market’s inability to sustain above 26150 and the close below the open suggest that overall sentiment remains weak. The mild recovery into the close indicates defense of the 26,000 psychological support, but the continuous pattern of rejections at higher levels is a primary concern.
🕯 Candle Type
Bearish Candle with Long Upper Wick (Selling Pressure at Higher Levels) — Indicates distribution and potential continuation lower unless a strong bullish confirmation emerges.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 195.37
IB Range: 86.25 → Small
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:10 Short Trade - SL Hit (Trapped, IBL Breakout)
12:17 Long Trade - Target Hit (R:R 1:2) (Mean Reversal Contra trade)
12:42 Short Trade - Target Hit (R:R 1:1.64) (Trendline Breakout)
Trade Summary: The volatile, choppy session resulted in an early loss due to a false IB breakout. However, the system successfully adapted by capturing a mean-reversion long trade and a profitable short trade on the bearish trendline breakdown, validating the strategy’s flexibility in imbalanced conditions.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
26075
26104
26132 ~ 26160
26220 (Must breach to turn bullish)
Support Zones:
26030 (Immediate Close Support)
25985
25930 ~ 25920
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The fight is concentrated on 26,000.”
The market is currently defending the 26030 support level.
If Nifty successfully holds today’s low (25,997), it might resume moving toward a new ATH.
For the downside, there are multiple immediate hurdles: 25985 and 25930 ~ 25920.
Due to this layered support, I will avoid aggressive short trades; only quick, cautious shorts or contra trades are advised.
Crucially, keep the 26220 level in mind for the upside. If this level is breached and sustained, aggressive long trades should be favoured, and short trades must be avoided.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Long trade
Trade Journal — AUDNZD (Updated)
Buyside Trade — London Session AM
Mon 1st Dec 2025 — 5:00 AM
🔵 Trade Details
Pair: AUDNZD
Direction: Buyside
Date: 1st Dec 2025
Time: 5:00 AM
Session: London Session AM
🟩 Execution Block
Entry: 1.14546
Stop Loss: 1.14489 (0.05%)
Profit Target: 1.14935 (0.340%)
Risk–Reward Ratio: 6.82R
🟧 Model & Structure
Trade follows the internal structure shift seen after the sell-side liquidity sweep
Entry aligns with your 1-minute or 5-minute confirmation model
PD array sequence respected: SSL (Sell-side Liquidity Sweep) sweep → BOS (Break of Structure) → FVG/OB (Fair Value Gap/Order block) → retracement entry.
🟦 Bias & Higher-Timeframe Context
NZDUSD showing bullish recovery after multi-session selloff
H1 discount pricing respected ?
Price returns into a reactive demand block at 0.5715 ?
Daily open acts as a draw above ?
We assume the London expansion time window (7:00–9:30 AM) supports upside delivery ?
🟩 Outcome: Trade in session
Expect continuation toward 0.57500 once retracement is filled
Watch for reaction around daily open.
NZDJPY: Bullish Continuation 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Here is one of the setups that we discussed on a live stream today.
NZDJPY will likely continue rising after a confirmed
break of structure BoS and a retest of that.
Goal - 0.5958
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long trade
Date: Mon 1st Dec 2025
Time: 7:40 PM
Session: Tokyo Session PM
Execution TF: 5-min
Bias: Sell-Side / Short
🟥 1. Trade Details
Pair: AUDJPY
Direction: Sell-Side Trade
Entry: 101.808
Take Profit: 101.279 (-0.43%)
Stop Loss: 102.278 (0.46%)
RR: 3.95R
🟦 2. Higher-Timeframe Context (Blue Tab — HTF Bias & Structure)
HTF Bias: Bearish → Retracement → Continuation
The 1H and 4H charts show:
Multiple failed attempts to break above the 102.40/102.50 macro level
HTF premium zone rejection (6.18 retracement + previous POI)
Series of lower highs forming beneath 102.30
Break of structure leading into a newly formed HTF discount imbalance
The overall context is a sell we observed a premium setup inside a bearish macro sequence.
Key HTF Levels:
102.49 high → external buyside liquidity
102.20 – 102.25 → bearish rejection block
101.28 – 101.30 → Sell-side liquidity target (TP)
🟨 4. Technical Breakdown
ICT Sell Side Model:
Model Sequence:
Liquidity Grab → Displacement → BOS → FVG Return → Short Entry
Confluences:
FVG + 0.25/0.5 fib level
Supply block rejection
Clear market structure shift
Tokyo Session PM timing (low volatility → Algorithmic clean move)
Risk tightly defined above rejection block at 102.27
Stop Logic:
SL placed above:
The 102.27 rejection block
The last internal high
Invalidates bearish structure if taken
TP Logic:
Take profit set at:
Sell-side liquidity at 101.28
1.272 fib extension
Previous session low cluster
🟩 5. Session Narrative
Tokyo PM Session Behaviour:
Clear sweep during session transition
Smooth distribution after premium mitigation
No opposing liquidity until session lows
🟫 6. Outcome: Trade in session
Long trade
🟩 1. Trade Details
Pair: USDJPY
Direction: Buyside Trade
Date: Mon 1st Dec 2025
Time: 10:00 AM
Session: NY Session AM
Execution TF: 15-min
Entry: 155.086
Take Profit: 155.774 (+0.39%)
Stop Loss: 155.037 (–0.03%)
Risk-to-Reward: RR = 8.54R
🟦 2. Higher-Timeframe Context
HTF Bias: Bullish → Bullish Continuation:
USDJPY has been in a macro uptrend, consistently printing higher highs on the 4H / Daily charts. Current retracement is shallow, indicating strong buyer aggression.
Key HTF Levels:
Daily bullish FVG at 155.00 → 155.40
Weekly liquidity above 156.50–157.00
Daily Open reclaim gave strong directional confirmation
Narrative:
Price delivered a corrective pullback into discount and formed a consolidation wedge before a sharp NY AM expansion → signalling the start of a new impulsive leg.
🟧 3. Liquidity - ICT model logic
1️⃣ Sell-Side Liquidity Raid
The lows at 155.014 were swept
Price dipped into a 0.618 retracement + internal liquidity pocket
2️⃣ Inducement Layer
Multiple equal lows created “fake support”
Retail positioned short on the breakdown
3️⃣ Displacement
Fast upside displacement candle at NY AM session open
Breaks micro structure and invalidates bearish order flow
4️⃣ Rebalance & Entry
Price returns to:
Discount zone
Bullish FVG (15m)
Bullish Order Block
EMA/WMA dynamic support
5️⃣ Buyside Liquidity Target
Liquidity above 155.760 (previous NY high) tapped
🟪 5. Market Sentiment & Session Narrative (Purple Tab)
Session Behaviour:
London session showed compression
NY session created high-volatility spike → indication of algorithmic shift
Liquidity engineered below the lows was used as fuel to power the expansion
Sentiment:
Retail bias was bearish due to breakdown under 155.30
HTF remained bullish? USD strength increasing due to macro drivers (Fed rate expectations narrative)
🟫 6. Outcome
Status: Trade in session
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal — AUDNZD (Updated)
Buyside Trade — London Session AM
Mon 1st Dec 2025 — 5:00 AM
🔵 Trade Details
Pair: AUDNZD
Direction: Buyside
Date: 1st Dec 2025
Time: 5:00 AM
Session: London Session AM
🟩 Execution Block
Entry: 1.14546
Stop Loss: 1.14489 (0.05%)
Profit Target: 1.14935 (0.340%)
Risk–Reward Ratio: 6.82R
🟧 Model & Structure
Trade follows the internal structure shift seen after the sell-side liquidity sweep
Entry Type: 1-minute
PD array sequence respected: SSL sweep (Sell-side Sweep) → BOS (Break of Structure) → FVG/OB (Fair Value Gap & order Block) → retracement entry
Clean displacement from the FVG triggered the continuation setup trade execution.
🟦 Bias & Higher-Timeframe Context
H1 shows exhaustion into previous delivery range
Clear sell-side liquidity failure at multi-session lows
Price retraced into the OB + FVG cluster near 1.1450 (mitigation)
We assume London AM session we continue with a expansion towards
the inefficiency overhead at 1.1493
🟩 Outcome / Trade in session
TP aligns with the 1-hour imbalance fill
Strong continuation expected once VWMA/EMA cross supports structure
US 500 – Signs of Fatigue After a Strong Recovery?It’s been an edgy start to December for the US 500 index, a month which is historically one of the strongest. Part of the reason could be that the last 7 trading days of November saw a 5.3% rally from lows of 6508 (Nov 21st) to 6852 (Nov 28th) as markets reacted positively to more dovish commentary from Federal Reserve policymakers, which revived the possibility of a final Fed rate cut at their last meeting of the year on December 10th.
Now Fed speakers are in the blackout period before that meeting where they are banned from publicly discussing current policy and it suddenly feels like a long time to wait to hear the outcome of their deliberations, especially with the US 500 sitting a mere 2% from its record highs of 6925 set on October 30th.
Traders also must contend with a busy data schedule across this week, and it didn’t get off to the best start with yesterday’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI survey showing activity falling further into contraction territory (below 50), with sagging order books and higher prices being paid.
However, while manufacturing activity is important to the US economy, by far the biggest driver is services and the ISM Services PMI survey is due for release tomorrow at 1500 GMT. Last month’s reading sat comfortably in expansion territory (above 50) and US 500 traders will be looking to judge this new release against the previous month. Any disappointment could weigh on sentiment and vice versa.
The available updates on the US labour market could also be important as they could impact the Fed rate decision next week. The ADP monthly private sector payrolls is released tomorrow at 1315 GMT, with the Challenger job cuts due Thursday at 1230 GMT and weekly jobless claims due at 1330 GMT. The shock weaker Challenger job cuts reading last month initiated some extra US 500 volatility and it will be interesting to see if this happens again.
The technical backdrop is also potentially crucial going into such a critical period and the current assessment can be seen below.
Technical Update: Signs of Fatigue After Strong Recovery?
The US 500 index has staged an impressive recovery of more than 5.3% since the November 21st low, as recent price weakness once again found dip buyers. This pattern has been a consistent feature in US equities for some time. However, as the chart below highlights, the latest upside move in price has yet to achieve a close above the potential resistance defined by the October and November highs.
This may be seen by some as the latest buying failing to breach a previous price peak, thereby disrupting the pattern of higher highs and higher lows. In other words, a possible sign of slowing upside price momentum.
Of course, this does not necessarily signal the end of recent price strength. However, it may remain prudent to monitor both support and resistance levels closely, as doing so may help clarify whether the latest activity reflects a slowing of upside momentum that could lead to renewed weakness, or simply a pause in the advance before fresh price strength emerges.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As strong as the rally from the November 21st low appears, it currently remains capped below 6880, the November 12th session high. As the chart below highlights, this 6880 level represents the last recovery high and failure point, where selling pressure was sufficient to reverse the price advance back to the downside. Traders are therefore possibly viewing 6880 as the first potential resistance level to the current rally.
While not a guarantee of continued upside, closing breaks above 6880 may be interpreted as a sign of price strength resuming. If this proves to be the case, closes above 6880 could pave the way for attempts to challenge 6925, the October 30th session high, with possibilities for further gains should that level also give way on a closing basis.
Potential Support Levels:
If resistance at 6680 continues to hold, traders may begin to suspect that upside price momentum is slowing, which in turn could see renewed selling pressure. At the same time, attention may shift to 6751 as the first support. This level is equal to the Bollinger mid‑average.
While much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, closing breaks below 6751 could open scope for further declines. Such moves, if seen, may lead to tests of 6722, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest advance, and potentially even extend toward 6681, the deeper 50% retracement.
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Technical corrections do not mean reversal of the bullish trend#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
📊 From the current structure, gold rebounded to a high of around 4264 yesterday before fluctuating downwards.
💠 However, the price of gold has not yet effectively broken below the daily MA5 and MA10, and there is still some support below.
📈 The brief pullback is a build-up for a better rise later.
🌈 As I said yesterday, the technical indicators showed a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Therefore, it is not surprising that gold prices will fall in the short term.
💡 The key focus for today is the daily MA5 and MA10. The first support level is at 4205-4195. If the price retraces to this level, you can consider a small long position in gold, with appropriate SL orders.
💡 If the price falls below the 4205-4195 support zone, it is advisable to remain on the sidelines and not rush into further trading. Because the downside potential may open up, the price may fall back to the 4160-4140 Fibonacci retracement zone in the short term. This area will determine whether the upward trend can continue. Pay close attention to any stabilization signals in this area during the day.
USDCAD: Another Bullish Confirmation 🇺🇸🇨🇦
A quick follow-up for the yesterday's post for USDCAD.
I see another bullish pattern on a 4H time frame now.
The price formed a cup & handle pattern and broke its neckline.
I still expect a move up to 1.402
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Nikkei signals flash bearish as BOJ hawkish bets buildA bearish engulfing candle on our Japan 225 contract coincides with an obvious three-candle evening star pattern in futures, delivering a double dose of bearish signals that point to growing downside risks for Japanese stocks.
Currently, long-running uptrend support dating back to the April lows and the 50DMA are in close proximity beneath where the contract trades, making that a key support zone to focus on should the signals from the price action prove reliable.
If we see a clean break and close beneath the zone, it would allow for shorts to be established with a stop above the 50DMA to protect against reversal, targeting 48,400 support initially. If that gives way, 47,000, 45,170 and 42,000 were levels that saw plenty of price action either side earlier in the year, putting them on the radar as targets should we see a sustained unwind.
Of course, if the support zone comprising the 50DMA and uptrend support holds, it would allow for long setups to be considered, targeting 50,580 and 51,500 resistance initially. A stop beneath the 50DMA would protect against reversal.
RSI (14) and MACD are delivering neutral signals, a departure from what was seen in recent months when upside strength was dominant. While both indicators are gradually moving towards bearish territory right now, the preference remains to let price action and signals determine how to proceed.
Good luck!
DS
ASX200 to continue in the downward move?AU200AUD - 24h expiry
8649 has been pivotal.
20 1day EMA is at 8657.
Daily signals are bullish.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (8560 - 8640) although we expect a break of this range soon.
We look to Sell at 8643 (stop at 8711)
Our profit targets will be 8443 and 8403
Resistance: 8620 / 8649 / 8700
Support: 8556 / 8500 / 8410
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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FireHoseReel | USDT Dominance at a Critical Turning Point🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel !
Let’s dive into the USDT Dominance (USDT.D) analysis.
👀 USDT.D 1H OverView
USDT dominance moved higher after breaking our key level and is now facing a rejection near 6.491%.
⚡️ Fibbo Retracement
We have applied Fibonacci retracement from the recent low to the high, which clearly highlights the critical levels.
Forming a higher low on these zones could confirm a renewed bullish continuation in dominance.
However, a break below the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the formation of a lower low could act as an early trend reversal signal, forcing us to shift our multi-timeframe market bias.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading is no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades—and enjoy the process of trading with control and discipline.
FireHoseReel | TON’s Last Support of Defense🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel !
Let’s dive into the analysis of Telegram Coin (TON).
👀 TONUSDT 4H Overview
TON has reached a very critical support zone. A clean break below this level could activate our next short trigger and lead to a deeper drop than many expect.
📊 Volume Analysis
Selling pressure during the formation of this support has been significant. With heavy market FOMO, many traders have already exited their TON positions. If this downside momentum continues, TON could enter a deeper corrective phase.
🔁 TONBTC Prespective
Meanwhile, the TON/BTC pair is also in a bearish structure, indicating that TON’s relative strength against Bitcoin is weakening.
📌 Trading Scenario
At the moment, TON presents one primary scenario, focused on the short side, which you can use alongside your own trading setup.
🔴 Short Scenario
A breakdown below the current support at $1.465, confirmed by a strong increase in sell volume, could trigger a sharp decline in TON.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading is no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades—and enjoy the process of trading with control and discipline.
FireHoseReel | CAKE at a Critical Support Zone🔥 Welcome To FireHoseReel !
Let's dive into Cake analysis, the native token of PancakeSwap DEX.
👀 CAKE – Short-Term Market Breakdown
After breaking its newly formed support at $2.342, CAKE moved sharply lower and formed a temporary support around $2.233.
A breakdown below $2.233 could activate the next major downside trigger.
📊 Volume Analysis
Selling pressure on CAKE has intensified aggressively.
In a single 4H candle, sellers dominated the market with heavy force.
If sell volume expands again, the current downtrend is likely to continue with momentum.
🔁 CAKE/BTC Perspective
The CAKE/BTC pair is still holding a bullish structure, but a loss of its current support could trigger a corrective phase in the BTC pair as well.
📌 Trading Scenario
This scenario can be used alongside your own trading strategy and risk management.
🔴 Short Scenario
Breakdown below the newly formed support at $2.233
Must be accompanied by a strong increase in sell volume
This could push CAKE lower and may also trigger a support breakdown on CAKE/BTC, adding further downside pressure.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading is no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades—and enjoy the process of trading with control and discipline.
FireHoseReel | BNB Daily Analysis #12🔥 Welcom To FireHoseReel !
Let's dive into BinanceCoin (BNB) Analysis .
👀 BNB – Short-Term Breakdown Watch
After losing the $871 support, BNB experienced a sharp sell-off into the current zone since last night. We are now waiting for the next directional move.
A clean break below $810 could activate our next major trigger.
📊 Volume Behavior
Selling pressure has clearly increased during the recent drop.
During any short-term correction, buy volume is expected to stay weak, keeping pullbacks shallow.
For a valid continuation to the downside, the $810 support must break with strong sell volume.
📌 Today’s Active Scenario
For today, only one primary scenario is in focus, and it can be used alongside your own trading strategy.
🔴 Short Scenario
• Breakdown below $810
• Confirmed by a clear increase in sell volume
This would provide a solid short entry setup.
Even if market FOMO is extreme, decisions must stay strictly logic-based. A second touch after the break offers a more reliable entry.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading is no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades—and enjoy the process of trading with control and discipline.
FireHoseReel | BNB Daily Analysis #11🔥 Welcome To FireHoseReel !
Let's dive into BinanceCoin ( BNB ).
👀 BNB is currently attempting to break a strong support zone at $873. A confirmed breakdown of this level could activate our short trigger.
📊 BNB volume has dropped sharply. One key reason is a completed multi-timeframe distribution structure, along with the impact of the current holiday period. The first strong volume expansion will likely define the next price direction.
🧮 The RSI oscillator remains in the 36.5 range, similar to yesterday. A breakout from this range, aligned with volume expansion, would confirm momentum entering BNB’s next move.
✍️ I will update the scenarios for you, though they remain mostly unchanged from yesterday, with only minor shifts in support levels.
🔴 Short Scenario: A clean break below the marked support with rising sell volume can provide a valid short setup. However, without RSI confirmation, risk should be reduced due to the possibility of a fake breakdown.
🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer
Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
FireHoseReel | LTC:When does Litecoin explode next?🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel!
Let’s dive into the 4H Litecoin (LTC) analysis.
👀 Litecoin is currently trading below a descending curve trendline.
Each time price hits this curve, it gets rejected to the downside. Price is now approaching the end of this compression zone, while a key support has formed at $81.48 near the bottom.
📊 Litecoin volume has been declining during the recent drop and is now at very low levels.
Once volume expands again, any upcoming move in LTC is likely to become more impulsive and powerful.
✅ The LTC/BTC pair is also in a strong corrective phase, showing a noticeable decline in Litecoin’s relative strength against Bitcoin.
✍️ You can review the main Litecoin scenarios below and use them alongside your own trading strategy if needed.
🟢 Long Scenario:
A breakout above the descending curve trendline, followed by a clean pullback, and then a push toward the static resistance at $87.42 with rising buy volume, could activate our long trigger.
🔴 Short Scenario:
A breakdown below the $81.48 support with a confirmed close below this level and increasing sell volume could activate our short trigger.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading is no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades—and enjoy the process of trading with control and discipline.
FireHoseReel | NEAR: Bulls and Bears Face Off at Key Levels🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel !
Let’s dive into the 4H analysis of NEAR.
👀 After a sharp and powerful rally, NEAR faced a heavy rejection at the $3.081 level and entered a corrective phase.
This correction has been unusually deep and aggressive.
📉 NEAR is now sitting on a critical support at $1.808. Losing this level could activate our short trigger and open the door for further downside.
📊 NEAR’s trading volume has dropped, similar to many other coins in the market.
The first solid volume expansion will likely signal NEAR’s next directional move.
🔭 NEAR is known for making sharp moves after losing or reclaiming key support or resistance levels, which often provides excellent risk-to-reward opportunities.
✍️ Potential NEAR scenarios are outlined below.
Always make sure to use them alongside your own trading strategy.
🟢 Long Scenario:
A breakout above the major resistance at $1.952, supported by rising buy volume and an RSI break above 54, could trigger a valid long setup.
🔴 Short Scenario:
A breakdown below the critical support at $1.808, combined with increasing sell volume and RSI dropping below 39, could lead to a significant downside move.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading becomes pure gambling.
Let logic always lead your decisions—not emotions. Trade with control and discipline.






















