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Candlestick Analysis

Clash of Titans — Bulls vs Bears: Who Will Win This Round?Gold rebounded quickly after touching 3945 twice, and rebounded again after touching 3953. Three long lower shadows were shown in the candle chart. This area happens to be the 50% area of the previous rising wave. There are obvious signs of bottoming out in the short term. From the overall trend, although the short-term retracement of gold is not small, it has not fallen below the 3930 trend channel support, and has not even effectively fallen below 3950. Therefore, the overall gold trend is still bullish. Judging from the current structure, if gold breaks through the key level of 4010-4030 during the rebound, gold will resume its strong bullish pattern and has the potential to test or even break through the recent highs again; if gold cannot recover the key level of 4010-4030 in the short term, gold may maintain a volatile pattern in the 4010-3950 area or the 4030-3970 area. Therefore, in short-term trading: 1. If gold continues to rebound, we can first consider shorting gold in the 4010-4030 area; then patiently wait for gold to retrace. 2. If gold retreats first, we can first consider longing gold in the 3970-3950 area; then patiently wait for gold to rise.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
Long trade Trade Journal Entry — CRWD (CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.) Trade Type: Buyside Date: Tue 7th Oct 2025 Time: 10:30 am Session: NY to LND Session AM Entry: 482.24 Profit Level: 517.59 (+7.35%) Stop Level: 474.13 (−1.68%) Risk-Reward (RR): 4.37 1hr TF overview 🔹Technical Overview Structure: Price has broken through prior swing highs, confirming a shift in market structure (MSB) and suggesting continuation of the bullish trend. EMA Alignment: The 50 EMA remains above the 200 EMA, reflecting sustained bullish momentum. Liquidity Context: Price previously swept resting liquidity under the 470–475 zone before reclaiming it, triggering buy-side interest. Volume: Gradual rise in volume supports institutional positioning, with consolidation forming near a prior imbalance (FVG). 15min TF overview 🔹Sentiment Context Market Sentiment: Tech stocks remain buoyant as institutional appetite returns toward cybersecurity and AI-aligned sectors. 🔹Narrative Catalyst: CrowdStrike’s integration of Pangea strengthens its AI detection and response capabilities, feeding into the broader AI security narrative—a key bullish sentiment driver for Q4 2025. Narrative Summary This setup aligns with the broader AI-defence momentum narrative, as CRWD consolidates above structural demand and continues to print higher highs and lows. The reclaim of the 480 level acted as a breaker-block confirmation, reinforcing a bullish bias. Provided price holds above 474 support, further continuation toward the 520 handle remains probable. 🔹Sentiment Bias: Bullish Trade Direction: Long Projected Phase: Re-accumulation → Mark-up continuation
NASDAQ:CRWDLong
by davidjulien369
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair / Ticker: RGTI (Rigetti Computing Inc.) Date: Thu 9th Oct 25 Time: 10:20 am Session: LND to NY Session AM Direction: Buyside Trade Timeframe: 5-Minute 🔹 Trade Details Entry: 44.87 Profit Target: 48.41 (+11.29%) Stop Loss: 44.25 (–1.42%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.89 🔹 Technical Context Model Type: Entry/Sweep/FVG Model 009 1min TF Setup Sequence: Asian Low Sweep → Choch → Demand Zone Reclaim Order Block Confirmation at 44.25 zone with displacement candle. EMA Confluence: Price reclaimed 50EMA, aligned above 200WMA as confirmation of structural shift. Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided liquidity refinement during continuation phase. Volume spike aligned with breakout candle, validating institutional engagement. RSI Divergence Reversal on lower timeframe leading to upside expansion. VWAP Reclaim served as dynamic support confirming trend shift. 5min TF entry 🔹 Narrative Context Rigetti displayed a classic liquidity-grab reversal setup after sweeping Asian lows and reclaiming structural demand during the London-to-NY transition. Momentum followed through with displacement above key moving averages and FVG retests. Volume and RSI confirmed buyer dominance, driving price efficiently toward the 48.00-48.50 zone.
NASDAQ:RGTILong
by davidjulien369
Long trade 1Htr TF overview 📘 Trade Journal Entry Ticker: IONQ (IonQ Inc.) Date: Wed 8th Oct 25 Time: 3:30 pm Session: NY Session PM Direction: Buyside Trade Timeframes: 1H + 15M 🔹 Trade Details Entry: 75.40 Profit Target: 82.97 (+13.04%) Stop Loss: 72.77 (–0.93%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 9.93 🔹 Technical Context Model Type: Model 010 — Sweeper/Trigger Entry Model Structure: Post-accumulation bullish continuation with aligned multi-TF expansion. Confluences: 15M chart confirms liquidity sweep into order-block zone (73.40) followed by sharp displacement. 1H chart displays sustained bullish structure above both 50 EMA and 200 WMA. Fib projection: 1.272 → 1.618 extension zone aligns precisely with TP (82.90 – 83.00). Volume spike validates institutional activity concurrent with catalyst release. MSB / FVG sequence suggests efficient re-accumulation before impulse continuation. 15min TF 🔹 Narrative Context Following IonQ’s acquisition of Vector Atomic (Oct 7 2025), market sentiment shifted decisively bullish. The trade capitalized on post-news volatility, entering at the 73 – 75 range liquidity sweep. Momentum extended cleanly through the 1H structure, confirming directional conviction via both technical and fundamental catalysts. The 15M entry provided timing and risk definition, while the 1H projection maintained the broader macro trajectory toward 83 – 85 zones.
NYSE:IONQLong
by davidjulien369
1
Short trade 30min TF overview 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: GBP/JPY Date: Fri 10th Oct 25 Time: 4:30 am (NY/Tokyo Overlap) Session: LND to NY Session AM Direction: Sell side Trade Timeframe: 30-Minute 🔹 Trade Details Entry: 203.222 Profit Target: 202.209 (+0.50%) Stop Loss: 203.661 (–0.22%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.31 🔹 Technical Context Model Type: Reversal Continuation Model Setup Sequence: Price completed prior buyside leg (from 198.28 → 204.00) — hitting upper range exhaustion near prior TMA high (205.32). Displacement down formed BOS + re-test of 50 EMA. Bearish FVG above current price acting as supply zone. 30M structure confirms lower-high formation beneath previous NY session’s VWAP. Volume spike during reversal we assume this validates smart money distribution. 🔹 Narrative Context After completing a strong buyside run from the 198.00 zone, GBP/JPY entered a structural exhaustion phase. The 30M chart shows clear momentum loss, followed by BOS confirmation and fair value gap creation — signalling the start of a sell-side continuation. The 50 EMA crossover and volume drop-off added conviction to a short setup targeting liquidity below the 202.20 zone. This trade was executed during the early London handover to NY, aligning with typical reversal timing and volatility surge.
Short
by davidjulien369
Energy ETF: Breakdown May Be StartingThe SPDR Select Energy ETF has been lagging the market all year, and some traders may think it’s going from bad to worse. The first pattern on today’s chart is the $90.34 level. It was the high on April 3, immediately after “Liberation Day.” XLE stayed below that level through September, when it tried to fill the gap. The attempt was unsuccessful, which may confirm resistance is in effect. Second, prices tried to cross above the previous session’s high on Thursday. However they reversed and closed under Wednesday’s low. Does the bearish outside day signal a reversal? Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed below the 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Those points may be consistent with an emerging downtrend. Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above: SPDR Select Sector Energy ETF (XLE) 1-year: +1.75% 5-years: +198.30% 10-year: +50.38% (As of September 30, 2025) Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
AMEX:XLE
by TradeStation
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 53☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ❤️ I sincerely apologize to everyone in the channel — I’ve been down with a cold for several days. Now, let’s dive into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 In the 1-hour timeframe, after a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin broke below its ascending channel and moved toward the $121,000 support zone. From there, increased buying volume pushed the price upward, but it got rejected from the $123,600 resistance** and pulled back, creating a long trigger at that zone. As it moved toward lower support levels, it formed a micro buyer zone between $119,640 and $120,884, where each time price enters this zone, Bitcoin experiences noticeable buying pressure. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after ranging below the 50 level, it’s now trying to break above it. The 50 level has become a **strong static resistance, while there’s swing support near 34. If the RSI breaks out of these marked zones, it could trigger stronger volatility and expand both **short and long trading opportunities. 🕯 The size and volume of recent candles on the 1-hour chart show range-bound movement, weak momentum, and market indecision, forming a **multi-timeframe trading range** where the top and bottom boundaries act as trigger zones. The **micro buyer zone is where buyers aggressively defend price through market orders, preventing further downside — a reversal candle forming inside this zone is a strong example of that. ▶️ **Today’s economic news related to U.S. monetary policy can impact the market significantly. Since Bitcoin is currently in a small trading range, upcoming volatility spikes from the news could provide short-term setups. ↗️ Risky Long Scenario: Look for a breakout above the marked $121,754 zone, accompanied by an engulfing candle, **indecision signal, SMA-7 confirmation, and increasing volume in the direction of the breakout — especially if the news comes out risk-on (positive for markets). 📉 Very Risky Short Scenario: If price breaks below the micro buyer zone and loses the swing RSI support near 33, Bitcoin could enter a deeper correction. However, note that a drop in Bitcoin’s price often increases its attractiveness compared to other assets, so avoid rushing into shorts. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by FireHoseReel
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: TAO/USDT.P Date: Mon 29th Sept 25 Time: 4.00 pm Session: LND to NY Session AM Direction: Buyside Trade Timeframe: 4-Hour 🔹 Trade Details Entry: 318.22 Profit Target: 356.29 (+28.04%) Stop Loss: 291.91 (–1.16%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 12.97 🔹 Technical Context Model Type: Accumulation → Breaker Block → FVG Continuation Model Setup Sequence: Accumulation Phase following extended markdown with higher-timeframe liquidity grab below 300 zone. Choch confirmation on 4H structure — price reclaimed both 50EMA & 200WMA. Multiple FVGs formed and held as re-entry zones, supporting continuation toward mid-range liquidity. Volume Expansion evident at 320–325 region during breakout candle, confirming institutional demand. BOS alignment with intraday structure (1H & 30M) providing confluence for entry precision. 🔹 Narrative Context The breakout above 50EMA and successive fair value gaps validated a change in market intent, establishing a clear buyside bias. Momentum built through late London and carried into early NY, with 325–330 acting as launchpad for continuation. The trade’s RR reflects early positioning within a macro rotation phase, consistent with liquidity targeting of the 355–360 range.
Long
by davidjulien369
2
XAUUSD - Bullish Reversal Zone Forming Near 3945 | SMCGold (XAUUSD) is showing potential bullish signs after reacting from the previous day’s low at 3945. Price tapped into the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement zone, aligning perfectly with demand imbalance on the 15-min timeframe. Key Insights: 📉 Previous Day Low: 3945 acts as liquidity grab zone 🟨 Fib Confluence: 0.5–0.618 golden pocket 🔄 Expectation: Possible pullback → higher low → push toward 3990–4020 📈 Bullish confirmation above 3980 🚫 Invalid below 3940 (clean break of structure) This setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — expecting a liquidity sweep + market structure shift before continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheWallstreetCapital
2
Long trade 1Hr TF overview Trade Journal Entry – ZORAUSDT.P (Zora Protocol) Direction: Buyside Date: Tuesday, 30th September 2025 Time: 4:00 PM Session: NY → London PM Timeframe: 1-hour Trade Parameters Entry: 0.04869 Profit Level: 0.09297 (+114.63%) Stop Level: 0.04295 (−5.53%) Risk–Reward Ratio (RR): 18.07 🔹Technical Breakdown Market formed a downward channel structure before a decisive liquidity sweep beneath prior NY & London lows. 🔹Volume delta confirmed capitulation with aggressive buy absorption at the discount zone (0.045–0.047). 🔹Breaker block and FVG retracement (50–61.8%) confluence validated the buy entry. 🔹EMA alignment (50 > 200) indicated shift in short-term structure to bullish continuation. 🔹Volume spike at breakout candle (1H) confirmed institutional re-entry and short squeeze. 🔹Target achieved above prior range high around 0.090–0.093 zone, clearing resting liquidity. 15min TF overview Fundamental Context (from Coingecko / Coinglass / CoinStats) Price: $0.0856 (+52.8% 24h) Market Cap: ≈ $384 M Fully Diluted Valuation: ≈ $857 M 24h Trading Volume: ≈ $27 M Circulating Supply: 4.47 B ZORA (Max 10 B) Top Exchanges: Binance, Bybit, Bitget Funding Flows: Net long bias ≈ +119% inflow (CoinGlass data). Recent Catalyst: ZORA token listed on Robinhood and Binance, driving +50% daily surge. Project Narrative Zora was launched in 2020 as an Ethereum-based NFT auction protocol, evolving into a Web3 social platform where creators can mint, earn, and trade digital assets directly on-chain. The ZORA token (ERC-20) powers network incentives, creator rewards, and protocol governance. Its strong community engagement and integration with Base Network (CoinStats source) underpin current momentum. Sentiment & Momentum Social engagement: Rising as ZORA trends on X (Twitter) and major NFT circles. Market positioning: Post-listing accumulation phase transitioning to early expansion cycle. Heatmap: Binance dominates >70% of volume — indicating institutional liquidity pools. Bias: Bullish as long as 0.045–0.050 zone holds (re-accumulation area). | Horizon | Projection | Notes | --------------------- | ----------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------- | **1-Week** | 0.090–0.100 | Continuation toward upper liquidity pool | **1-Month** | 0.120 | Expansion if NFT/creator narrative sustains | **4-Month (Q1 2026)** | 0.145–0.160 | Potential rotation target if trend persists & macro -------------- crypto sentiment holds | Summary Insight This ZORAUSDT setup combined technical exhaustion, fundamental catalysts, and strong liquidity inflows. The trade represents an ideal confluence between smart money structure (breaker/FVG) and macro event catalyst (exchange listing + social traction).
Long
by davidjulien369
1