Nifty Analysis EOD – January 30, 2026 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 30, 2026 – Friday 🔴
The Calm Before the Storm: Nifty Coils for Budget-26!
🗞 Nifty Summary
As predicted, Friday was a “silent” consolidation session characterized by narrow range-bound movement and pre-event manipulation.
The day started with an unexpected 150-point Gap Down that tested our second support at 25,270. Nifty found its footing at the Fib 0.786 level, which acted as a rock-solid floor throughout the day.
A late-session attempt to break the IBH and the Long-Term Trendline at 1:50 PM briefly crossed the 25,335 mark, but the momentum faded precisely at the Fib 0.618 retracement level.
Nifty eventually closed at 25,320.65 (-0.39%), positioning itself exactly in the center of a high-stakes 700-point battlefield.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The session was a classic “wait-and-watch” game.
The 157-point range—significantly lower than the Gladiator average of 260—confirms that institutional players are sitting on the sidelines ahead of Sunday’s Budget.
While the intraday volatility offered some scalp opportunities, the false IBH breakout served as a trap for those over-anticipating the move.
The market is now balanced on a knife-edge, with the daily close sitting equidistant from major targets on both sides.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,247.55
High: 25,370.70
Low: 25,213.65
Close: 25,320.65
Change: -98.25 (-0.39%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Small Bullish Candle according CDO (Bearish according to PDC)
Range: ≈ 157 points — significantly compressed volatility.
Body: ≈ 73 points — mild selling pressure from the gap-up rejection. (Same size of Previous day)
Upper Wick: ≈ 123 points — strong supply rejection from the 25,370 zone.
Lower Wick: ≈ 34 points — limited buying interest at the extreme lows.
📚 Interpretation
The candle structure is the definition of indecision. The long upper wick proves that sellers are still capping any pre-emptive rallies, while the narrow body reflects a lack of directional conviction. The market has effectively “coiled,” and this compression usually leads to a violent expansion once the Budget news hits the tape.
🕯 Candle Type
Bearish Rejection / Consolidation Candle — Signals a standoff; the Budget session will be the ultimate tie-breaker for this structure.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 254.37
IB Range: 104..20 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
12:23 Long Trade: SL Hit (Mistake: Assumed HTF break based on STF trend; recency bias).
13:54 Long Trade: Trailing Hit (1:0.76) (HTF Trendline Breakout).
Psychology Note: As explicitly mentioned in yesterday’s note, today was intended to be a “No-Trade” day due to expected pre-event consolidation. However, greed and recency bias triggered entries in a non-conducive environment.
The market punished the mistake, providing a stern reminder that discipline is more important than catching every tick.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25,370
25,430 ~ 25,460
25,515
25585 ~ 25605
25650 ~ 25,670
Support Zones:
25180 ~ 25160
25,060
25009
24970 ~ 24920
🧠 Final Thoughts
🧠 Special Budget-26 Note :
The Nifty has closed at 25,320, which is exactly the center point between the 25,670 resistance and the 24,970 support (350 points each way).
For the Budget day, it is highly probable that Nifty will test at least one of these extremes.
A sustained breach of the 25,160–25,460 range will be our “Prime Trade” signal.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
