Candlestick Analysis
CHFJPY: Another Bearish Confirmation 🇨🇭🇯🇵
2 out of 3 gaps that we traded yesterday were filled.
The one that is still missing is on CHFJPY.
This morning, I see another bearish confirmation that was formed
on higher structure levels - a neckline breakout of an inverted cup & handle pattern.
With a high probability, the price will drop to our projected target soon.
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Breaking Free: How Bears Can Win Back in GoldAfter touching the trend line resistance area of 3640-3650, gold fell back as expected, showing a high "doji" in the hourly candle chart and signs of stagflation. It is expected to become a market turning point in the short term. The gold market may usher in a good correction in the short term due to this technical turning point. However, we need to note that as long as gold remains above 3580, the current situation is still a strong bullish pattern, so we must pay attention to the extent of the retracement.
As gold continues to rise, the current short-term support is at 3620-3610, so I think it is necessary for gold to retrace its support in this area. Once gold is supported in this area, it may rebound again and retest the high area of 3640-3650. If gold falls below the short-term support area of 3620-3610, then gold will further retrace its steps to 3590-3580, which is the lifeline of bulls and the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If gold falls below the 3590-3580 area during the backtest, the current gold bull advantage will no longer exist, and the bears will likely regain control of the situation. As most long funds take profits and the market experiences panic selling, gold will completely turn into a bearish trend and fall further.
At present, I still hold short position in gold, and first aim at the short target area: 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the target area will be postponed to 3600-3590 area. I am currently holding my short position and have already realized some profits. I very much hope that gold will fall back to the target area as expected!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/9/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23829.00
- PR Low: 23798.00
- NZ Spread: 69.5
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/9)
- Session Open ATR: 295.63
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 284K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
RSI Dip + Morningstar on M15 - Tokyo (2)Following earlier winning trade, I got back in on gold's bullish run. Confluences were RSI dip and Morningstar candle pattern. MACD is only lightly bearish, looks like it will flip back bullish again shortly which will provide further confirmation in due course.
For educational purposes only, not financial advice.
RSI + MACD Cross + MorningStar TokyoTook this long during the Tokyo session (M15) after RSI dipped to 35 on XAUUSD. Waited for a bullish Morning Star to complete, then entered once MACD crossed bullish for extra confirmation. TP is set at 1:10, just below the high from two weeks ago.
Sharing for educational purposes — not financial advice.
The 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy ExplainedIn this video i show you
the rocket booster strategy + Fibonacci levels.
So what is the rocket booster strategy:
It has 3 steps:
1-The price has to be below the 50 ema
2-The price has to be below the 200 ema
3-The price should gap down
In this video we see the bearish engulfing pattern
and the falling 3 soldiers patterns.
Watch this video to learn more.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.
Binge with BROSHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we’re looking at Dutch Bros (BROS).
BROS has a soft spot in my heart, as I used to live near Grants Pass OR where they started.
Even without my bias, There’s a lot happening here that points to bullish momentum.
1) It’s important to note that the yellow box is what I call algorithmic suppression — this isn’t real selling but instead this is fabricated selling . This is usually done by short sellers and hedge funds looking to slow down the momentum of a stock. I talk about the "why" on my channel.
2) The Real seller has been challenged and if they are satisfied by the end of the week (above $71) this would seal the deal.
3) New Aggressors have taken a strong position, and they will look to defend this area as the weeks go on.
For these reasons I have 2 scenarios to help you get Long as well as some Value prices for your long term.
Green Scenario
If buyers continue to defend the New Aggressor zone, BROS should make another push back up into the Light Seller area around 79. This should be a partial TP.
A close into or above that seller zone would continue the marching of these bulls.
Red Scenario
We do not know where exactly the top of this New aggressor is yet, but It's strongest case scenario would be 68.80 (This is the most unlikely)
If there is a retrace, the top of Strong Demand is likely where strong buyers will step in. Out of scenarios, I feel better about going ofr the more conservative approach (but who doesn't like a better deal?)
Entry 62.50
Stop 56
TP 1 80
TP 2 Hold for 5+ years - Long Term.
Long Term
If you’re looking to build exposure on BROS, here’s how I’d map the levels based on conviction:
Aggressive: Current demand (72)
Value: Strong Demand (56-62)
Extreme Value: (44-46)
Overall, this looks very bullish for BROS. With algorithmic suppression cleared, and a real seller already taken out of the market (we will know end of week), You may strike gold in the long term.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
AMZN Shorts are Losing GripHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we’re looking at Amazon
If you have followed my last couple Idea's on AMZN, we have really pegged down where these players are in the market.
This month I wanted to highlight the bullish sentiment with AMZN.
This chart shows us something important — shorts are losing grip. Every time they’ve tried to step in, the moves have been getting weaker and weaker. From the sharp -10% drop in early August, to the most recent -1.7% retracement, sellers are showing less conviction. Adding to this, there is a new Aggressor, a new buyer on the market looking to defend their position. This is putting a lot of pressure on the Strong supply, which is a key seller, and really the last one.
Green Scenario
If AMZN can push through this Strong Supply zone (around 235–240) and hold, then we open the door to a breakout higher. A close above the Strong Supply by the end of the week would really signal the beginning of shorts covering, and an extension toward the 250 area and beyond.
NOTE
If sellers manage to hold the line here one more time, I expect a dip back into the New Aggressor demand zone around 227–230. If these new buyers fail, we may be in for months of bear territory for AMZN.
Watch out for ATH's!
Follow and Boost, comment on some stocks you would like to see forecasted.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test | PULLBACK/CORRECTION PENDINGFOREXCOM:XAGUSD
📊 SILVER 15m – Key Resistance Test ⚡
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Silver rejected at 41.65 (key resistance). Buyers are active from 41.00–41.15, but a breakout above 41.65 is needed for further continuation.
Market Overview
The market is consolidating near resistance. A push above 41.65 could extend gains, but failure will drag price back to demand zones near 41.00 and below.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Target 1: 41.45
Target 2: 41.65
Target 3: 41.90 – 42.00
Stop Loss: Below 41.00
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Target 1: 41.15
Target 2: 41.00
Target 3: 40.52
Stop Loss: Above 41.65
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 41.65
Support 🟢: 41.15 – 41.00
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Figma Wave 5 Sell-Off or Bullish Breakout Incoming?High-Probability Setup in Motion, Eyes on the Drop Zone! Figma’s recent price action confirms a developing 5-wave corrective structure, currently deep in the wave 3 leg within a descending channel. The structure remains valid while price stays below the descending trendline, which has consistently acted as dynamic resistance.
Key Structure Notes:
Price rejection from $148 and $142 confirms the macro trendline resistance. Wave count shows impulsive leg 1-2-3 formation nearing exhaustion. Wave 4 bounce is expected, but only a break above $95.18 will flip the current bias bullish.
Until then, the major focus remains on the drop zone around $59–61, which aligns with both the completion of wave 5 and a high-confluence accumulation zone.
Plan of Action:
Those that have interest should stay patient as the expected Wave 4 retracement unfolds. If price fails to break above the macro trendline, prepare for potential entries at the projected accumulation range near $59 for the next bullish cycle.
Accumulation Zone: $59.00–$61.00
Trend Shift Trigger: Break and hold above $95.18
Invalidation: Loss of structure below $57 would call for reassessment
Share your thoughts
Will Figma flip the trend early or complete Wave 5 first?
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 8, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 8, 2025 – Monday 🔴
Shooting Star Signals – Bulls vs Bears Tug-of-War Continues
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 58-point gap-up, briefly surged another 28 points in the first minute, then slipped 73 points lower, nearly filling the gap. It found support and bounced back, rallying toward the PDH and resistance zone at 24,835 ~ 24,845, where it faced rejection and marked the day high at 24,845.7.
Support at 24,785 (previous resistance turned support) held well. Later, bulls attempted to break PDH and resistance again and succeeded temporarily. However, a long-term trendline held firm and ultimately broke. That breakout attempt turned into a false breakout, and strong selling pressure erased all intraday gains. The index closed near the day’s low at 24,773.15, just 32 points higher than the prior close.
The last 3 consecutive red candles, each with marginal gains, reflect ongoing selling pressure at higher levels.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,802.60
High: 24,885.50
Low: 24,751.55
Close: 24,773.15
Change: +32.15 (+0.13%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Red candle (Close < Open).
Body: 29.45 points → small body (indecision).
Upper wick: 82.90 points → long upper wick indicates strong rejection.
Lower wick: 21.60 points → short.
📚 Interpretation
The market opened higher and attempted to sustain at highs but was met with strong supply near 24,880.
Selling pressure dominated, pushing the price back toward the lows.
Long upper wick signals profit-booking and bearish hesitation.
🕯Candle Type
Shooting Star / Inverted Hammer (bearish context) → suggests resistance and inability to extend bullish momentum.
🔍 Short-Term View – September 9, 2025
Resistance: 24,895 – 24,910 (strong supply zone).
Support: 24,750 (today’s defended level), then 24,620.
👉 Bias Direction:
Failure to cross 24,880 may lead to renewed weakness.
A close below 24,750 could drag the index quickly toward 24,620.
🚩 Current Market Sentiment:
A tug-of-war:
Bulls defending 24,620–24,650.
Bears defending 24,880–24,980.
A decisive breakout from this range will determine the next directional move.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 204.9
IB Range: 87.2 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
12:35 AM – Long Trigger → SL Hit
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24,785
24,835 ~ 24,845
24,895 ~ 24,910
24,975 ~ 25,004
Support Zones:
24,685
24,657
24,630 ~ 24,620
24,540 ~ 24,525
💡 Final Thoughts
Today’s Shooting Star reflects a clear bearish bias at higher levels. Despite small gains, the inability to sustain above 24,880 highlights selling pressure. Until bulls reclaim 24,880–24,910 convincingly, expect continued sideways to bearish action.
📖 “When resistance holds, strength is tested, and only time reveals the winner.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Turning the Tables: Bears’ Guide to Profit in GoldDriven by the dual influence of interest rate cut expectations and the job market, gold prices continue to rise and reach new highs. This is entirely a game played by big money at this stage. Buying sentiment in the gold market is currently so high that most of the time, there's no opportunity to even enter a long position. Therefore, after considering the possible phenomenon of "buying expectations and selling facts", while controlling risks, I carefully tried to short gold. Although I suffered losses frequently, I also made a good profit overall because I successfully captured the volatility.
Currently, gold continues to rise and has reached a high of around 3637. In fact, according to its wave pattern, gold may experience a pullback at any time. This is why I insist on shorting gold today.
The 1st wave: Gold rose from around 3405 to around 3508, a 3.1% increase with a fluctuation of $105.
The 2nd wave: Gold rose from around 3470 to around 3578, a 3.16% increase with a fluctuation of $108.
The current wave: Gold rose from around 3512 to its target of around 3637, a 3.5% increase with a fluctuation of $124.
According to the trend of price fluctuations, gold has reached and, to a certain extent, exceeded the previous two waves, so a pullback is possible at any time.
Furthermore, given that intraday fluctuations have been between $30 and $50 in recent days, and the intraday fluctuation of gold from around 3580 to around 3637 reached $57, a short-term pullback is highly likely.
However, because the bullish momentum of gold is strong, I will continue to try to short gold before a clear peak signal appears, but I may appropriately lower my expectations for gold's pullback, that is, appropriately lower my expectations for profit margins. My current short position entry prices are: 3612, 3621 and 3636. Basically, I add positions every time the fluctuation is 100-150pips. I currently hope that gold can retreat to the area around 3610-3600.
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 16💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe.
🔭 On the 1H timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that ETH has broken through its resistance zone at $4332. A pullback and consolidation above this level could give us strong trading opportunities. From a multi-timeframe pattern perspective, ETH is still trading inside a larger box, with significant distance remaining to the box’s upper boundary. If ETH confirms this breakout, the next resistance level sits around $4480, and a break above that could push ETH outside of its current range.
⛏ The key RSI zones are 70 and 37. If momentum crosses above 70 into Overbought territory, ETH could continue its current bullish trend.
💰 The size and volume of recent green candles on ETH have been increasing, supported by strong buying. The compressed range structure built during the weekend has now been broken with higher buying volume and the clearing of sell orders. As long as open interest remains strong, ETH has room to move higher.
🪙 Looking at the ETH/BTC pair on the 1H timeframe, it faked out below the marked support level and is now pushing upward. The key resistance here is at 0.03883, and a confirmed breakout above this level could fuel further upside for ETH against USDT.
💡 Currently, Ethereum is sitting in a crucial zone. Multi-timeframe confirmation above this level could give us a clean long setup. The immediate resistance zone is $4332, while further resistance levels can be mapped out with a Fibonacci retracement.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
USDSEK: Trend ContinuationUSDSEK looks to resume its downtrend. This is observable based on the daily and 1-hour timeframe confluence.
Daily Timeframe:
Starting on the daily timeframe, EMA20 rests below EMA60, with price hovering below EMA20. This indicates that the overall trend is down.
In addition, price recently made a clean break below the horizontal trendline (HTL). It then tried to trade above it with no success.
1-Hour Timeframe:
Over on the lower timeframe, we see confluence as well. Price crosses below the ascending trendline, which indicates the overall trend is resuming. There's alignment on the daily and 1-hour timeframes.
My entry is based on the consolidating range that formed after the price pullback. Price is now breaking out of this range, which signals that momentum is picking up.
Mother Line Resistance and Trend line Resistance stopping Nifty.Two important Resistances on the daily chart Mother line at 24788 and Trend line which is at 24910 are stopping Nifty from flying high. The sectoral index providing maximum support and allowing Nifty to hold above 24700 is defiantly Auto sector which is doing heavy weight lifting. Again today Auto index rose by 3.3%. It can still grow a bit but it is clearly entering the overbought zone. The sector looking most laggard is IT index. Again today it fell close to 1% with no respite in sight with torrid signals still coming from US.
With this seesaw battle continuing Resistances for Nifty currently are at: 24788 (Mother line resistance) and 24910 trendline resistance. If these 2 resistances are crossed the major resistances will be at 25K, 25149 and 25245. Above 25245 Nifty can grow stronger and reach bullish territory.
Supports for Nifty currently remain at: 24621, 24486 (trendline support), 24409 and finally 24292 (Father line Support). A closing below 24292 will drag Nifty further downwards into a strong bearish territory.
Nifty can rise from here and reach 24910 where it will be tested or it can fall towards 24621 or 24486 and then again try to rise towards the trend line at 24910. Which path it will take is yet to be deciphered.
To know more about Trend lines, Supports, Resistances, Mother line and Father line and to draw the same on your chart and for learning Techo-Funda analysis read my Book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. The book is available on Amazon and will help you in your investing journey whether you are a seasoned investor or a new beginner. The chapters in the book are mostly standalone. The book is rated 4.8/5 on Amazon. It is a value for money book priced at Rs.349/- (Delivery charges extra as charged by Amazon).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 36💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that BTC has successfully stabilized above the alarm zone at $111,300 and is now sitting right below the resistance at $112,105. With stronger volume and volatility, this setup could give us a long trade opportunity.
⚙️ Key RSI oscillator levels are at 70 and 50. If price action pushes RSI beyond these levels, Bitcoin can continue its current bullish move and sustain the trend. At the moment, RSI is sitting just below the Overbought threshold, and once it enters this zone, the identified resistance could be broken more easily.
🕯 With the start of the new week, buying volume has increased, and the weekly candle closed fairly strong. On the 1-hour chart, the size, volume, and number of green candles are all rising.
📊 Looking at the 15-minute timeframe of Tether dominance (USDT.D), after breaking and stabilizing below 4.45%, dominance continues to move lower. The next support lies at 4.41%, and if this is broken and confirmed, Bitcoin could see even stronger upside momentum early in the week.
🔔 Currently, Bitcoin is sitting just below its resistance. The best approach is to wait for a pullback, either below or above this level, and then open a position with a setup candle confirmation or a multi-timeframe breakout. Two possible scenarios exist here, where a pullback could also give us a tighter stop-loss opportunity.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
USOIL latest trend analysis and operation layout#USOIL
Crude oil continued to rebound in the European session, but the short-term 4H moving average was still pressing downward, and it was obvious that the short-selling momentum had not completely subsided. The overall trading rhythm is mainly based on rebound shorting. The short-term upper resistance level is 63.5-64.5. If it fails to break through effectively, crude oil will usher in a retracement, with the target looking at 62.5-61.5
🚀 SELL 63.5-64.5
🚀 TP 62.5-61.5