PONY: in the important support zonePrice has reached an important support area that should serve as a zone for establishing a larger-degree higher low: 12.5–10.6–9.65.
For the odds of a bottom being in to meaningfully increase, I would like to see the following developments:
• price reclaiming short-term EMAs and starting to hold above them
• a bullish EMA cross on the daily
• sequence for local higher lows
• and later breakout above the 16 resistance level
As long as price is trading below 16, there remains a possibility of a deeper move into the support zone
Chart:
Chinastocks
BIDU – Breakout Confirmed | Watching Wave 3Thesis
BIDU has completed a multi-year corrective phase and is now advancing within a developing Wave 3 structure following a confirmed breakout.
Context
- Weekly timeframe
- Prolonged correction since 2021
- Structural transition from downtrend → base → breakout
What I see
- Clean breakout confirmed at the end of December
- Prior support found on the 50-day moving average before expansion
- Successful acceptance above former resistance
- Price holding above long-term trend support
- Structure now showing impulsive characteristics
What matters now
- Wave 3 remains intact while price holds above post-breakout support
- After Wave 3 completes, attention shifts to a controlled Wave 4 pullback
- Confirmed support during Wave 4 would define the next add opportunity
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Initial breakout already played
- Next accumulation opportunity expected on confirmed Wave 4 support
Targets
- Primary upside reference at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension ($225 area)
- Higher extensions remain possible if momentum persists
Risk / Invalidation
- Loss of key breakout support would delay the bullish structure
BABA – Weekly / Daily Structure | Wave (4) Update
Thesis
NYSE:BABA remains in a broader bullish reversal, with the current pullback continuing to resolve as an intermediate corrective phase.
Context
- Weekly and daily timeframes
- Multi-year base already completed
- Prior impulsive advance followed by a controlled retracement
What I see
- Pullback continues to respect the prior breakout structure
- Price is consolidating inside a descending corrective channel
- Rising longer-term moving-average support remains intact
- Structure remains consistent with an intermediate Wave (4) correction
What matters now
- The 50-day moving average is aligned with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near the $159 area
- A break and hold above this confluence would signal completion of Wave (4)
- Failure to reclaim this level likely extends consolidation
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Current consolidation range within the Wave (4) retracement zone
- Risk remains defined against the recent higher low
Targets
- A confirmed flip of the $159 confluence opens the path toward the $230 area
- That level aligns with the next intermediate upside reference
Risk / Invalidation
- Loss of rising support would weaken the bullish reversal structure
BIDU: more bullish potential in coming weeks NASDAQ:BIDU continues to trade in line with the larger-degree trend support outlined in the September update.
On a short-term basis, as long as price holds above the 133 level, I’m looking for further upside toward the 160–175 zone, with a possible extension to the 196 macro resistance in the coming weeks.
Chart:
Weekly view:
Previously:
On the mid-term support (Sep 27):
www.tradingview.com
China 50 Index Maintains Uptrend Above Dynamic Support🚀 CHINA A50 INDEX SWING/DAY TRADE OPPORTUNITY 🚀
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📊 ASSET: FTSE China A50 Index (XIN9) | CNY
💹 CURRENT PRICE: 15,366.93 | Last Updated: Dec 23, 2025
📈 52-WEEK RANGE: 12,182.84 - 15,759.61
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
🎯 BULLISH TRADING THESIS
✅ SETUP CONFIRMATION:
GREEN Hull Moving Average: Pullback + Retest Pattern Identified
BLUE Triangular Moving Average: Strong Support Confirmation
Market Structure: Higher Lows + Higher Highs (Uptrend Intact)
Volume Profile: Buying Pressure on Dips
📍 TRADE STRUCTURE: Swing Trade (1-7 Days) / Day Trade (Intraday)
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
🔥 ENTRY STRATEGY - "THIEF LAYERING METHOD"
Multiple Limit Order Entries (Reduce Average Cost):
Layer 1: Buy @ 15,200 (First Position)
Layer 2: Buy @ 15,250 (Add Position)
Layer 3: Buy @ 15,300 (Increase Exposure)
Layer 4: Buy @ 15,350 (Final Layer)
💡 Strategy Notes: You can increase/decrease layers based on your risk tolerance and account size. Each layer reduces emotional decision-making and optimizes entry cost basis.
⚠️ IMPORTANT: These are suggested entry points using established support zones. Adjust entries based on YOUR chart analysis and risk management rules.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT
THIEF STRATEGY SL: 15,100
Protects against breakdown of critical support zone
Allows room for natural market noise & pullbacks
Defines your maximum loss per trade
⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), your stop loss is YOUR choice. I recommend managing SL based on:
Your account size
Your risk/reward ratio (1:2 minimum)
Your personal risk tolerance
Market volatility at time of trade
Risk = Your Decision. Trade Responsibly. 🎲
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
🎊 PROFIT TARGET
PRIMARY RESISTANCE/TP ZONE: 15,650
Why 15,650?
🔴 ELECTRIC SHOCK RESISTANCE - Multi-Month Strong Resistance
⚡ OVERBOUGHT CONDITION - RSI/Stochastic Extended Levels
⚠️ BULL TRAP RISK - Correction Likely at This Level
🚪 ESCAPE POINT - Prudent Exit to Secure Profits
Secondary Resistance: 15,750-15,800 (Extended Run if Breakout Confirmed)
⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER:
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), your take-profit level is YOUR choice. I recommend:
Take partial profits at 15,650 (secure 50-70%)
Trail stop on remaining position
Let winners run if breakout confirmed
Never get greedy at resistance
Profits = Your Decision. Manage Exits Professionally. 💰
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
📡 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR
1️⃣ HANG SENG INDEX (HSI) - HSI:HSI
Correlation: Strong (0.94+)
Hong Kong's main benchmark
Includes major Chinese enterprises
A50 & HSI often move in synchronized patterns
Watch For: If HSI breaks resistance while A50 confirms—CONFLUENCE ✅
2️⃣ CSI 300 INDEX - $CSI300
Correlation: Very Strong (0.94+)
Tracks 300 largest A-shares (Shanghai + Shenzhen)
Covers ~60% of market capitalization
Direct domestic sentiment indicator
Watch For: CSI300 momentum confirms A50 uptrend strength
Current Level: 4,611.62 | 12-Month: +14.67%
3️⃣ SHANGHAI COMPOSITE (SSE) - LSE:SSE
Correlation: Strong
Shanghai Stock Exchange aggregate
Macro sentiment barometer
Strategy: If SSE rallies while A50 corrects = BUY DIP signal
4️⃣ S&P 500 INDEX ( SP:SPX ) - Risk Sentiment Proxy
Correlation: Moderate (0.45-0.55)
Global risk appetite indicator
If SPX crashes → Flight to safety/A50 weakness likely
If SPX rallies → Risk-on flows boost A50
Watch: Use SPX as macro context, not direct trade signal
5️⃣ CHINESE YUAN (USDCNY) - FX_IDC:USDCNY
Correlation: Inverse (Negative)
Stronger Yuan = A50 typically gains
Weaker Yuan = Warning signal for weakness
Trade Implication: Monitor USDCNY breaks for A50 confirmation
🔗 CONFLUENCE STRATEGY:
When HSI + CSI300 + A50 all confirm support/resistance = Highest Probability Setup ⭐⭐⭐
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
📊 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS
MACRO BACKDROP (December 2025)
🇨🇳 GDP Growth: +5.2% YoY (Q1-Q3 2025)
On track to meet 5% full-year target
Q3 Growth: +4.8% YoY | +1.1% QoQ
Government support measures active
Risk: External headwinds intensifying
📈 Inflation Dynamics:
CPI (Nov 2025): +0.7% YoY (Up from 0.2% in Oct)
Highest level since February 2024
Food prices: Recovered (+0.2% vs -2.9% Oct)
Core CPI: +1.2% (20-month high)
Impact: Rising inflation may support equities against cash
🏭 Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2025): 49.2
Status: 8th consecutive month in contraction (<50 = contraction)
New Orders: Weak (-48.8)
Foreign Sales: Depressed (-47.6) — U.S. tariff pressure
Concern: Manufacturing weakness pressures corporate earnings
💼 Industrial Production (Jan-Sep 2025): +6.2% YoY
Equipment Manufacturing: +9.7%
High-Tech Manufacturing: +9.6%
Positive for tech-heavy A50 components
Private Enterprises outperforming SOEs
🛍️ Retail Sales (Jan-Sep 2025): +4.5% YoY
Steady recovery from H1
Consumer caution persists
Government trade-in stimulus helping
Risk: Domestic demand still sluggish
🌍 Trade Dynamics:
Q3 Exports: +8.4% YoY
Q3 Imports: +7.5% YoY
Risk: U.S. Tariff Threat (100% tariffs on Chinese goods threatened)
September U.S. exports: -27% YoY
Trade war uncertainty creating volatility
🏛️ Government Policy Support:
✅ Fiscal stimulus active (expanded budget deficit)
✅ Monetary accommodation (Low interest rates + ample liquidity)
✅ New quality productive forces (AI, robotics, green tech)
⚠️ Risk: Real estate sector downturn continues to drag confidence
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
⚡ UPCOMING ECONOMIC EVENTS (Watch These!)
📅 January 2026:
Full-Year 2025 GDP Data Release (Major Market Mover)
New government policy announcements for 15th Five-Year Plan
Spring Festival economic expectations
📅 Risk Factors to Monitor:
U.S. Trade Policy (Tariff announcements)
Fed Rate Decisions (Impact on USD/CNY)
China Property Market Data (Housing Confidence)
Tech Sector Earnings & Policy Changes
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
✅ PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST
Before entering this trade, confirm:
✔️ Hull MA in green (bullish)
✔️ Blue Triangle MA providing support
✔️ Price above key support (15,100)
✔️ Volume increasing on ups
✔️ No major news releases next 4 hours
✔️ HSI/CSI300 in agreement (Confluence)
✔️ Your position size = 1-2% account risk
✔️ Entries planned in advance (No emotion)
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
🎓 RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDERS
The Thief Golden Rules:
Capital Preservation First - Never risk more than 2% per trade
Emotion = Enemy - Use limit orders, avoid panic trading
This Plan is NOT Financial Advice - Make your own decisions
Trade YOUR Plan, Not Mine - Adapt to your strategy
Losses are Normal - Professional traders manage them, don't avoid them
Partial Profits - Don't be greedy at resistance
No FOMO - Wait for your setup, skip bad trades
Journal Everything - Learn from every trade
DISCLAIMER:
This trading idea is for educational & informational purposes only. Not financial/investment advice. Past performance ≠ future results. Trading involves high risk of loss. You may lose your entire investment. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Consult a licensed financial advisor before trading.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
🔔 FINAL NOTES
Why This Setup Works:
Bullish confluence (Moving Averages + Support)
Attractive Risk:Reward Ratio
Multiple entry layers reduce emotional decision-making
Clear stop loss and targets pre-defined
Supported by improving macro backdrop (GDP growth, tech momentum)
Why This Setup Can Fail:
U.S. Tariff escalation (External shock risk)
Manufacturing weakness deepens (PMI sub-50)
Wider China property downturn spreads to equities
Trade war intensification
Corporate earnings misses
Your Edge: Manage risk, scale into winners, protect capital, and repeat.
Good luck, Thief OG's! May your profits exceed your losses! 🚀💰
NIO: Price can find supportNIO broke below $5, extending a ~30% slide over the past month.
Pressure came after earnings showed a slight revenue miss and cautious delivery guidance — enough for bears to push the stock to new lows.
But the chart isn’t all doom:
→ price is testing the lower boundary of the 2025 ascending channel
→ yesterday opened with a bullish gap, signaling buyers may be stepping in around the key $5 level
If bulls manage to defend this zone, the trend could stabilize — with further direction depending on momentum for ONVO & Firefly heading into 2026.
FXI long-term TAChina's large-cap has been in a healthy weekly uptrend since spring of 2024 and it's still holding up the uptrend, but the mid-term is currently in heavy distribution, we need more time for it to balance and bottom out before the uptrend continues. Watch for SMA50 to hold the support during the test.
China50 Pullback Buy Setup — Tactical Layer Entries & Trade Map📌 Asset: "CHINA50 / A50" Index Market — Swing Trade Opportunity Guide
📈 Bias: Bullish outlook confirmed by a clean moving average pullback structure.
📊 Trade Plan
The market is retracing into dynamic support, respecting key moving averages — a classic bullish continuation setup.
To execute this with precision, the Thief Layering Strategy is used (multiple limit-order scaling during pullbacks).
🟢 Entry Plan — Layered Limit Orders
Using the thief-style multi-layer entry structure:
Buy Limit 1: 15000.0
Buy Limit 2: 14900.0
Buy Limit 3: 14800.0
👉 Traders can add extra layers depending on their capital, risk, and volatility tolerance.
Layering helps average into pullbacks instead of chasing breakouts.
🛑 Stop Loss
Thief SL: 14700.0
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — adjust your Stop Loss based on your own risk and your own system.
📌 This is not a fixed SL suggestion; trade responsibly.
🎯 Target
The price is approaching a strong resistance zone with signs of potential overbought pressure and possible bull traps.
Primary Take-Profit: 15800.0
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — secure profits based on your own rules.
📌 My TP is only a reference; manage exits according to your risk style.
📡 Related Markets to Watch (Correlation Guide)
1️⃣ HSI:HSI — Hang Seng Index
Strong correlation with China equities
When HSI shows risk-on flow, CHINA50 often follows
Watch for synchronized breakouts or divergence signals
2️⃣ CAPITALCOM:CN50 — China A50 Futures
Direct CME-tracked instrument
Useful for liquidity confirmation
CN50 volume spikes often lead CHINA50 movements
3️⃣ LSE:SSE — Shanghai Composite
Macro sentiment indicator
If SSE pushes higher while A50 pulls back, the pullback likely becomes a buy opportunity
4️⃣ SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! — S&P 500
Not strongly correlated, but global risk sentiment matters
When SPX is risk-on, Asian indices get spillover momentum
Especially important in weak macro weeks
5️⃣ HSI:HSCEI — China Enterprises Index
Tracks large China corporates
Good for spotting whether institutional flows are entering Chinese markets
VIPS | This Chinese Retailer Will Rise High | LONGVipshop Holdings Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of online product sales and distributions services. It operates through the following segments: Vip.com, Shan Shan Outlets, and Others. The Others segment includes internet finance, offline shop, and city outlets. The company was founded by Ya Shen and Xiao Bo Hong on August 22, 2008 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
CHINA A50 Bullish inside Channel Up aiming at 16650.China A50 index (CN50) has been trading within a 7-month Channel Up and is currently holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), while being on the 3rd Bullish Leg of this pattern.
The previous two both rose by around +16.50%, so given the similarities, we remain bullish on the index, targeting 16650.
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BYD : Smart Money Loading Before a Massive Wave 5 Breakout🚀 BYD Company Limited Class A (SZSE: 002594) — Wave 5 Expansion Setup
Big structure, clean levels, and solid fundamentals… Wave 5 might surprise a lot of people 👇
BYD has been quietly building strength, and the chart now suggests that the next major bullish wave could be setting up. After a long consolidation phase (Wave 4), smart money appears to be accumulating again — a classic sign of preparation for the next impulsive move.
A clean breakout above 138.99 would confirm Wave 5 , potentially targeting the 284–676 CNY zone based on Fibonacci extensions .
With solid fundamentals, supportive market structure, and a strong Elliott Wave setup, BYD could be entering a new long-term expansion phase. ⚡
Follow for updates on Wave 5 development and smart money reactions in the breakout zone! 📊
#BYD #002594 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts #Fibonacci #WaveAnalysis #MarketStructure #PriceAction #EVstocks #GrowthStocks #ChinaMarket #LongTermInvesting #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket
China Rally Loading? – Markets React to Trump–Xi Trade TruceAfter months of pressure, Chinese equities finally got what they needed: a visible political thaw. The Trump–Xi meeting in Busan marked the first broad trade reset in over two years — with both sides agreeing to suspend or reduce tariffs, reopen commodity flows, and relax export controls on rare earths and semiconductors.
The headline changes are not symbolic. China will halt rare-earth export curbs for one year, the U.S. cuts fentanyl-related tariffs to 10%, and both countries resume agricultural and energy trade — including soybean and oil deals. Beijing also promised to work with Washington on resolving the TikTok issue, while the U.S. temporarily suspends its “50% rule” that targeted Chinese subsidiaries of blacklisted firms.
This combination sends a clear signal: geopolitical pressure is easing, at least for now. The Hang Seng Index has already broken back above the mid-channel trend line, and momentum is building toward the upper resistance zone around 27 000. If the truce holds and follow-through buying continues, a retest of 28 000–29 000 by year-end looks possible.
From a valuation standpoint, Chinese equities remain among the most discounted major markets globally. Industrial, tech-hardware and materials companies trade at forward P/E ratios between 7–10, compared with 20+ for U.S. peers. If rare-earth exports resume and TikTok’s uncertainty is lifted, capital inflows into mainland-linked ETFs could accelerate.
The opportunity lies in the asymmetry: sentiment is still fragile, yet fundamentals are improving. A stable policy backdrop plus renewed U.S. demand for energy and agri-products could set up Chinese indices for an extended relief rally — potentially the strongest since early 2023.
Key levels to watch:
• Hang Seng Index support – 26 000
• Resistance zone – 27 500–28 000
• Break above 28 000 → trend confirmation and rotation toward Chinese cyclicals
Trade logic:
Short-term traders can target a breakout continuation within the rising channel, while longer-term investors may look at selective exposure to resource, industrial and tech-infrastructure names poised to benefit from normalized U.S.–China flows.
If this détente lasts longer than a “subscription diplomacy” cycle, China might be setting up not for a dead-cat bounce — but for the next real rotation story.
CHINA50 Bull Run: Time to Steal Some Pips?🔐 OPERATION BULL DRAGON: CHINA50 HEIST 🔐
🔥 YOUR INVITATION TO THE ULTIMATE MONEY HEIST 🔥
🌏 ASSET: CHINA50 INDEX (A50)
📅 TRADE TYPE: SWING + DAY TRADE
✅ BIAS: BULLISH — TIME TO STEAL SMART! 💰✨
📋 MISSION BRIAMER (PLAN):
We’re entering LONG 🚀 using a LAYERED LIMIT ORDER strategy — because real thieves don’t FOMO in!
🎯 ENTRY ZONES (MULTI-LEVEL LAYERS):
➖ LAYER 1: 14900.0 🟢
➖ LAYER 2: 14800.0 📍
➖ LAYER 3: 14600.0 🔁
🧠 Feel free to ADD MORE LAYERS based on your risk appetite!
⛔ STOP LOSS (DIP EXIT):
🔻 THIEF SL: 14200.0
⚠️ Adjust based on your strategy & risk tolerance! Protect your capital!
🎯 TAKE PROFIT (ESCAPE WITH THE BAG):
🚀 TP: 15600.0
⚡ Resistance & Overbought zone around 15700.0 — Don’t get caught! Exit like a ghost! 👻💰
👁️ SCALPER NOTES:
Only take LONG scalps! Use TRAILING SL to lock in profits! 🧨
📊 WHY THIS HEIST?
Strong bullish structure + fundamental tailwinds! 🌊🐂
Always confirm with your own analysis! 📈
🔔 ALERT — NEWS RISK:
Avoid entering during high-impact news! Volatility = Police traps! 🚨🚓
💎 GENERAL DISCLAIMER:
This is NOT financial advice. Do your own research. Trade at your own risk.
We are not your financial advisor. We’re just fellow thieves sharing a plan. 😉
✨ SUPPORT THE SQUAD:
👉 If you like this plan, SMASH that 👍 BOOST button!
👉 It helps us bring more high-quality heists to you!
👉 Follow for daily trading ideas & market insights!
💬 Let’s conquer the markets together — one heist at a time! 🎯🤑
#CHINA50 #A50 #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Investing #Crypto #Stocks #Forex #MoneyHeist #TradingStrategy #Profit #RiskManagement #TradingCommunity #FinancialFreedom #TraderLife #Bullish #MarketAlert #TechnicalAnalysis #LimitOrders #LayeredEntry #ThiefTrading
JD 1D: Bulls taking the lead?On the daily chart, JD.com broke out of a falling wedge, moving above both MA50 and MA200. That’s a strong technical signal hinting at a potential mid-term trend reversal.
Upside targets are mapped at $39.8 and $46, with Fibonacci levels suggesting a possible extension toward $52 if momentum holds. Support remains around $33–35, and as long as the price stays above it, buyers are in control.
From a fundamental perspective, JD continues to reshape its business, expand online services, and benefit from China’s economic recovery. Competition with Pinduoduo and Alibaba is tough, but technically bulls seem to have the upper hand.
Tactical outlook: watch the MA200 - staying above it keeps the growth scenario intact.
CSI 300: China’s Market Gauge & Bitcoin Sync Hint at April 2026.$CSI300 / $SHCOMP 5D (September 30, 2025)
The CSI 300 Index ➖ is a market-cap-weighted index tracking the 300 largest and most liquid A-shares on the Shanghai (SSE) and Shenzhen (SZSE) stock exchanges. It covers ~70% of mainland China’s market cap, spanning key sectors: financials (~30–35%), industrials (~20%), consumer goods (~15%), IT, healthcare, and energy. This makes it a key gauge of China’s economy, sensitive to domestic consumption, exports, and policy shifts.
• The Chinese government, at various levels, is stepping up to support the stock market. Signals suggest state funds, insurers, and pension funds are being nudged to boost investments in domestic equities.
• The CSI 300’s dividend yield (~3.5%) compared to government bond yields (~1.6%) makes stocks look attractive over “safe” instruments. Fiscal and monetary policy stimulus could further fuel growth.
Chart Insight:
Here’s an interesting observation comparing the CSI 300 and Bitcoin charts. Bitcoin’s peaks aligned with CSI 300 in late 2017–early 2018 and Q1 2021.
The next peak might hit in 180–200 days—around late March to April 2026.
There’s also a chance for a Bitcoin and altcoin rally (the altseason everyone’s waiting for) within that same timeframe.
Snapshot:
#StockMarket #China #Bitcoin
iQIYI: bet on recovery or just another illusion?Fundamentally, iQIYI is often called the “Netflix of China.” In recent years, it has faced heavy pressure from high debt levels, fierce competition from Tencent Video and Bilibili, and slower growth in the Chinese domestic market. However, recent earnings reports show positive shifts: a growing subscriber base, higher ARPU (average revenue per user), and reduced operating losses. With government support for the tech and entertainment sector and signs of consumer recovery, iQIYI has a real chance to strengthen in the mid to long term. If subscriber growth and cost control continue, the company’s market cap could start to recover, making current levels attractive for medium-term investors.
Technically, the stock still trades below the 200 EMA, showing ongoing seller pressure. The key support zone is $2.30–2.40, and holding this area keeps the bullish scenario alive with targets at $3.40 and $5.25. A longer-term recovery could extend toward $10.40, but only if a sustainable uptrend is confirmed. Losing $2.30 would invalidate the bullish case and expose downside toward $1.60–1.80.
This is one of those situations where market expectations diverge from reality. Optimism makes a reversal seem near, but as always, emotions must be put aside — we wait for clear technical signals before entering.
Alibaba looking to move higherToday's results seem to have trigger Alibaba for much higher levels. The market seems to have appreciated the growth of its cloud and AI business as well as its new AI chips.
Chinese big cap techs are much cheaper than US counterparts and seem to be presenting interesting opportunities.
Next resistance/target in the $170 area as long as $117 support is holding.
Can CHINA50 Deliver Big Gains | Before the Vault Closes?💰🕶 CHINA50 Bullish Heist Blueprint 🚀🏴☠️
📌 Asset: "CHINA50" Index CFD
📌 Plan: Bullish — Thief using multiple limit layers (13860 | 13830 | 13800) OR enter at any price level to join the heist.
📌 Stop Loss: Thief SL @ 13800 (adjust to your risk)
📌 Target: 14400 — Cash Out & Vanish!
🔥 Mission Briefing (Thief OG Style) 🔥
Ladies & Gentlemen of the Thief Crew — the vault is open, the guards are sleeping, and the CHINA50 is ripe for a high-class heist. We’re stacking layered buy limits like lockpicks, slipping in unnoticed at each price level. Your loot? A fat bullish run to our target.
💎 Entry Plan
🎯 Any price level within the buy limit layers. The more layers you stack, the bigger your bag — just don’t get greedy, thieves.
🛡 Stop Loss Strategy
Set your SL where it keeps you safe but still in the game. Default: @13800. If you’re a risk-hungry OG, adjust to taste.
🏆 Target & Exit
TP at or pull the escape lever earlier if the market shows too many alarms going off. Always leave with profit, not regrets.
⚠️ Thief Crew Reminder ⚠️
📰 Watch for China market news drops — they can flip the scene fast.
🔔 Set alerts, trail your SL once you’re in the green, and protect the loot.
💥 Boost this plan if you’re running with us — more visibility, more crew members, more wins. Let’s rob this market clean, one candle at a time.
— Thief Trader™ 🐱👤💸
AUDJPY potential shorts due weaker than expected China eco data.Industrial output grew by 5.7% year-on-year in July, down from 6.8% in June, marking the slowest growth since November 2024. This fell short of the 5.9% forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll and 5.82% by Wind.
Retail sales, a key gauge of consumption, rose by 3.7% year-on-year in July, down from 4.8% in June and below the expected 4.6% (Reuters) and 4.87% (Wind). This was the slowest growth since December 2024.
The reason for this trade idea is that Australia ranks as China’s seventh-largest trading partner overall, based on data from the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade and Chinese trade reports. Australia is China’s fifth-largest source of imports (primarily commodities like iron ore, coal, and natural gas) and tenth-largest export destination. Any news emerging from China has the potential to impact the Australian dollar.
ChinaH Index at a Crossroad: Testing 9,500 ResistanceThe ChinaH Index is currently trading around $9,135, continuing its bullish momentum without the deeper retracement toward the $7,500 support many anticipated. Price action is now approaching a major resistance zone at $9,500—a level that acted as resistance in 2021 and as support through 2017, 2018, and 2019.
Bullish scenario: If the index breaks $9,500 decisively, we could see an acceleration toward $10,200–$10,900 with little to no interim pullback.
Bearish scenario: A rejection at $9,500 may signal the formation of a new channel, with a support base developing in the $8,600–$8,800 area before any renewed upside attempt.
The next few sessions will be critical in determining whether this breakout extends into a sharp rally—or if a healthy consolidation phase comes first.
BABA 1M: Chinese favorite rising againTechnical setup:
Breakout from long-term triangle
Retest of trendline confirmed
Price holds above Fibo 0.236 (116.94)
First resistance: 151.85
Fibo targets:
→ 0.5: 187.82
→ 0.618: 219.50
Trade plan:
→ Hold after successful retest
→ Add on dips to 116–118
Targets: 151.85 / 187.82 / 219.50
Fundamentals:
Alibaba is restructuring around cloud and AI. Regulatory pressure from China is easing, and earnings are stabilizing. Buybacks and renewed institutional interest provide strong mid-term support.
Conclusion:
Alibaba may fall seven times, but rise eight — especially when Fibo and price action agree.
Much needed break for $BABA on the horizonI took a much needed break but not as long as NYSE:BABA has taken since 2021; swinging between ~$70 and ~$120 over the past six years.
I strongly suspect that this might have something to do with Jack Ma's speech in late 2024 that made him go 'missing' from public view
- www.wired.com .
The stock has formed a multi-year rounded bottom (cup) followed by a handle formation, a classic bullish reversal pattern. Price is currently consolidating just below the ~$123 resistance with a potential target of $143 - $170 if this breaks resistance.
I will hedge my bets on a bullish run and find support around $107 - $109 if the breakout is rejected.
NYSE:BABA is currently trading above the 50 and 200-week EMA and I see a potential golden cross forming in the coming days.
U.S - China relations still proves challenging but with earnings on the horizon I am optimistic that it will be the catalyst for this breakout.






















