Coffee is back around the price of the beginning of the month. Since OCT 2 we have a shy uptrend forming for coffee’s standards, in the 4h time frame (TF). The price went up from its lowest of the current month and $104.90 to $113.35 (+8.04%) on OCT 12 and $111.70 (+6.45%) today so far. The trend on the Higher TFs is still bearish and technically this is where...
Coffee reached our target at 120. However, there is still no signal the decline is done and we want to follow the trend. The support is broken and it makes me believe there is a big chance we can see a retest of important support/resistance near 104. So, if you still hold your shorts, consider adding trailing stops and let the good time roll.
The COT report is bearish, the seasonal tendency is to the downside. We have a divergence in the 4h chart. So, where do we sell? I think breaking below Thursday's low or formation of lower high would be good entries. 120 has been an important level for Coffee. It has to be tested again and it is our swing target.
I remember when coffee was .99 cents now a days I drink the $5 cappuccino for the purposes of this pattern we will stick to coffee cappuccino xrp comes later
US Coffee futures ( KC1!) has completed ABC zigzag up side where C wave was extended impulse. It dropped in wave A in 15 min time frame, so get in to sell trade in B wave near 124.25, with stops above invalidation level above 127.50 for target of C wave down up to 116.50, which is the 4th wave zone of internal wave of C previous wave of Up cycle.
good chance to buy coffee and good chance to enter in market
THE STORY OF THE COFFEE IS FACIANATING. A HUGE VOLUME OF BUYERS ARE IN THE MARKET NO SIGNE OF DOWN EFFECT.
fundamentals are important - Brazil gained +4% in new coffee producing land last year - they have 40% of global output => +1,6% world coffee production only from Brazil and good weather conditions (until now). their currency is to watch too! As long as Bolsonaro is president its really difficult, because they can easily convert rain forest to agricultural lands,...
I would love to see thing go in collection instead of distribution. keeping it simple, might start collect it below 63 - 70$
After the strong bullish speculation on sugar finally ended, with the price is returning to more realistic values, my attention shifted to coffee. Coffee, which was also heavily speculated upwards, reaching an absurd price of $ 140, has returned to the $ 100 area and then rebounded. At the end of the bounce, as you can see from the chart below, a distribution...
Short bias included with the lovely world of seasonality. Enjoy the trade guys and gals. This is definitely a 2-4 month trade. Put on a spread for minor span margin costs. May need to have the proper broker for this.
If you like this idea, don't forget to support it clicking the Like Button! Coffee futures continued to drop, now trading on a strong support area ($115). The price has recently soared ($142) due to Brazil's supply difficulties. On the other hand, I'm expecting Coffe demand to be stable or even grow, supporting the rise of Coffee prices. Disclosure: My ideas...
Let’s kill the market today