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Correlation

Portfolio Optimization With BNBIs BNB correlated to other assets? The average correlation ratio amongst cryptocurrencies stood at 0.72, a high value indicating a strong relationship between the returns of cryptoassets.Amongst ten of the largest marketcap cryptoasset, BNB was the least correlated asset displaying an average correlation of only 0.58.BNB displayed a medium positive correlation with other large cryptoassets: only 0.57 with BTC, 0.52 with XRP, 0.64 with LTC, and 0.63 with ETH. In comparison, BTC and ETH, the two largest cryptoassets, displayed a strong positive correlation(0.82). Correlations with traditional financial assets BNB appears to be a unique asset: not only is it uncorrelated with traditional financial assets, but it is also one of the lowest correlated assets with other cryptocurrencies.Hence, the next subsection focuses on the construction of model portfolios, including Bitcoin (BTC) and BNB, along with the backtesting of the performance of these portfolios.
Education
by Berzerk_invest
11
Using Longer-Term Correlation to Predict MarketsIn the chart above, I display a daily chart of gold at the top, followed by the graphical 90-day correlation coefficients between gold and various asset classes. I do this kind of analysis at times when I feel a major inflection point is incoming. It is very handy when everything is moving quickly, since you can make the right choice after the dust settles. Moreover, you can anticipate what will happen and get into positions during the brief period of pandemonium. I will say from experience that being on the right side of certain markets before the final directions are determined is perhaps the most profitable way to trade markets. It is also extremely difficult to do and requires a thorough analysis of each major interrelated asset that is involved. In my opinion, and based on these correlation readings, I am essentially bullish on gold, bearish/neutral on everything else. And, when you really think about it, it makes a ton of sense. Let me explain briefly. I am not sure how anyone qualifies an asset class as "overbought," but just a quick glance at any equity index's monthly chart should be enough. All of them are so overbought that I do not feel the need to substantiate the claim with an indicator reading of any kind. The same goes for Crypto, except double. DXY and Oil are historically quite inversely correlated, and would imagine that they diverge as a result of a crypto-induced equities selloff. That's right - amazingly enough, it seems that the "safe haven" known as Bitcoin is actually what is holding equities up so high on the backend. I think. In any case, I hope this serves trading society well as volatilty soon approaches. -CorrPigEarningsMiss TVC:GOLD TVC:SPX TVC:DXY CURRENCYCOM:OIL_CRUDE BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
TVC:GOLDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn5511258
8
Hedge Your Investment PortfolioWhat Is a Hedge? A hedge is an investment that is made with the intention of reducing the risk of adverse price movements in an asset. Normally, a hedge consists of taking an offsetting or opposite position in a related security. _______________________________________________ A perfect hedge is one that eliminates all risk in a position or portfolio. In other words, the hedge is 100% inversely correlated to the vulnerable asset. This is more an ideal than a reality on the ground, and even the hypothetical perfect hedge is not without cost. Basis risk refers to the risk that an asset and a hedge will not move in opposite directions as expected; "basis" refers to the discrepancy. _______________________________________________ In our previous educational post we noticed that you really liked this theme. The most pressing question in the comments was, what cryptocurrency is able to hedge the rest. So we made a short research to find and provide this table for you, guys. Here is the list of these cryptos that may safe your wallet from being bankrupt. This is not the financial advice to buy some of these coins or something like this. It is just a short material that all the crypto traders should follow before entering into the trade. _______________________________________________ All the materials were taken from Binance and Bitmex open sources We are glad to share all the materials with this community. Feel FREE to leave comments below about your vision Thank you, wolves🔥
Education
by Berzerk_invest
5
BITCOIN: What's driving it? Is 30,000 in sight?In this video I show my theory on what's probably happening with BTCUSD. It appears that Bitcoin is being used to hedge against the US Dollar crashing. $22,000 is certain in sight and who knows it could get to $30,000 sooner than anyone might imagine. I still think that BTC is too volatile for my liking and therefore I've stayed out. I've been happy to avoid FOMO. I've lost nothing. I think that many will profit from a possible further charge north. But there is also still a risk that it BTC could reverse significantly. Best wishes for the Christmas period 🎅and have a Happy Prosperous New Year. 🥂🎁
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
29
Forex Pairs Correlation: Avoiding Contradictory TradesHello, in this post I will be talking about Forex Pair Correlations. A problem new traders frequently find themselves in is opening/having positions that are contradictory. I will elaborate on that but for now, let's understand first what correlation is. A correlation is a statistical relationship which means that when A moves a certain way, B will move a certain way. The stronger the correlation, the more likely that the price will move along with each other/opposite of each other. There are 2 types of correlation; Positive correlation which is A and B will move together, and negative correlation which is A and B will move opposite of each other. Now that we understand what correlations are, I can address the problem that new traders have. Contradictory positions: For example, having a long position in GPBUSD and a short position in GBPJPY is contradictory since these 2 pair has a 87.5% correlation which means 87.5% of the time, it will move together. As you can see in the graph, when the GPBUSD (Blue) moves up, GBPJPY (Orange) moves up and vice versa. This applies to moving down as well. GBPUSD (Blue) and AUDNZD (Yellow) is an example of a negative correlation (-69.7%). My recommendation to avoid having these problems is if you do not yet have an understanding of which pairs will move up and down together, check this website: www.myfxbook.com This website will show you every pair and its correlation. Of course, there are some exceptions to when contradictory trades are fine like when hedging against each other or when 1 trade is short-term/intraday/scalping, looking at the smaller trends and the other one is swing trading/position trading looking at the bigger trend. However, I do not recommend new traders to hold/open contradictory trades until they have some confidence in what they are doing. Main points: 1. A correlation is a statistical relationship which means that when A moves a certain way, B will move a certain way. 2. Positive relationship = Pairs will move the same way. 3. Negative relationship = Pairs will move the opposite way. 4. New traders should avoid contradictory trades. 5. Website for checking correlations: www.myfxbook.com Please give a thumbs up if you agree with the educational post and if there are any questions, feel free to comment down below.
Education
by AresFx
2
TradingView Comparing Mastery TutorialAs a trader, being able to effeciently compare the performance of multiple securities is an important skill. In this TradingView tutorial I will compare a stock with its main index to find out about its correlation. You will learn: • How to compare multiple charts using TradingView • How to analyze and draw conclusions about the comparison of assets • A neat hack how to turn your compare symbol on/off using a keyboard shortcut Check out the video tutorial on YT: youtu.be
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by colicoid
2
Bitcoin monthly price chart compare correation with oil and DJIBITSTAMP:BTCUSD Bitcoin has never been correlated to nothing BTCUSD, 1M, price chart CC, USOIL, 20 CC, UKOIL, 20 CC, DJI, 20 When CC reaches 1, there is a perfect correlation. When CC reaches -1, there is a perfect negative correlation. When CC = 0, there is no correlation at all. Bitcoin has never been correlated perfectly, or perfectly negative with crude oil, bren oil nor Dow Jones. Bitcoin is doing is own path, despite the dreams of the hodlers, mooners and big brown bears. This tutorial is dedicated to Tradingview "experts".
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Nugacity_Fracedinous
EW: Corrective Bonds Indicate Resistance On StocksHello traders! Today we will talk about the bond and stock market and their correlations. As you can see, US and German Bonds are moving more or less together and the same thing is with US and German stocks. Of course, there are no perfect correlations, but overall looking they are in positive correlation. At the same time bonds and stocks are also more or less in negative correlation and again, there are no perfect correlations, but at the end they always somehow get caught. Well, what we currently see from Elliott Wave perspective is that both, US and German bond market might be finishing their corrections, which would be limited for the stock market. So, if we are on the right path, then stocks may face a resistance, at least a temporary. US stocks (S&P500) may see a decline from the upper ending diagonal line, while German stocks (DAX) may face a temporary resistance at the upper channel line. However, this is not the case yet, but if bond market suddenly bounces and stock market declines in strong and impulsive fashion, then we should be aware of the potential risk-off sentiment that can lasts for some time. Be humble and trade smart! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
EUREX:FDXM1!Education
by ew-forecast
EW Analysis: Bullish Emerging Markets May Push EURUSD HigherHello traders! Today we will talk about emerging markets(EEM) and EURUSD. As you can see in the first chart, there's a positive correlation between emerging markets and EURUSD. Of course, there are no tick by tick correlations, but the current wave structure it's telling us that we may see a bigger recovery in the upcoming days/weeks. Emerging markets can be trading in a three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) recovery up to 61,8% Fibonacci retracement and 46 area, especially after that break out of the corrective channel, so in our opinion EEM may easily stay in the bullish trend. At the same time we can see strong and impulsive recovery on EURUSD, which is telling us that the temporary bottom can be in place and a bigger three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) correction can be underway up to 1.15 - 1.18 area, mainly because of break out of the wedge pattern (ending diagonal). Notice that these are daily charts and they may take some time to completely unfold, so don't get confused on the smaller time frame charts. We just want to give you an idea, where the markets can be headed long/mid-term. Be humble and trade smart! If you like our analysis, then please give us a like and share it! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Education
by ew-forecast
5
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 10Correlation: Correlation is a key concept and can make the difference between both winning trades and losing trades as well as good trades becoming great trades. As those who follow me know, I trade almost exclusively the GBP pairs. Ideally, we want to see all the pairs moving in the same direction. That is a great sign that not only will the trade be successful but that there will be a big move. If there is a correlated directional move, there is a high probability that it will be a big move day. When that happens, once the trade is 1xRisk, we can move the stop to flat and let it run to the profit target. When the pairs are mixed, we have to be more cautious. If they are evenly split, 3 bullish and 3 bearish, we can take the first breakout trade, but not pullback trades. Once that trade is + 1xRisk, we can close ½ our position and move the stop to flat. This is how we make money on not so good days. Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this past week were great examples of correlated directional moves. While Thursday, was a split day where at the European open 3 of the GBP pairs were bullish and 3 were bearish. The GBP pairs sold off first allowing for a decent gain in GBPCHF and then rallied. If you master Correlation, your trading will go to the next level. I hope you enjoy this post post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me. Stay Green my Friends :) Allen I am now accepting “pre-order” commitments for my book. I am not asking for any money now. But for those who pre-order, they will receive a priority for one of the bonuses that I am providing. The cost of the book is $54.95 and will be available September 30. If you interested please send me an email to FXGold54@gmail.com
Education
by AGold54
8
SIMPLE educational POST about DXY and how to USE it!Today I have told you to close the position of NZD/USD in profit before it went up. Why did I do this? Because I`m checking correlations. Whenever you trade a MAJOR-PAIR with USD/XXX or XXX/USD do make sure to use the US-DOLLAR-INDEX (DXY) to check it for valid inter-market-correlations for your asset. Whether it`s a positive or negative correlation - you can always take advantage of the correlation if there is one. In this case, the negative correlation was more than obvious. Try it yourself. Fun fact: The weighting of EURO is currently at 56,7%. The US-DOLLAR-INDEX is actuall USD/EUR. You don`t believe? Check it! LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
TVC:DXYEducation
by Trading2ez
1
How much value has the dollar lost since 1971?Against the Swiss Franc which is also a fiat shitcoin, the USD fell 84% from 1971 to 2011 (40 years). Just by looking at how much it fell compared to Gold from 1975 to 2011, the USD lost 94% of its value. (1/XAUUSD = USDXAU) The same and worse holds for most fiat shitcoins right now. As for Bitcoin and USD, Bitcoin came into life when the USD restarted its uptrend after having lost a lot of its value against most other fiat currencies. There isn't a significant correlation we can spot between the two, even though over the last 2 years there seems to be more of a negative correlation. Even if the US gets stronger against other fiat currencies, most central banks are going to print so much that even if the Dollar gets stronger, Gold and Bitcoin could keep appreciating against the dollar and other fiat currencies.
Education
by BitcoinMacro
Elliott Wave & Intermarket Analysis For NIKKEI And USDJPYHello traders! Today we will talk about stocks, specifically Nikkei and why USDJPY can see higher prices. Well, as you may already know, in EW theory after a three-wave corrective decline, the trend should remain to the upside. This is what we see in the stock market all the time. However, Nikkei got our attention, because we can see a nice five-wave rally after that three-wave a-b-c correction, which means that Nikkei remains in uptrend, but after another three-wave correction in the lower degree, where ideal support would be here around 21450 - 21250 levels, just keep in mind that bullish confirmed can be only if it manages to turn back above 21770 region! In the right picture you can see tight positive correlation between NIKKEI and USDJPY, which means that if NIKKEI points higher, then even USDJPY can see higher prices, so don't be surprised if USDJPY remains bullish towards 109 area or higher! So, seems like risk-on sentiment may continue and when we are in risk-on, we usually see bullish stocks, which are followed by recovery on XXX/JPY crosses. That being said, be aware of a bullish continuation on stocks, while XXX/JPY cross pairs may see a bigger recovery! Be humble, trade smart and wait for the right sentiment to enter the market! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
CME:NKD1!Education
by ew-forecast
How to Trade Correlations for New Traders - AUD/USD vs NZD/USDWelcome! Here's a super simple chart, and strategy, which can help you get started in your trading journey. Trading strongly correlated pairs and looking for divergences is hardly an industry secret. It's a standard technique, and one that is heavily employed by large institutional investors. Basically, correlation means that certain pairs move in a similar fashion. For AUD/USD (AU) and NZD/USD (NU), they are both based on the USD, and the Australian and New Zealand economies are, broadly speaking, based on similar fundamentals. This means that the factors that impact the price of the AU market, will naturally have similar impacts on the NU market. The great thing about the AU and NU correlation is that it's long lasting, and strong. For a few decades now, the pairs have had a 80%+ positive correlation (a positive correlation means two markets move in the SAME direction, whereas a negative correlation means that move in the OPPOSITE direction). This strong correlation has held steady through some significant market events. The exception is a period between 2014-2016, where correlation dropped to a low of 15% - but that was due to a variety of factors that are too in-depth to cover here. However, it's worth stating that if the correlation were to drop below 80% in the future, this strategy/technique would no longer be valid. Hopefully the chart broadly explains things, but in a nutshell: The pairs should move the same. If they don't, e.g. if AU forms higher highs, but NU forms lower lows, that's a correlation divergence. Basically, the markets have moved out of synch for some reason. Often, these are simply short-term phenomenon, and we're counting on the correlation to re-establish itself, allowing us to profit from it. The nature of correlation divergences is that you don't know which pair is going to break first. Therefore, you need a secondary signal in order to make a trade. For example, AU is making higher highs, and NU is making lower highs - which one is going to break? Well, a simple idea is to grab your favourite momentum indicator and look for divergences on either market. On our chart, this plays out in the mid-late April trade. AU is grinding higher, but forming a bearish momentum divergence. Therefore, we're looking for AU to break lower. We can use a moving average, or a trend line break as our confirmation signal to enter the trade. This one worked out wonderfully, but not all of them will. Positive correlations are, like nearly all trading signals, stronger on higher time frames. on a 5min chart, correlations, like the markets themselves, are far more volatile. This is why I would suggest using H4 as your smallest time frame chart, and look at correlations on a Daily basis. A great website to measure/track correlations is www.mataf.net I hope that that all makes sense. I encourage you to try it out for yourself - pick two strongly correlated pairs and start training your brain to look for divergences. And, as with all trading, don't jump on the first correlation divergence you see. You need a secondary confirmation (e.g. momentum divergence, support/resistance), and then a confirmation signal, before making a trade. Trading success is all about how you do things, not what you do. If you have any questions, feel free to contact me. DD
Education
by DreamsDefined