CPI comes in hotter than consensus. IWM slaughtered / QQQ under pressure / SPY closes negative. Yields & Dollar ripping. Oil ripping / Natural Gas selloff. Are we entering a new reflation trend?
- Awaiting CPI# numbers readings for ECONOMICS:USIRYY on August 10th (today) post US being Down-Graded to AA +. While on the 9th of August ECONOMICS:CNIRYY came deflationary on the other side of the world Consensus sits at 3.1% (0.1% increase) and some to 0.3% increase at 3.3% for ECONOMICS:USIRYY Economists forecast Inflation rising up again on a steady...
The EUR/USD plunged after the hotter-than-expected CPI, as traders reevaluated the odds of a Fed rate cut in June. EUR/USD has now perhaps broken out of the range of its significant Simple Moving Averages. Now we might get another pushdown in the lead up to or after the ECB interest rate decision tomorrow. The April 2 swing low of 1.07245 may prove pivotal....
The Australian dollar has declined sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6515, down 1.7%. The US consumer price index has accelerated for a second straight month. The March CPI rose 3.5%, up from 3.2% in February and above the market estimate of 3.4%. This was the highest inflation rate since September. On a monthly basis,...
I wasn't going to post about this one as I imagine it's being covered by everyone what with the captain obvious setup on a basic horizontal but since I've covered the Yen before I may as well I haven't re-visted this chart properly since I made some calls about that blue broadening wedge a few years back and the initial 152 resistance (see the related posts...
Gold on CPI, selling off in line with the bearish data outcome, managing risk and adding to the position to breakeven while below key daily and weekly levels.
Trading Plan for Wednesday, April 9th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Volatile and uncertain. CPI came in hotter than expected, increasing the likelihood of continued aggressive actions by the Federal Reserve. CPI Data and Impact: CPI rose 0.4% for the month, resulting in a 12-month inflation rate of 3.5%, surpassing expectations. Core CPI also accelerated 0.4%...
Price currently trades at $1.26972 level. I anticipate a correction ( beArish move ) to 1.26435. Since price is closer to previous day high, I’d be looking for a sell opportunity. Take profit will be at 1.26435 (previous day low)
Quick update on the charts pre-event. We'll keep it simple as for this, there is likely to be a lot of volume entering the markets on the release, and the movement can be extreme. A lot of traders are expecting this to pullback, and they may get the move, however, they could surprise everyone and continue this move to the upside before then bringing it down. We...
Preferred direction: SELL Comment: The trading idea for gold , which was given at the beginning of the week, is still relevant in the middle of the week, when the market is looking forward to the publication of US inflation data . For gold , we are considering a medium-term outlook, which is highly likely to work out in favor of the seller. The most likely ...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: Medium-term long positions for the AUDUSD currency pair are active, according to our previous trading idea for this instrument. In addition, short-term prospects also encourage active purchases, and with the opening of the European session, one can take a closer look at longs, especially those who did not manage to enter...
Preferred direction: BUY Comment: Visually, the technical situations for the euro and pound look as similar as possible to each other. Here, too, the buy-priority remains, and the nearest target for this week is located at the level of 1.27000 . The growth potential is even higher, but setting a target above the level of 1.28000 would be a rather...
Here is my bias for EURUSD, we have an equal low and I am anticipating for price to move and clear liquidity above the Asian high. In my POI is an FVG from the breaker block that failed to hold to push price higher and creating a structure shift and also an FVG that caused the structure shift.
Today's focus: Nasdaq Pattern – Range Support – 17,832 Resistance – 18,355 Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the Nasdaq daily. Price remains range-bound. Do traders feel today's CPI will be bearish or bullish? Yesterday, buyers showed some strength, stopping a bear move and reversing losses. Could good news on...
Today's focus: USDCAD Pattern – Heavy Resistance Support – 1.3514, 1.3454 Resistance – 1.3602 Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at USDCAD daily. What are we discussing and asking today after looking at USDCAD? Will current heavy resistance contnue to block buyers? Does price have enough momentum in its current bull...
Must-know events for the trading week The week ahead in the US will be marked by significant events, including the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and March inflation data. Alongside the meeting minutes, investors will continue to analyze speeches from various Fed officials: Recent remarks from Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari...
Hey everyone!! Here I talk about USDCHF and give a little update on my Trade Idea "Last Leg To The Finish Line" Since it went over so well and continuing to follow suit, I wanted to do a Video Update on the idea to give a little insight on what I was seeing as the pair unfolded for the year and what I'm looking for in the near future!! Please let me know what...
Traders, Expanding on our EUR/USD analysis, I've integrated two distinct setups: Significant Support: Daily chart analysis reveals robust support levels. Bearish Trend: The LR channel indicates a prevailing bearish trend. Key Shorting Zone: A notable cluster formed by the Weekly Pivot and Last Week's POC presents an excellent opportunity to consider short...