Tech has been on a tare, proceeded by a rip. QQQ has gone up further than I anticipated but the market is finally showing serious signs of exhaustion. The outrageous valuations and proclamations of a new bull market are sure fire signs of the' end of the road. It has touched the .618 fib level and depending on how you are looking at it, even surpassed it by a...
Looking at Disneys percentage pullbacks, the most recent downtrend was over 70%, which tells me its most aggressive downward price action could have already played out. It could get much worse or have a period of sideways action. After looking at shorter time frames it kind of made me reconsider how much downside was still in store for it. It'll be interesting...
Birds eye view of Disney's red flags. Yet another corporation gets a swirly in the public toilet by woke insanity leadership. Like the rest they endure a public lashing on social media, they cry for Argentina and then enact a public relations dream job. An orgy of pseudo-viral internet hype, resurrected leadership nostalgia for the stock holders and good ol'...
Yet another corporation gets a swirly in the public toilet by woke insanity leadership. Like the rest they endure a public lashing on social media, they cry for Argentina and then enact a public relations dream job. An orgy of pseudo-viral internet hype, resurrected leadership nostalgia for the stock holders and good ol' fashioned base-demographic pandering. In...
It took about 3.5 years, from the last top in late 2007, to cross all relevant moving averages in early 2011, for us to confirm all the market bottoms were in. During that time, more than half of the market was lost in its last bottom compared to its last top. Expect same or worse in this 2022 recession, as more things will pop in this everything bubble. The...
This bubble is beginning to become more and more similar to the dot com Y2K boom and bust... Look when the monthly RSI peaked in the dot come era it peaked in 1996 and we had hidden bearish RSI divergence. It took 4 years for the price to reach a peak meaning price continued to trend up but RSI was trending down. Look at what is happening now... We peaked on...
The total savings in US accounts as a percentage of disposable personal income saw an incredible spike during the lockdowns as "helicopter money" and "stimmy checks" flooded the bank accounts of consumers, fueling an awe-inspiring comeback in retail sales. Unfortunately, however, the data shows that not only is all of this stimulus money gone (along with the...
I also created a video about my post for those that prefer to watch it here it is: www.youtube.com It also contains all the graphs and charts which unfortunately I can not post here. More and more market participants are talking about rising inflation and the everything bubble being the buildup to an epic crash. But is this really true? Can markets go...
The main chart and title is pretty blunt. We see two rising wedges on BAC and the blue one predicted the 2008 crash, but because this is on the monthly chart it tools years for the price action to perform. We may again see this happen again as the crash begins moving in slow motion and is imperceptible to most as the problem becomes more and more severe. With...
This is acting as an update to the linked idea below where I make the case that it appears a broad sell off in equities is very possible based on the behavior of the QQQ/SPY ratio. It is a very rigorous look at the pair and the implications of any breakdown. If you want the full idea please check that out. The candles can appear red SPY goes up quicker than QQQ...
There is a lot on the main chart but lets go through it directly: Both had a parabolic run up and Over 80% corrections Both Created a W pattern with a higher low around the 0.236 retracement level from the height to initial low BTC intermediate high stalled at the 0.786 while NDX intermediate high was around the lower 0.500 (not shown on chart). ...
Introduction Those familiar with my system won't find anything new here, just a simple reiteration of the same system I have used to call bear markets or local highs several times with a lot of sucess. This system helps us confirm a all time high and a top after a massive uptrend and it has many confirming components with each one by themselves should make a...
I have been very, very, patiently watching this trade for a buy entry on TLSA and it has been a couple of months now as you will be able to see from my linked idea. I have used this chart to help me time some SPXU calls due to its inclusion in that index. My linked post will show how I thought this would be resolved a bit quicker in a simple falling wedge but...
Preamble There is quite a debate as to what constitutes a bear market generally and what constitutes a bear market in crypto specifically. Having pondered this question at length for myself and experiencing the pain of indecision this is what I have developed. This determination is very important because in bull markets bullish formations overperform and even...
Very curiously lots of people have been asking where the blow off tops have been for crypto because they are use to seeing blow off tops on crypto on weekly or monthly charts. As the market matures it begins to move a little slower and we can see that by looking at the newer coins, BND and ETH showing a blow off top on the 3 month but BTC showing the blow off...
BTCUSD just had a new week and I wanted to get the data on the close on both the On Balance Volume and combine it with the MACD. I will link just a couple of ideas to supplement this idea so it isn't to repetitive. Each idea covers a different set of indicators and guess what? All bearish. A review of my post history will show I have not vacilated between...
The chart is on the daily time frame but I have programed in the CM ultimate to have the 20 SMA on it, which is close enough to the 20 week EMA as to not matter. Both are very conventional timeframes to use but I prefer the 20 SMA because it is the baseline of the bollinger band (not show). Please see the linked ideas if you want to see more indicators. Key...
Introduction For my adult life the advice has been to buy just by ETFs. And for the last decade or so the advise has also to been buy the NASDAQ ETF because it over-performs the other indices. It seems that advice is on the precipice of ending due to some long term indicators on the verge of flipping their switches. The MFV VSTOP is set to 3x and right now...