Amazingly bullish setup. As soon as it tested the MA200 and the .618 of the previous uptrend, the buyers appeared. This is an absolute clear buy.
Holding position here. Weeekly set up showing some strength on volume and momentum. $EWZ $BRZU
$EWZ looks poised to rally above the 'Temer almost impeached' fundamental key levels. These 3 price levels acted as key support and resistance zones since the market bottomed as per my previous publication, good time to rebuy Brazilian stocks. Bolsonaro being elected president might please investors in the long run, is what I think. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Brazil has been bullish lately with elections and central bank lifting interest rates. $USDBRL has been down for quite a lot. However, the move is short term, here is why: 1. Brazil cannot sustain high interest rate for such big deficit (it's not financially strong as U.S) 2. Election effect is priced in and will be gone after the event. Although the candidates...
Just updating an EWZ trade that I started out some time ago as an iron fly (See Post Below). Currently, it's morphed into an inverted November 16th 34C/39P -- a 5-wide, inverted short strangle that I've collected 6.87/contract in credits to date. Currently, this broken setup is valued at 7.16, so if I closed it out here for 7.16, I'd realize a small and very...
Even though best opportunity on double bottom with extreme OBV divergence already passed, the recent breach of the previous top may be a good buy opportunity with stop loss at 4.00.
BUY SNSL3 On double bottom and breakout from negative trend line. MACD highly divergent.
Although the earnings season has already kicked off modestly, a bevvy of financials announce next week: C, JPM, and WFC (all on Friday). I generally don't play these underlyings for volatility contraction around earnings primarily because the implied volatility just doesn't ramp up to the degree I'd like to see for a play. I thought I'd mention them here since...
AT40 = 33.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (was as low 31.9%) AT200 = 47.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 14.0 (was as high as 15.8) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The S&P 500 is only 1.0% off its all-time high, yet extremes and critical tests of support abound. AT40 (T2108),...
Ladies and gentlemen, we realized we left some of you on the land, so we are back to give you the last opportunity to hop in. Once we launched, you will not see us again for a long time. Hope you join us.
MA200 around 5.00 Fibonnacci based extension 5.20 In any case, we still have a beautiful upside before hitting a serious resistance. I'm in.
PEP announces earnings on Tuesday before market open; COST, on Thursday, after. Neither presents a particularly compelling earnings announcement-related volatility contraction play, with PEP's rank/30-day implied coming in at 30/18, and COST's at 35/23. With Brazilian elections taking place a week from today (October 7th), it seems to me that an EWZ play is in...
This post is going to be short work, since there aren't many earnings in play for next week, and non-earnings premium selling is somewhat limited ... . NKE is the only earnings that comes up on my radar for next week (announces on Tuesday after market close). While it has an implied volatility rank of 72, its 30-day isn't exactly "doing it" at 29%. That being...
EWZ still has high IV & IVR and looks to be finding some support at this level . Good value on a 31/26p 37/42 Iron Condor Selling for 2.36 cr max risk 2.64 Tasty stats POP 56% P50 62% Delta -1.95 theta 2.35
Although both FDX and ORCL announce earnings tomorrow (Monday) after market close, the underlying with the implied volatility metrics I generally look for in a volatility contraction play are present in MU, which announces Thursday after market close. With a rank of 82 and a 30-day of 60%, the 70% probability of profit 39/52.5 20-delta short strangle is paying...
I'm soing it with options so my spread is between 35 and 31. Sucking up that premium.
Earnings: ORCL: Announces Thursday after market. Rank/IV: 74/31. Sept 21st 68% Probability of Profit 20 delta 45/50.5 short strangle: .79 credit. KR: Announces Thursday before market. Rank/IV: 54/37. Sept 21st 72% Probability of Profit 20 delta 30/35 short strangles: .60 credit. Non-Earnings: EWZ: Rank/IV: 97/48 TSLA: Rank/IV: 95/57 GDX: Rank/IV: 68/30 USO:...