Weekly Equities Trade Idea: CRCL Puts (Update)Hello Traders!
I'm providing an update to the CRCL trade idea from Monday July 14th. Here's what I'm watching:
- Price to open within the range from Tuesday July 15th
- Potential imbalance resolve from Monday July 14th at $204.70
- If price breaks Friday July 11th's high at $206.80 the trade is invalidated
Cheers,
DTD
Fibonacci
Short-term Bear Case for CRCLHello Traders!
As part of my weekly equity trade analysis, I will be uploading my recordings of what I am seeing and intending to trade for the week. A quick summary of what's in the video is as follows:
- CRCL is a high beta stock that seems to not be moving in tandem with its peers as of late
- I am expecting volatility due to market data and monthly options expiration
- CRCL has formed a new bearish order block below another bearish order block and is wedged with a weekly bearish setup. We are anticipating expansion out of this range to the downside
- I am waiting for a re-test of $199-$205 for a full move to $155-$145
Cheers,
DTD
Bitcoin Long: Expects New High; Target 124,632Over in this video, I update on the Elliott Wave counts for Bitcoin and explain why I think that Bitcoin is going higher for a wave 5 of 3 of 5.
The stop loss will be below the wave 4 and given some leeway, will be around 115,900. There are 2 Take profit targets:
1. 119,251, and
2. 124,632
I made it known that my personal preference is $124,632 but note that once a new high is made, this wave counts will already be validated even if it then drops to our stop.
I talk about the possibility of trailing the stop once a new high is reached but commented that every trader must trade based on their own style and risk preference.
Finally, Good luck in your trading!
[UPD] Trend analysis: BTC / ETH / SOL / XRP and other Just recorded a new video overview of the crypto market and the current trend developments in major coins: CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:XRP , CRYPTOCAP:LINK , GETTEX:HYPE , BSE:SUPER , $FLOKI.
Among the new assets on my radar I shared my view on the trend structure of $RENDER.
In my personal investment planning, I continue to treat any potential corrections into key support zones as opportunities to add or open new positions.
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
If you’d like to hear my take on any other coin you’re tracking — feel free to ask in the comments (just don’t forget to boost the idea first 😉).
[UPD] BTC / ETH / SOL / XRP / HYPE / SUPER / FLOKIUpdating my view on intermediate trend structures I am tracking in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:XRP , GETTEX:HYPE , BSE:SUPER and SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI highlighting key support and resistance zones to watch in the coming sessions
Charts featured in the video:
BTC
ETH
XRP
SOL
HYPE
SUPER
FLOKI
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
If you’d like to hear my take on any other coin you’re tracking — feel free to ask in the comments (just don’t forget to boost the idea first 😉).
EURUSDSentiment: Bullish Bias
Institutions are holding a strong net long position on the Euro, with +107,537 contracts. This reflects continued bullish sentiment toward EUR, suggesting strength against the USD. With DXY showing net shorts and EUR net longs, EUR/USD may favor upside moves, especially from key daily demand zones. Swing traders should watch for bullish confirmations and structure shifts on 4H.
BTC / ETH / SOL / XRP / HYPE: Potential Trend StructuresIn this video, I share my current daily and weekly analysis on the trend structures of BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and HYPE, highlighting key support and resistance zones to watch in the coming sessions.
Charts featured in the video:
BTC
ETH
SOL
XRP
HYPE
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
If you’d like to hear my take on any other coin you’re tracking feel free to ask in the comments (just don’t forget to boost the idea first 😉).
Bitcoin Longer: Clear Blue Skies for Wave 3 of 5As I explained in this video, I believe that we are currently in a wave 3 of 5 for Bitcoin and we should be breaching new highs as we have an undergoing wave 3. However, take note that the risk-reward is not good to go long. So I would recommend holding if you already have a position but to be very cautious if you are thinking of initiating a new long position.
The stop loss is $109,700. The near-term take profit is $113,923 before a potential pull back and then up to $115,000.
Good luck!
Gold Setup for longs and shorts This video covers gold on the local range whereby I expect price to eventually complete the move to the downside and clear the equal lows from MAy and June as well as take care of the poor lows and fill Quart Pivots .
I talk also about the Tradingview session volume profile chart and how this feature can really be a simple yet powerful guide for taking scalp trades off of specific levels and I show a couple of examples of the respect PA has for hitting those daily POC .
I Welcome any questions you may have
Gold Long: Stop loss at 3305, TP at 3426Over in this video, I did a quick revision on the cycle level Elliott Wave counts for Gold before delving down to the lower timeframes.
I discussed the alternate counts for Gold and explained how the latest 5-waves up made me retain what you see as the primary count. Essentially, what is important over here is that the stop loss is $3305 and the potential take profit is #3426.
Remember to keep your risk tight and good luck in your trading!
Bitcoin Euro is €82,000 nextIn this video I go through an idea that may take bitcoin down to the €82,000 region .
I cover the current price action and run through a scenario of bitcoin coming down to the Newley spawned quarterly pivots and faking out at the value area low before coming back up into the range .
The tools I used in the video are quarterly pivots , anchored vwap , Fibonacci, fixed range volume profile and a tpo chart .
Appreciate your following and Good luck with your trading !
How much higher for Platinum futures In this video I look at the current price of platinum on a higher tf and forecast where I believe the cool down to this rally might begin.
Using tools like the fib extension, volume profile and speed fan we are able to highlight a major reaction zone ahead at $1600 region .
Set alerts at these key levels for what might prove to be a solid short entry or a rejection , retest and claim for higher levels like the 1.618 ext .
ETHUSDT WEEKLY UPDATE — PART 1
When Conviction Fails: Apex Rejection, Hidden Redistribution, and the Illusion of Demand
Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, wherever you're tapping in from. Now, as always, I’m not here to waste your time with unnecessary waffle. Let’s get straight into it and unpack this mess step-by-step.
THE APEX REJECTION | MORE THAN JUST A WICK
So picking up from last week's update, we find ourselves right at the crossroads, and not the romantic kind either. What we’re looking at right now so far, is a clean yet 100% conclusive rejection from the apex of a key macro structure.
This isn’t just any level. This is the intersection of vertical momentum and horizontal memory, the apex of a triangle that’s been forming for months. This is where bullish intent was supposed to hold, supposed to assert dominance, but instead, what did we get? A strong push into resistance, a failure to fix above it, followed by exhaustion and signs of institutional unloading.
Now, to the untrained eye, this may look like a pullback, or even a healthy correction. But we’re not here to look at charts with retail goggles. We’re here to track the true intent behind the price action, and if you know your schematics, this is screaming redistribution. And not just any redistribution, the kind that happens right before the market changes its personality.
WHERE ARE WE IN THE SCHEMATIC?
If we overlay Wyckoff logic on top of this structure, it's very clear:
We’ve had our PSY (preliminary support).
Followed by a spring, a shakeout, and a fake rally.
Now we’re dancing around what appears to be the UTAD (upthrust after distribution) — but weaker.
This isn’t classic distribution, it’s redistribution masked in macro confusion.
Here’s the thing this range isn’t just price consolidation, it’s behavioural conditioning. This long, choppy sideways movement is designed to wear out both bulls and bears, making them question their bias, mismanage their risk, and either overstay or exit too early.
The market is methodical, not random. These candles aren’t accidents, they are footprints of algorithmic trap setting, and right now, it looks like the net is about to close.
VOLUME TELLS THE TRUTH
Let’s not forget volume. Look at the weekly volume through this recent push:
Decreasing volume on the rallies,
Higher volume on the red closes,
And multiple spikes that failed to carry price past resistance.
That’s your dead giveaway. You don’t need to be a wizard, just follow the clues. Price is being pushed, not lifted. Demand isn’t stepping in, liquidity is being removed. This isn’t smart money accumulation, if confirmed by the endd of this week, this most recent move up cout be doing of smart money unloading, Quietly and Efficiently.
THE MARKDOWN IS PRIMED
Let’s now address the elephant in the room, the range low and point C of the triangle on the 4H.
T hat’s where liquidity is sitting.
That’s where the market’s next objective lies.
We’ve now failed to reclaim the apex, the wick was slapped down, and unless something significant shifts, the next logical move is to sweep that C point, take out the emotional support, and either:
Tap into true demand (if it exists), or
Begin the cascade toward the final green demand zones between 2,150–2,070, which we marked weeks ago.
And don’t forget, this sweep may not be clean. We could get a fakeout bounce mid-range — enough to bait in more longs, only to roll over again.
PSYCHOLOGICAL LAYER
What’s happening here isn’t just technical, it’s emotional warfare. This entire range has been one long gaslight for the average trader. Between the failed breakouts, failed breakdowns, and chaotic intraday behaviour, retail has been turned into liquidity.
And if you’re still trying to long blindly at the top of this, hoping for 3k ETH without a confirmed structure reclaim, then respectfully, you’re the product right now.
Coming next in Part 2:
A full breakdown of the 4H macro setup
Analysis of the internal range mechanics
Recalculated fib zones
Where the liquidity pockets are
What the most probable path is short, medium, and long-term
Stay tuned — I’ll keep the flow coherent, structured, and aggressive. No fluff. No hopium. Just structure, psychology, and execution.
Gold Short: Wave 5 of C In this video, I explained my change in the Gold Elliott Wave counts on the cycle level (red font numbering) and how I think the Gold price movement will go down in a double combination (because the previous 2 waves are double combinations).
I also go through how I set the short target using Fibonacci extensions.
S&P500 Update: Break of Lower TrendlineIn this video, I updated the wave count for S&P500 and discussed 2 different ways of counting it but ended with a bias on a stronger wave 3 down as opposed to a wave 5 of 1 down.
The stop loss is above 6016, with 2 take profit targets:
1) 5940
2) 5923
Good luck!