EURUSDPrice recently plunged into the deep and has now returned for fair value. We are already in a significant area, on a higher time-frame(1D), so any moment from now they can collapse it, much like last week! Be on the look-out like a meerkat!
1.1680 and 1.1720 are institutional price levels and price tends to have strong reactions in these areas. I expect to see that play out tomorrow.
The following reports will be used to trigger this move:
BoE Monetary Policy Report.
Continuing Jobless Claims 4-Week Average.
Initial Jobless Claims.
Unit Labour Costs.
Nonfarm Productivity.
Stay safe!
Fibonacci
GBPUSD ANALYSISAfter seeing the previous day close and reject an area of resistance and a break below the trendline area of support on the lower timeframe, but with the daily still bearish the 4hr is pushing to the upside. A break of 4hr structure support could be a clear signal that sellers are now pushing price.
EURJPY ANALYSISAfter seeing the previous weekly candle close bearish and the daily from Monday close below the low of the last bearish candle which is a sign of sellers strength, we could expect further sells to continue but a simple retracement on the 4hr back to an area of interest for a potential LH structure point before further sells
Loss of Momentum Pattern Into StructureSimilar to the OANDA:GBPJPY that I shared, the OANDA:EURAUD has put in a pretty aggressive and direct move into a previous level of structure. However, what makes this opportunity different than "the beast" is that as price approach our level of resistance we started to put in a rising channel which is a loss of momentum pattern along with other clues such as divergence on the RSI.
If you have any questions, comments or want to share your views, please do so below. Also be sure to hit that like button & give me a follow, that way you don't miss my future trading ideas.
Akil
GBPJPY - Catching The Falling Knife... ConservativelyDon't catch the falling knife! This is a common warning in the trading industry. Although i do agree with it (in some circumstances), I think what's more important is for us to perform analysis and be confident on where that knife may find a floor at.
In the case of the OANDA:GBPJPY I think we've seen that floor which may present us with the opportunity to but IF... I say if because simply making that prediction isn't enough. As a trade, what I want to see if some sort of signal from the market (while at that level) that price is more likely to do what I predict, than not.
If you have any questions, comments or want to share your views, please do so below. Also be sure to hit that like button & give me a follow, that way you don't miss my future trading ideas.
Akil
Insiders are selling Roblox ! Heres the levels you need to knowIn this video I lay out a solid plan for a move to the downside for Roblox after a 100% move to the upside since April of this year .
I demonstrate why I believe we will take a 30% retracement and provide confluent evidence to support this theory.
There are some fundamental reasons that I also did include alongside the technical analysis which is not my regular style but important given the context.
Tools used in the video 0.382 Fib , Standard Fib pull, Trend based fib and pivots .
Reddit breaks out for bullish run I have been watching Reddit for a couple of weeks and identified that we had put in the .786 low from the correction since February and then formed a range that was well respected for the past 4 months .
In this video I highlight zones where i expect price to gravitate too and where a nice entry will be if you are looking to long reddit.
Tools used Fib suite , trend based fib , tr pocket , 0.786 + 0.382 and fixed range .
New targets for Reddit RDDT In this video I recap the previous reddit analysis where we looked for the long which is playing out really well .
I also look at the current price action and simulate what I think could be a target for the stock moving forward using Fib expansion tools as well as levels below for price to draw back too.
Welcome any questions below the chart . Thanks for viewing
Nasdaq Short: multiple reasonsOver here, I present to you the Nasdaq short idea again. For my previous idea, it was stopped out at 23500. This time, I changed the wave counts again, mainly merging the previous wave 5 into wave 3, allowing for the new high to be a wave 5.
On top of that, here are the few other reasons for the short:
1. Fibonacci extension levels: Wave 5 is slightly more than Wave 1.
2. RSI overbought for the 3rd time on the hourly timeframe.
3. Rising wedge false breakout.
4. Head-and-shoulders on the 1-min timeframe.
As usual, the stop for this idea is slightly above the recent high, around 23700.
Thank you.
Ethereum Long: Using Log Chart to Analyze, Target $6600In this video, I go through the analysis using the log chart for Ethereum and shows the potential of this cryptocurrency where I expect the price to reach new high in the coming days with a longer-term target of $6600.
For shorter-term trading, I recommend placing the stop a distance below recent support on the daily chart, around $3372.
Good luck!
Bitcoin Long: Completion of Sub-wave 4, riding wave 5I updated the Elliott Wave counts for Bitcoin and we should have completed sub-wave 4 and is currently onto sub-wave 5. Based on my counts, sub-wave 3 has extended and is slightly more than 1.618x of wave 1, thus I expect sub-wave 5 to NOT extend. Based on Fibonacci extensions, the price target is around $124,600.
The stop loss for this idea is around $114,600.
Towards to end of the video, I zoomed out for Bitcoin and observed that Cycle level wave 1 and 3 are HUGE (red font) and the current Cycle Wave 5 looks too small. Thus, the entire 5-wave structure of what we are going through now may be just a Sub-Wave 1 of Cycle Wave 5. And that means that longer-term, Bitcoin may really go to $200,000 and beyond. But for traders, keep our foot on the ground and trade what is in front of us.
Good luck!
Revsiting $150k - $200k Bitcoin (AND Next Bear Market Bottom)In this video I revisit my 2-year old study showing the potential path for Bitcoin to $150k to $200k and not only how we might get there, but the 11 reasons WHY we can this cycle.
This is the same Fibonacci series that predicted the 2021 cycle high at the 3.618 (Log chart) and used the same way this cycle, with some interesting 2025 forecasts of:
1.618 - $100k
2.618 - $150k
3.618 - $200k
There are quite a few confluences that we get to $150k like the measured moves from both the recent mini bull flag, but also the larger one from earlier this year.
** Also I touch on revisiting my study from 2 years ago where I may have discovered the retracemebnt multiple that correctlty predicted and held the 2022 lowes around $16k. **
It's a VERY interesting number you all will recognize (buy may not agree with).
Let me know what you think.
Weekly Stock Pick: ORCL (Update)Hello Traders!
I'm providing an update to the ORCL trade idea from Monday July 21st. Here's what I'm watching:
- Price to open lower from Monday's close
- Rebalancing in the highest daily Bullish Order Block near $239
- A hammer or dojji candle on higher volume
- Potential confluence with the daily 9 ema, trendline support and higher low on the options chart
Cheers,
DTD
__________________________
Financial Risk Disclaimer |
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. The videos on my channel are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I invest and day trade, but remember, investing of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine. While day trading can bring substantial gains, it can also bring serious losses! So make sure you do your research to fully understand the market before diving in. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore should not invest money that you can't afford to lose. The fluctuation of the market can work for you or against you. You should carefully consider your investment objectives and experience before deciding to trade in the market. Again, what you invest in is solely your responsibility.
Weekly Stock Pick: ORCL Continues the Trek HigherHello Traders!
As part of my weekly equity trade analysis, I will be uploading my recordings of what I am seeing and intending to trade for the week. A quick summary of what's in the video is as follows:
- ORCL has been a headliner stock for the last couple months since its earnings, fueled by momentum in the Cloud AI and Services space
- Right now price action is in full on MOMO mode and trending towards its fibonacci extension levels of $265-$280. This is not the price action of ORCL of yesteryear
- We are expecting a retracement to resolve some imbalances, but to structurally hold key levels above the previous consolidated high of $241.44
- Our vehicle of choice this week are the $255 weekly calls with our entry being inside the highest daily order block. Our entry area is between $0.47 and $0.35. Our price target is $260
Cheers,
DTD
Financial Risk Disclaimer |
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. The videos on my channel are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I invest and day trade, but remember, investing of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine. While day trading can bring substantial gains, it can also bring serious losses! So make sure you do your research to fully understand the market before diving in. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore should not invest money that you can't afford to lose. The fluctuation of the market can work for you or against you. You should carefully consider your investment objectives and experience before deciding to trade in the market. Again, what you invest in is solely your responsibility.
3 Trading Scenarios To Choose From - Which Do You Prefer? The setup that we're looking at in this video is going to be a potential bearish bat pattern on GOLD.
However, what's more important is the lesson that I wanted to cover on different tactics for adjusting your stop/loss & dig into the pro's and con's of each.
I'd love to hear which way you guys would choose in this particular situation (or in general) so please share your opinion in the comments section below.
Wishing a great weekend and a great upcoming week in the markets.
Akil