Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - $99,000 Would Really Piss People Off!When Technicals talk, I listen.
Weakness is starting to show inside of a premium range after an attempt on all-time highs whilst Donald Trump made an announcement on Monday.
As somebody who is pro-crypto, such speeches should strengthen the price of Bitcoin but the opposite happened.
Smart individuals buy when there is panic in the marketplace and there is plenty of opportunity to dollar cost into BTC below FWB:88K but for the time being, $99k is the price point to keep an eye out for.
Fibonacci
Gold (XAUUSD) - What Will Stop The Gold Bull Run?It seems like everyone is piling on the gold gravy train as it looks to make new highs in the coming weeks.
With a high level of volatility entering the marketplace over the next two weeks, expect sharp market swings on the intraday timeframes and don't get caught up!
Rate announcements on Wednesday, next week will be the determining factor on whether many will fly to safety or risk buying gold at the current pricing.
EUR/USD - Tickling Old HighsParity in the euro can't come without a MAJOR event happening.
In the meantime, it would be in the market makers best interests to prop up the euro short term, giving the illusion that due to euro being 'stronger' than it was a few months ago, it's the best time to invest in Europe bla bla bla...
Once many of the huge funds, whale traders etc placed their stops below major sellside liquidity pools, that's when the rug gets pulled
Pulled all the way down to parity!
The question is, what news event will it take for this scenario to pan out?
GBP/USD - Dollar Weakening = Stronger PoundWith a strong rally in the dollar index when Donald Trump was chosen to be president, it caused a lot of foreign currency to weaken. GBP being one of them.
Time and time again, we have seen lower lows form and you just have to ask yourself when will this ever change.
The good news is, short-term bullish runs to inefficiencies is still a high possibility going into the volatile periods of next week and the week after next.
Dollar Index - I Like The Sound Of 106For the next two weeks, expect high levels of volatility in the marketplace as anytime interest rate announcements happen, wild movements up and down tends to follow up with that.
We will see some form of market structure shift in the following weeks. The question is will it be during China's bank holiday or after when the UK is releasing their interest rate figures....
US T-Bonds - Bond Prices Will Rise SoonBond prices have been getting slaughtered for several of months and with the uncertainty around Donald Trumps potential tariffs being placed on China is causing the market to rangebound.
Although the market has been on a freefall since September, there are periods where you are able to eek out some profits if your willing to go against the grain, especially when the technical align up perfectly.
US 10Y Yields - Chasing Lower YieldsAssessing the weekly range, from low to high, it is clear to me that the yields is still trading in a premium and with major liquidity pools attacked to the upside, it's only a matter of time we see a cooldown period.
Below 4.469% is regarded as a discount and it might take several of weeks to pan out but I would like to see the weekly bearish consequent encroachment @ 4.735% respected with 4.809% being the last line of defence.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - How Long Do We Hold $100,000 For?Happy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on BTCUSD as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
MASSSSIVEEE movements from 2023 onwards, booking returns of over 550% if you bought during the beginning of that year.
When you think about a healthy market, you also consider the likelihood of a retracement which, in Bitcoin's case has not occurred since 2022.
The question isn't if but when...
Gold (XAUUSD) - Worldwide Austerity = $3,000 per/ozHappy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on XAUUSD as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
It's sad to say but the more pain that is felt around the world, the more the rich accumulate assets. Gold is regarded as a save haven in times of turbulence and as we can see here, for the past 6 consecutive 6-month period, we have managed to close significantly higher and it does not look like the gravy train is about to end.
Psychological numbers work well in uncharted territories and with $2,790 being ATH, $3,000 seems reasonable right?
Well, the horrible truth is the more suffering that takes place in the world means the rich get richer which ultimately means a higher price for gold in the long term.
EUR/USD - Parity Might Come Sooner Than You RealiseHappy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on EUR/USD as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
Fundamentals will play a strong role in determining whether we see 1 to 1 with the dollar but for the time being, short term market movements to the upside can be beneficial as it goes against the longer term bearish narrative
GBP/USD - What Will It Take...?Happy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on GBPUSD as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
3 consecutive 6-month candles has closed bearish, whilst respecting the SIBI and attacking short term highs.
Short term plays to the upside utilising the 1-min timeframe is possible but in the grand scheme of the bias, which is bearish, I look to target 1.12287.
This could take several months to years but there is no solid positive fundamentals to give me the confidence that the UK economy will improve any time soon.
Dow Jones (March 2025) - Trump Has Dow Jones In A Headlock!Happy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on the Dow Jones continuous contract and YMH (March 2025) contract as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
With S&P 500 & Nasdaq frontrunning Dow Jones, a close eye must be kept on YM as it might eb the first symbol out of the three stock indexes that decides to capitulate. If that occurs, there's a high chance the others will follow suite.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - AI Advancement Enables Higher PricesHappy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on the Nasdaq continuous contract and NQH (March 2025) contract as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
With Trump supporting the technology sector, investing $500bn into AI development recently, it goes hand in hand with booking all-time high prices.
The question is, will the run continue?
If it doesn't, what could be the reason why??
War?
Famine??
Cybersecurity Threats???
S&P 500 (March 2025) - Clock Is Ticking For $7,000 ES!Happy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on the S&P 500 continuous contract and ESH (March 2025) contract as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
Tech stocks have been rallying since trump came into office and it doesn't seem to have a end in sight.
They say the trend is your friend until it isn't.
Aiming for previous all-time highs until proven otherwise.
Dollar Index - Donald Trump Made America Great Again!.... Whilst destroying economies world wide!
Happy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on the dollar index as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
All eyes are on interest rates as lower rates will reduce the chance for dollar to chase higher yields.
US T-Bonds - Bond Prices Falling Off A Cliff! Happy New Year Traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on T-Bond Futures as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias, especially when comparing the strong inverse correlation to Gov 10y yields.
Countries like the UK are suffering as their prices for their bonds are being sold at extreme losses in order to prop up their restrictive policies.
When will it end..?
US 10Y Yields - Is 5% Yields A Real Possibility? Happy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on Government Bond Yields as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
Here, we look into the technical and psychological elements as to why 5% might not be as soon as you think...