USDJPY Testing 147.800 as US Govt Shutdown Pressures DollarHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a potential selling opportunity around the 147.800 zone. USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently in a correction phase, with price approaching this key support/resistance level.
Structure: Market bias remains bearish after the recent trend shift, and the current pullback could set up continuation lower.
Key level in focus: 147.800 — acting as resistance within the correction.
Fundamentals: The US Government has officially entered a shutdown, a development that historically weighs on the US Dollar. This event adds to bearish USD pressure and could further favor downside in USDJPY.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Fibonacci
$AMD: Sierpinski Fibs (Surgery I)⚖️ TOPOLOGY
Directional Scaling
Sierpinski interconnection based on 3 coordinates
Linking first impulsive wave of nested cycles. In contrast they must be steeper in order to cover the time aspect of higher-frequency oscillations more precisely.
Original Sierpinski
Point of all this is to explore new ways to geometrically quantify the temporal patterns using initial measurements, so that future price's nested cycles would rhyme with the structure.
GOLD → Correction before growth and breakthrough of 3900...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new high of 3895. The dollar is recovering from its decline, and gold may form a correction. As prices rise, economic risks associated with NFP and the US government shutdown are increasing
The suspension of NFP publication deprives the Fed and markets of a key benchmark for the labor market, increasing demand for defensive assets. The probability of a rate cut in October is estimated at 100%. Mixed JOLTS data (weak hiring) and fiscal risks are weighing on the USD, which in turn supports gold.
Thus, the shutdown creates ideal conditions for gold to rise — uncertainty about Fed policy, a weaker dollar, and a flight to safety. Breaking through the $3900 level seems a likely scenario.
Resistance levels: 3900, 3925
Support levels: 3871, 3854, 3831
A correction is forming after a small rally in the European session. Before continuing its growth, the market is entering a correction/consolidation phase. I have indicated the key support levels on the chart. If the bulls manage to keep the price above these zones, then we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDUSD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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US100: Short setup using fib levels from flash candleIG:NASDAQ m30 chart analysis: short action!!
The chart signals a potential short opportunity after breaking the previous bullish structure and printing a strong bearish flash candle. The strategy focuses on shorting the pullback using fibonacci retracement measured from that candle.
🔺 1. Structure break and flash candle confirmation
The price broke below the rising trendline supporting the bullish move from sep 26 to sep 30.
Immediately after, a large bearish flash candle appeared — signaling strong selling pressure and a potential trend reversal.
This candle becomes the reference point for measuring the retracement and anticipating a continuation to the downside.
📏 2. Measuring fibonacci from the flash candle (high → low)
Apply fibonacci from the high to the low of the flash candle.
This technique identifies potential resistance zones within the context of that specific bearish move.
Key fibonacci levels to watch:
0.5: 24,472.0 | 0.618: 24,486.4 | 0.786: 24,506.9
🎯 3. Ideal entry zone: from 0.382 to 0.786
After a strong bearish flash candle, price often pulls back moderately before continuing lower.
The optimal short zone is between fibo 0.382 and 0.786:
This respects the integrity of the bearish impulse.
A retracement smaller than 0.382 may be too shallow to confirm a strong rejection.
A retracement beyond 0.786 might indicate loss of bearish momentum and invalidate the flash candle setup.
🎯 4. Bearish scenario and targets
If price reacts at the 0.382–0.786 zone and resumes downtrend, a potential ABC bearish correction forms:
A: Flash move down
B: Pullback to fib zone
C: Next impulsive leg down
Suggested take-profit levels:
🎯 Target 1: 24,322.1
🎯 Target 2: 24,248.5
🛡️ Stop-loss: above the flash candle’s high (around 24,533)
✅ Summary
After a structure break and a decisive bearish flash candle, us tech 100 is showing a clear bearish setup.
Using fibonacci measured from the high to low of the flash candle helps identify high-probability pullback zones.
📌 Entry zone: between 0.382 and 0.786 retracement — outside this range, the flash candle's power may be invalidated.
This is a momentum-following trade with defined entry, stop loss, and take profit zones.
Wait for confirmation from price action within the fib levels before entering.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
XAUUSD – Gold Hits Fresh ATH! What’s Next?📊 Market Context
Gold has just broken into a new All-Time High (ATH), pushing beyond previous resistance zones and confirming the strength of the ongoing uptrend. The correction earlier this week near 3,800 USD proved to be just a healthy pullback, allowing bulls to accumulate before launching this breakout rally.
With safe-haven demand still strong amid US government shutdown risks and expectations of further Fed rate cuts, gold remains firmly supported. The focus now shifts to how far this bullish wave can extend.
📍 Key Technical Zones
🔴 SELL Reaction Zones
3,911 – 3,915 (Fibo Liquidity) → Strong resistance, possible profit-taking zone.
🟢 BUY Zones
3,830 – 3,820 (Fibo Reaction 0.786 – Support Zone) → First demand zone on pullbacks.
3,808 – 3,810 → Secondary support if deeper correction unfolds.
3,747 – 3,752 (Liquidity BUY Zone) → Long-term confluence support for swing entries.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup
Entry: On retracements to 3,830 – 3,820 with bullish confirmation.
Targets: 3,900 → 3,915, with potential for 3,950+ if momentum holds.
Stop: Below 3,808
2️⃣ Countertrend SELL Opportunity
Entry: Only at 3,911 – 3,915 if sharp rejection is seen.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,830
Stop: Above 3,922
3️⃣ Deep Pullback Swing BUY
Entry: 3,752 – 3,747 (Fibo Liquidity zone).
Targets: 3,830 → 3,900+
Stop: Below 3,735
⚡ Trading Notes
Gold remains in a powerful bullish channel → Priority should be on BUY setups.
Short-term SELLs are tactical only, with tight stops.
Watch US political headlines & Fed outlook as they may accelerate volatility near ATHs.
💬 Community Insight
Do you believe Gold will hit 3,950 – 4,000 USD this week, or will we see a stronger correction first? Share your setups below 👇
XAU/USD – 01/10 | US Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits🔎 Context & News
US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold.
FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain.
Key Events Today (ET / UTC) :
• ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC
• ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC
→ Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold.
📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session.
📈 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS.
EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact.
Resistance :
3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618).
3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test).
Support :
3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest).
3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone).
3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias).
🎯 Trade Plan
✅ Buy (trend priority)
Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876
• SL: 3,869
• TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920
Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841
• SL: 3,826
• TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907
Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822
• SL: 3,808
• TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897
⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR)
Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907
• SL: 3,912
• TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841
Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921
• SL: 3,925
• TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876
📝 Conclusion
Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations.
Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921.
⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1.
📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates.
💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
EURAUD (15m)All trades and analyses presented here are based on the **Smart Money Concept (SMC)**.
These analyses reflect only my personal perspective on market structure and price behavior, with charts clearly illustrating the details. The main purpose of sharing this content is strictly for **educational purposes** and to exchange personal experiences in trading.
⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
This content does not constitute financial advice, investment signals, or any guarantee of profitability. Financial markets inherently involve risk, and losses are possible. Each individual is fully responsible for their own trading decisions and outcomes. It is strongly recommended to consult with licensed financial advisors before making any investment decisions.
GOLD → Liquidation, but there is still a chance for growth...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new all-time high of 3871.6, marking its best month in 14 years (+12% in September). However, against the backdrop of high risks, the market is experiencing profit-taking and a deep correction. What next?
The high probability of a shutdown from October 1 is weighing on the dollar. The probability of a Fed rate cut in October is 90%, despite cautious comments from the Fed.
New tariffs on timber and furniture (from October 14).
Data from China: PMI growth (Manufacturing to 51.2). All this supports the bullish trend in gold. However, the end of the quarter, anticipation of NFP (but in the event of a shutdown, the publication of employment data will be suspended).
Technically, as part of the correction, the price is testing the upward support line, and the price reaction to the 3790-3780 zone will give hints about further movement...
Support levels: 3791, 3783
Resistance levels: 3831, 3847
A false breakdown and the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the specified support zone could trigger a recovery phase within the bullish trend. However, a quick return to support could trigger an attempt to break through and correct to 3759-3738.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Correction before the breakout of 114.5KBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after the end of the correction, is forming a 3.5% rally and testing the important milestone of 114,600. It was not possible to break through the level without consolidation and at such a high speed. How long will the correction last?
Bitcoin is testing mirror resistance and, after a strong rally, was unable to continue its growth. The reason for the halt is a huge liquidity pool above 114,600. A pullback is forming. Earlier, the price ended a 3-week correction by breaking through the downward resistance. We can assume a change in sentiment towards the buyer...
Technically, the price is changing the nature of the market to bullish after the formation of a reversal structure accompanied by a bullish run. The 2-week high has been updated.
Resistance levels: 113850, 114620, 115900
Support levels: 113100, 112300, 111800
As part of the correction, the price may test the 113K - 112500 zone before returning to growth. If the market holds the price above 112K - 113K, it will confirm the bullish sentiment, and the positive fundamental background will support further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/1/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24876.75
- PR Low: 24822.00
- NZ Spread: 122.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Manufacturing Prices
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 265.39
- Volume: 26K
- Open Int: 279K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -1.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25204
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Another Bearish Leg Incoming?Now that price has reached my overall target on the previous sell position, I expect to see some exhaustion from sellers.
After a minor pullback to medium SSL (which will now be BSL), I expect to see price make another bearish leg to the downside. My immediate target would be the area near Major SSL (198.000/Daily Level).
$PUMP 50% Gann Retrace - Primed for Next Leg UpBack in on the NYSE:PUMP trade 🚀
Had a full 50% retrace on its CRYPTOCAP:SOL pair which should be enough ammo for the next leg higher.
Need to have several daily closes above the 20MA for confirmation.
*NOTE* I'm only trading SPL pairs rn. This way I can maintain constant exposure to SOL even if my bids do not hit and minimize the downside.
BNB/USDT 4h chart review1. Trend and structure
• The price struck the relegation (orange) line, which is a positive signal.
• Currently, the course oscillates around 1007 USDT after reflection from holes ~ 930.
2. Key levels
• Support: 995, 971, 930.
• Resistance: 1026, 1051, 1084.
3. MacD
• The histogram grows, but begins to slightly weaken.
• MacD line still above the signal → slightly bullish signal, but with braking signs.
4. RSI (4H)
• RSI around 55–60 → neutral/bullish, not yet burdened.
5. Simple interpretation
• As long as the course lasts above 995, the upward scenario is possible.
• Breaking above 1026 will open the road to 1051 and 1084.
• decrease below 995 → Risk of retests 971, and later 930.
MMC / Marsh % McLennan / Seasonality & FractalMy analysis gives me a hint that MMC could go up to the marked area. The upmove, from aseasonality point of view could finish around beginning of December.
After reaching the price and time downlside is coming. The bearhish period in PE+2 year should bring price down to break the double low until end of April 2026.
This is not a tradecall nor financial advice. Good Luck
I d be happy to see your comments on this and some "rockets" (but keep in mind: Space is Fake!!)
Cheers!
BANKNIFTY Short View & Levels for 01st Oct 2025✨ শুভ শারদীয়া দুর্গোৎসবের আন্তরিক শুভেচ্ছা ও অভিনন্দন ✨
Technical Analysis: Bank Nifty (as of Sep 30, 2025) for 01st Oct 2025
Nifty is exhibiting a clear and strong bullish momentum, trading near the peak of a significant upward move. This is in stark contrast to the Nifty 50, which was in a consolidation phase.
1. Overall Market Structure
• Short-Term Trend: Strongly Bullish. The chart shows a consistent and powerful uptrend characterized by a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows. The index has rallied from a low near ~54,226 to a high near 54,775.
• Key Observation: The trend is mature but shows no signs of reversal at this moment. The price is hovering near the highs, suggesting sustained buying interest.
2. Key Technical Levels
• Resistances: Plotted on Chart
• Supports: Plotted on Chart
3. Price Action and Candlestick Analysis
• The chart displays a classic "Rising Channel" or a series of impulsive upward moves followed by shallow, sideways corrections. This indicates strong underlying demand.
• The candles show strong bullish bodies during the up-moves, with the recent candles consolidating near the highs. This is a sign of strength, not weakness, as the market is not giving up its gains.
4. Volume Analysis
• The provided volume (22.44M) is a cumulative figure. In a strong trend like this, one would typically expect to see higher volume on up-moves and lower volume on corrections, confirming the bullish bias.
5. Outlook and Potential Scenarios
• Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability): The path of least resistance is to the upside. A sustained break above 54,750 confirms the continuation of the uptrend, with targets at 54,890 and 55,025.
• Neutral/Consolidation Scenario: The index may enter a period of consolidation or a shallow pullback to digest the recent sharp gains. As long as it holds above the 54,350 support, the overall bullish structure remains intact.
• Bearish Scenario (Lower Probability): A decisive break and close below the 54,350 - 54,250 support level would be the first sign of weakness and could lead to a deeper correction towards 54,080 - 53950.
Summary
Bank Nifty is in a commanding bullish trend and is significantly outperforming the Nifty 50 index in the short term. The momentum is strong, and the structure is healthy.
• For Bulls: The trend is your friend. Any dip towards the 54,325 - 54,250 support zone can be seen as a potential buying opportunity, with a stop loss below 54,200.
• For Bears: There are no signs of a top yet. Standing in the way of this trend is risky. One should wait for a clear break of support (below 54,200) and a change in the Higher High structure before considering short positions.
The immediate trigger for the next big move is a break above 54,780 (for a new rally) or a break below 54,200 (for a correction)
# "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format.
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Ethena ENA price analysis🔗 #Ethena ( #ENA ) is part of the #Ethereum ecosystem and looks fundamentally strong.
⏳ The current OKX:ENAUSDT consolidation strongly resembles CRYPTOCAP:ETH phases before major rallies.
🛡️ Key support: $0.40–0.45 — buyers need to hold this level.
📈 If successful, there’s potential for a 10x growth, with market cap rising from $3B to $30B — realistic in today’s market.
📊 Conclusion: this support zone is crucial for ENA’s future trend.
🤔 Do you believe Ethena can repeat Ethereum’s story?
______________
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.