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#GBPUSD: Bulls are in control, DXY Dropping Sharply!Hello Team, We have identified a promising opportunity with a favourable price movement. The Pound Sterling to US Dollar (GBPUSD) pair has exhibited strong bullish volume, indicating potential further appreciation. The current geopolitical tensions, particularly the involvement of the United States in the Iran-Israel conflict, are expected to negatively impact the US Dollar. This decline could potentially lead to an appreciation of the GBPUSD pair and other USD-denominated currencies. It is advisable to closely monitor the price behaviour of the GBPUSD pair and consider potential investment opportunities based on its current trend. Best regards, Team Setupsfx
Long
by Setupsfx_
34
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent. A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter). Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time. However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least. What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1. A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150... Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility. I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BallaJi
1
Market crash looming - Fractal Echo of 2007 - 2025 S&P 500 In what other case could the "market" be here if it wasn't centrally rigged? Geopolitics aside. The 2025 vs. 2007 numerological equivalence ("9" year) shows the power of 9 taking over: the end of a rigged bull market. Chart overlays the S&P 500 price action from 2023–2025 (white line) with that of the 2006–2008 pre-GFC period (red line), highlighting an uncanny fractal similarity in structure, tempo, and momentum. The visual suggests that 2025 (numerologically marked as a “9” year, like 2007) may be echoing the same setup seen before the 2008 financial crisis: just massively worse.
SP:SPXShort
by Ecantoni
2
XAUUSD Outlook: Watching FVG Reaction for Bearish EntryThe previous day’s up-close candle didn’t reflect strong bullish conviction. Although price opened higher than the previous candle’s close, it closed only slightly above — completing the three-candle formation required to establish a Fair Value Gap (FVG). As expected, buy-side liquidity above the previous day’s high has been raided. Price is now pushing towards the consequent encroachment of the FVG. How the market reacts at this level will be key in determining the next directional move. While I maintain a bearish bias, I expect the market to trade higher into a bearish order block, providing a potential opportunity to enter short. If price does not react from the current FVG, it could continue higher to sweep liquidity resting above the swing high at 2357.82, which sits just below another unfilled FVG. Entry Strategy I will look to enter short only after a clear displacement, signalling a change in state of delivery, either: Off the reaction from the current FVG, or From a deeper liquidity zone If no such confirmation presents itself, I will remain on the sidelines and wait for a more favourable setup. Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or insightful, please drop a like 👍 and leave a comment — I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Follow me for more daily price action insights and trading strategies on XAUUSD and other key markets. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. All trading involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions, so always conduct proper research and due diligence before taking any trades. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AbdulMujibOnimisi
CL1! Structural NarrativeResearch Idea If look we beyond surface appearances, we would ask what kind of iterative, generative, or probabilistic mechanisms could have created those movements. Complexity can arise from simplicity, and that what looks messy may follow deep mathematical logic. We can see the curve that connects series rejections that exposes where selling pressure extends compression until broken. Another pattern would be current price expressed as a fibonacci ratio of a broader cycle as it splits them into phases.
NYMEX:CL1!
by fract
1
USDCAD - Long triggered We have entered into the discount area of the most recent swing point on USDCAD. With doing this we have taken out all the areas of liquidity within the trading range so it was time to look for potential long moves. Now at current price we have had a great example of AMD where by we Accumulate Manipulate and then the hope is that we begin to distribute higher. There was also a nice fair value gap that was left behind on the 5min So all that was left to do was execute. Let us see how it plays out. Win or lose great entry super happy with the trade. Lets see how it goes
Long
by BenFxLDN
How Markets Behave During War: Lessons from the Gulf War (90–91)🧠 Overview As global tensions escalate and risk sentiment deteriorates, it’s worth revisiting how major asset classes behaved during past war scenarios. The Gulf War (July 1990 – March 1991) offers a clean case study with distinct phases of market psychology. 📊 What This Chart Shows A synchronized visual comparison of: Gold – Classic safe haven behavior S&P 500 – Risk asset sentiment DXY – USD demand during crisis 🧭 Phases Identified Phase 1 – Shock 📈 Gold spikes | 📉 Stocks crash | 📉 USD weakens → Panic phase as markets price in uncertainty Phase 2 – Consolidation Market stalls, both risk and safe haven flows stabilize. Phase 3 – Gradual Risk-On Equities begin recovering as risk appetite cautiously returns. Phase 4 – Shake-Off & Parabolic Rally Gold rolls over, stocks go parabolic, and DXY forms a double bottom. 🔍 Key Insights 🟡 Gold surged +17% in 43 days, then faded 🔴 SPX dropped -17%, then reversed with a +26% rally 🟣 DXY fell -9%, but rebounded sharply later ⏱️ Timing matters: Safe havens perform early — but are not eternal shelters. 💡 Why It Matters Today If current geopolitical risks evolve into a Gulf War-type scenario, we might observe: 🟡 A first wave into Gold or USD 🔁 A rotation back into risk assets as clarity improves 📈 Opportunities for reversals in oversold names This chart is not a forecast — it’s a framework. Patterns may not repeat, but they often rhyme. ✍️ Ongoing Series This is part of a multi-part series exploring how markets react to war and crisis. Future posts will include: Iraq War Russia-Ukraine 2022 9/11 aftermath COVID-19 as a “war-like” shock 📌 Follow for the next studies. 🧷 Chart: Gold, SPX & DXY during the Gulf War 🔖 Annotated and structured by @fredcast80
OANDA:XAUUSD
by fredcast80
Geopolitical Tension May affect Gold's Outlook!Gold is traditionally considered a safe haven, with prices often rising during geopolitical tensions as investors seek safe security. Will this scenario play out with the U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict? Gold is currently trading at a high of 3,368.75 and remains in a range. However, in times like this, technical analysis might take a back seat, as geopolitical developments could overshadow any technical setup. N.B! - XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gold #xauusd
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BullBearMkt
ETHUSDT – Trade Recap & Daily Bias for June 21Trade Recap (June 20): I. First thing I did was mark out a DOL on the daily — price was hovering near a swing low, and I started noticing trend-side liquidity building up on the lower timeframes. So my directional bias for today was short. II. I marked the daily open. III. With a short bias in mind, I waited for a Turtle Soup setup right above the daily open. IV. The equal highs above were clean and obvious — textbook liquidity. V. Once that liquidity was swept, I dropped to the M15 to watch how price reacted — waited for a clean displacement away from that zone before getting involved. Daily Bias (June 21): Still leaning short. We’re pretty close to a weekly FVG, which might act as a magnet. If price forms liquidity during the day and takes it out in-session, I’ll look to short again. Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup
Short
by harmonik0
NASDAQ Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup Example XIIaight, so im gonna break down a trade i took on nasdaq today using a setup i picked out myself from the ict concepts. just my own flavor of it, ya know before i knock out at night, i open up the charts real quick — just tryna see if there's any clean liquidity chillin’ nearby. if there aint, i shut it down and catch some solid sleep. but if there is... bingo baby this basically means i might just wake up rich tomorrow, bro. on the daily, im seeing two strong green days back to back, and right above that boom some equal highs just sitting there, begging to get run. they are even cleaner on the 1h. bias locked in. im waking up tomorrow and hunting longs, simple as that. i mark up the daily open first thing. if im lookin for longs, i wanna see some turtle soup under the open. if im hunting shorts, i need that setup above the open. thats just how i roll. if there is a swing low, trend liquidity, or some equal lows carryin over from yesterday, im locked in on those levels for turtle soup. if not, im just chillin, waitin for price to build some fresh liquidity during the day and then snatch it. in this setup, i got some leftover liquidity from yesterday plus a clean 4h fvg sittin there like a neon sign. next, i check the time. liquidity grabs usually hit during one of the killzones depends on the pair, but im watchin asia, london, or new york sessions. then i scope out if there is any news droppin around that time, especially stuff that could move the pair. no point in getting blindsided. and yeah, i always peep correlated pairs too sometimes they snitch before your chart even says a word. when all the stars and planets line up just right, that is when I drop down to the 15m and wait for a clean csd to show up. but here is the thing i dont jump in the second i see it. i wanna see price actually leave the liquidity zone. yeah, it might lower my rr a bit, but the win rate goes way up. It keeps me outta those fake-ass turtle soups that look good at first but just wanna wreck your stop. once im in the trade, i usually try to close out half the position the same day take profits where the chance of price reversing is damn near zero. then i let the other half ride toward my target liquidity. just lettin it breathe, do its thing. thats it, peace out
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Education
by harmonik0
1